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Revvity, Inc. (RVTY) Intrinsic Value

DCF-based fair value calculation with Bear, Base, and Bull scenarios

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Revvity, Inc. (RVTY)

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Intrinsic Value (DCF)

Current$115.33
→
Intrinsic$84.28
-27%
$51.94$84.28$145.73
Market implies 21% growth for 5 years
RVTY trades at a premium to our conservative estimate — investors expect above-average performance.
At $115, the market prices in continued strong cash flow growth (21%) — likely reflecting buybacks, margin stability, and ecosystem strength.
Range: Bear $52 → Bull $146. Current price implies expectations above the base case, closer to bull expectations.
Discount ↓Growth →10%12%14%16%
8%$105$116$127$139
10%$69$76$84$93
12%$49$55$61$67
14%$37$41$46$51

Bull Case

  • Bull case ($146) offers 26% upside at 17% growth, 9% discount
  • Conservative 14% growth assumption is achievable based on track record

Bear Case

  • Bear case ($52) implies 55% downside at 11% growth, 12% discount
  • Price reflects 21% growth expectations vs 14% historical — high bar to clear
  • Trading 27% above base case — execution must exceed assumptions to justify
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5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection

Year 1$617.12M
Year 2$703.11M
Year 3$801.08M
Year 4$912.69M
Year 5$1.04B
Terminal$15.30B

📐 Model Inputs

Growth Rate13.9%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate10.0%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$541.65MTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
ℹ️

DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is RVTY stock undervalued or overvalued?
🔴 OVERVALUED

RVTY trades at $115.33 vs. our DCF-derived intrinsic value of $84.28, implying -20% downside. Using a 10.0% WACC and 13.9% FCF growth assumption, the current price requires growth rates above our estimates to be justified. Even our bull case ($128.98) suggests limited upside.

What is RVTY's intrinsic value?

Using a 5-year DCF model: Base FCF of $542M, projected at 13.9% 5Y CAGR (best of revenue, EPS, or FCF growth), discounted at 10.0% WACC, with 3.0% terminal growth. Terminal value calculated via Gordon Growth Model: TV = FCF₅ × (1+g) / (WACC−g). After deducting $2.16B net debt and dividing by 0.12B shares: Bear $52.52 | Base $84.28 | Bull $128.98. Current price $115.33 implies -20% to base case.

How is RVTY's fair value calculated?

DCF Methodology:

① Project FCF years 1-5 using 13.9% growth derived from 5-year historical CAGR (best of revenue, EPS, or FCF growth, with 8% floor and 25% cap).

② Calculate terminal value at year 5 using perpetuity growth model with g=3.0%.

③ Discount all cash flows to PV using WACC=10.0%.

④ Sum PV of explicit period + PV of terminal value = Enterprise Value ($12.51B).

⑤ Subtract net debt, divide by shares outstanding.

Sensitivity analysis available above—adjust WACC ±2% or growth ±3% to stress-test the valuation. Implied EV/FCF multiple: 23.1x.