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WillScot Holdings Corporation (WSC)
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$22.42
→
Intrinsic$16.00
-29%
$4.27$16.00$38.26
Market implies 22% growth for 5 years
WSC trades at a premium to our conservative estimate — investors expect above-average performance.
At $22, the market prices in continued strong cash flow growth (22%) — likely reflecting buybacks, margin stability, and ecosystem strength.
Range: Bear $4 → Bull $38. Current price implies expectations above the base case, closer to bull expectations.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 14% | 16% | 18% | 20% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $24 | $28 | $32 | $36 |
| 10% | $11 | $13 | $16 | $19 |
| 12% | $3 | $5 | $7 | $10 |
| 14% | $0 | $0 | $2 | $4 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($38) offers 71% upside at 21% growth, 9% discount
Bear Case
- Bear case ($4) implies 81% downside at 14% growth, 12% discount
- Price reflects 22% growth expectations vs 18% historical — high bar to clear
- Trading 29% above base case — execution must exceed assumptions to justify
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5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection
Year 1$308.61M
Year 2$363.03M
Year 3$427.03M
Year 4$502.33M
Year 5$590.90M
Terminal$8.69B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate17.6%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate10.0%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$262.35MTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.