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General Mills, Inc. (GIS)
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$45.60
→
Intrinsic$47.90
+5%
$24.32$47.90$92.72
Market implies 7% growth for 5 years
GIS appears fairly valued — current price aligns with our DCF estimate.
At $46, the market prices in only 7% growth — below historical 8%, suggesting low expectations.
Range: Bear $24 → Bull $93. Current price implies expectations near the base case.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $62 | $70 | $79 | $88 |
| 10% | $36 | $42 | $48 | $54 |
| 12% | $22 | $26 | $31 | $36 |
| 14% | $13 | $17 | $20 | $24 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($93) offers 103% upside at 10% growth, 9% discount
- 5% margin of safety vs. base case estimate
- Market-implied growth (7%) ≤ historical CAGR (8%)
Bear Case
- Bear case ($24) implies 47% downside at 6% growth, 12% discount
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5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection
Year 1$2.48B
Year 2$2.67B
Year 3$2.89B
Year 4$3.12B
Year 5$3.37B
Terminal$49.57B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate8.0%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate10.0%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$2.29BTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.