Popular:
Mettler-Toledo International Inc. (MTD)
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$1,496.61
→
Intrinsic$790.85
-47%
$509.24$790.85$1,325.98
Market implies 28% growth for 5 years
Current price reflects execution expectations above 13% growth — not unreasonable for quality businesses.
At $1497, the market prices in continued strong cash flow growth (28%) — likely reflecting buybacks, margin stability, and ecosystem strength.
Range: Bear $509 → Bull $1326. Current price implies expectations above the base case, closer to bull expectations.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $968 | $1061 | $1162 | $1269 |
| 10% | $657 | $722 | $791 | $865 |
| 12% | $486 | $534 | $585 | $641 |
| 14% | $376 | $414 | $455 | $498 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($1326) with 15% growth, 9% discount rate
- Conservative 13% growth assumption is achievable based on track record
Bear Case
- Bear case ($509) implies 66% downside at 10% growth, 12% discount
- Price reflects 28% growth expectations vs 13% historical — high bar to clear
- Trading 47% above base case — execution must exceed assumptions to justify
Loading charts...
5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection
Year 1$973.36M
Year 2$1.10B
Year 3$1.23B
Year 4$1.39B
Year 5$1.56B
Terminal$23.02B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate12.6%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate10.0%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$864.45MTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.