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The Cooper Companies, Inc. (COO)
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$82.31
→
Intrinsic$49.49
-40%
$29.47$49.49$87.50
Market implies 31% growth for 5 years
Current price reflects execution expectations above 20% growth — not unreasonable for quality businesses.
At $82, the market prices in continued strong cash flow growth (31%) — likely reflecting buybacks, margin stability, and ecosystem strength.
Range: Bear $29 → Bull $88. Current price implies expectations above the base case, closer to bull expectations.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 16% | 18% | 20% | 22% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $63 | $70 | $76 | $84 |
| 10% | $40 | $45 | $49 | $54 |
| 12% | $28 | $31 | $35 | $38 |
| 14% | $20 | $22 | $25 | $28 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($88) offers 6% upside at 24% growth, 9% discount
Bear Case
- Bear case ($29) implies 64% downside at 16% growth, 12% discount
- Price reflects 31% growth expectations vs 20% historical — high bar to clear
- Trading 40% above base case — execution must exceed assumptions to justify
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5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection
Year 1$519.31M
Year 2$621.82M
Year 3$744.56M
Year 4$891.53M
Year 5$1.07B
Terminal$15.71B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate19.7%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate10.0%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$433.70MTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.