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Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF)
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$107.62
→
Intrinsic$348.53
+224%
$236.22$348.53$561.61
Market implies 1% growth for 5 years
DCF analysis suggests ANF could have 224% upside at 25% growth — verify assumptions match your view.
At $108, the market prices in only 1% growth — below historical 25%, suggesting low expectations.
Range: Bear $236 → Bull $562. Current price implies expectations below the bear case — very conservative expectations.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 21% | 23% | 25% | 27% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $430 | $464 | $502 | $541 |
| 10% | $299 | $323 | $349 | $375 |
| 12% | $228 | $245 | $264 | $284 |
| 14% | $182 | $196 | $211 | $226 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($562) offers 422% upside at 30% growth, 9% discount
- Price below even worst-case scenario — strong margin of safety
- Market-implied growth (1%) ≤ historical CAGR (25%)
Bear Case
- Bear case ($236) with 20% growth, 12% discount rate
- Using 25% growth — aggressive, watch for mean reversion
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5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection
Year 1$659.34M
Year 2$824.18M
Year 3$1.03B
Year 4$1.29B
Year 5$1.61B
Terminal$23.69B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate25.0%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate10.0%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$527.47MTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.