Millicom International Cellular S.A. (TIGO)
Valuation Overview•Is Millicom International Cellular S.A. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a discount across both intrinsic cash flow and relative peer multiples, indicating a strong margin of safety.
Moderate quality score of 64/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Analysts remain cautious, with consensus price targets indicating limited room for upside expansion.
Verdict: Solid fundamental quality, though solvency presents a headwind.
Wall Street is cautious, forecasting potential downside. This outlook is strongly supported by highly attractive capital returns, anchored by a strong, well-covered dividend yield.
TIGO demonstrates strong business quality with robust profitability and healthy margins. However, the balance sheet carries elevated leverage, requiring careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities.
The company exhibits steady, low-single-digit revenue growth paired with highly explosive earnings growth (167.7% EPS 3Y CAGR). The company maintains healthy operational efficiency with a 25.0% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.0B | +0.3% | +1.1% | +6.9% | -1.2% | |
| EBITDA | $856.0M | — | +8.6% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $109.0M | +420.2% | +184.7% | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.65 | +432.7% | +167.7% | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$463.0M | +4.8% | +77.4% | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 69.8% | 64.0% | 60.0% | 49.4% |
| Operating Margin | 25.0% | 21.6% | 18.1% | 13.7% |
| Net Margin | 19.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| FCF Margin | 11.9% | 13.5% | 0.7% | -2.2% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $1.36 | $0.97 | -28.7% | ||
| Q1'26 | $1.05 | $1.50 | +42.9% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.63 | $0.34 | -46.2% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.54 | $0.51 | -5.6% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.91 | $1.14 | +25.3% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.78 | $0.20 | -74.4% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.68 | $0.30 | -55.9% | ||
| Q3'24 | $0.51 | $0.46 | -9.8% |
Total return is +156.1% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +133.8%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +60.2% | +52.9% | — |
| 1Y | +156.1% | +133.8% | +15.1% |
| 3YCAGR | +80.1% | +57.6% | +44.5% |
| 5YCAGR | +18.6% | +6.5% | +17.9% |
| 10YCAGR | +5.2% | -7.7% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 30.6x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Millicom International Cellular S.A. (TIGO) valuation, health, and returns.
Millicom International Cellular S.A. is estimated to be undervalued under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Slightly cheap versus peers compared to industry peers. undervalued (implying +109.3% upside to DCF intrinsic value of $176.63)
Millicom International Cellular S.A. has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $176.63 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $91.52 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $71.60 (implying -18.5% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Millicom International Cellular S.A. displays good financial health with a composite quality score of 64/100, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 11.6%.
Millicom International Cellular S.A. pays a 5.1% dividend yield, covered by a 57% payout ratio with 0 years of growth, supplemented by a 0.8% buyback yield.
Millicom International Cellular S.A.'s current growth trajectory is Stable. The company achieved +0.3% 1Y revenue growth and +432.7% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +1.1%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 11 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 25% of recent quarters with a -1-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a -18.5% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Millicom International Cellular S.A. include: -12.4% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.23x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.