Realty Income Corporation (O)
Valuation Overview•Is Realty Income Corporation Overvalued or Undervalued?
Commands a peer premium multiple, but this multiple is justified by a strong intrinsic cash flow value.
Moderate quality score of 61/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: Solid fundamental quality, though solvency presents a headwind.
Wall Street is broadly bullish, projecting solid upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. This outlook is strongly supported by highly attractive capital returns, anchored by a strong, well-covered dividend yield.
O demonstrates strong business quality with robust profitability and healthy margins. However, the balance sheet carries elevated leverage, requiring careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities.
The company is driving exceptional top-line expansion (19.8% 3Y CAGR) however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. This growth is supported by elite operational efficiency, sustaining an impressive 29.3% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.5B | +9.1% | +19.8% | +28.4% | +18.8% | |
| EBITDA | $1.4B | — | +11.2% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $311.8M | +23.0% | +6.8% | — | +14.1% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.33 | +19.4% | -6.3% | +0.5% | +0.7% | |
| Free Cash Flow | $848.2M | +15.7% | +17.4% | +29.3% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 68.6% | 91.6% | 92.3% | 93.3% |
| Operating Margin | 29.3% | 38.2% | 39.9% | 44.2% |
| Net Margin | 18.9% | 18.7% | 19.9% | 23.5% |
| FCF Margin | 68.5% | 68.6% | 68.5% | 69.1% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.40 | $0.33 | -18.0% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.38 | $0.32 | -16.6% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.40 | $0.34 | -14.7% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.40 | $0.22 | -45.3% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.36 | $0.28 | -22.2% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.38 | $0.23 | -39.5% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.36 | $0.30 | -16.7% | ||
| Q3'24 | $0.36 | $0.29 | -19.4% |
Total return is +10.2% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -14.7%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +7.5% | -1.8% | — |
| 1Y | +10.2% | -14.7% | +5.6% |
| 3YCAGR | +4.9% | -14.4% | +15.7% |
| 5YCAGR | +3.2% | -9.6% | +23.7% |
| 10YCAGR | +3.7% | -10.0% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Realty Income Corporation (O) valuation, health, and returns.
Realty Income Corporation is estimated to be undervalued under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Slightly expensive versus peers compared to industry peers. undervalued (implying +28.5% upside to DCF intrinsic value of $77.41)
Realty Income Corporation has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $77.41 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $52.44 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $68.00 (implying +12.9% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Realty Income Corporation displays good financial health with a composite quality score of 61/100, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 1.8%.
Realty Income Corporation pays a 5.4% dividend yield, covered by a 276% payout ratio with 32 years of growth, supplemented by a 0.0% buyback yield.
Realty Income Corporation's current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved +9.1% 1Y revenue growth and +19.4% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +19.8%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 34 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 8% of recent quarters with a -10-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +12.9% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Realty Income Corporation include: -11.9% 1-year max drawdown, stretched payout ratio. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.06x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.