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Integer Holdings Corporation (ITGR)
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$82.74
→
Intrinsic$21.08
-75%
$5.06$21.08$51.53
Market implies 28% growth for 5 years
Current price reflects execution expectations above 8% growth — not unreasonable for quality businesses.
At $83, the market prices in continued strong cash flow growth (28%) — likely reflecting buybacks, margin stability, and ecosystem strength.
Range: Bear $5 → Bull $52. Current price implies expectations above the base case, closer to bull expectations.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $30 | $36 | $42 | $48 |
| 10% | $13 | $17 | $21 | $25 |
| 12% | $4 | $7 | $10 | $13 |
| 14% | $0 | $0 | $2 | $5 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($52) with 10% growth, 9% discount rate
- Conservative 8% growth assumption is achievable based on track record
Bear Case
- Bear case ($5) implies 94% downside at 6% growth, 12% discount
- Price reflects 28% growth expectations vs 8% historical — high bar to clear
- Trading 75% above base case — execution must exceed assumptions to justify
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5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection
Year 1$107.57M
Year 2$116.17M
Year 3$125.46M
Year 4$135.50M
Year 5$146.34M
Terminal$2.15B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate8.0%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate10.0%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$99.60MTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.