Comprehensive Stock Comparison
Compare Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) vs Token Cat Limited (TC) Stock
Analyze side-by-side fundamentals, valuation, growth, and profitability to decide which stock is the better buy.
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Quick Verdict
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | GRPN | -4.3% revenue growth vs TC's -69.7% |
| Quality / Margins | GRPN | -28.5% net margin vs TC's -403.8% |
| Stability / Safety | TC | Beta 0.11 vs GRPN's 1.10 |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | GRPN | +13.5% vs TC's -34.5% |
| Efficiency (ROA) | GRPN | -23.3% ROA vs TC's -72.7% |
Who Each Stock Is For
Income & stability
Growth exposure
Long-term compounding (10Y)
Sleep-well-at-night portfolio
Defensive / Recession hedge
Business Model
What each company does and how it makes money
Groupon operates an online marketplace that connects consumers with local merchants offering deals and discounts. It makes money primarily by taking a commission — typically 30-50% — on each deal sold through its platform, with additional revenue from direct sales of first-party inventory. The company's key advantage is its established network of millions of users and thousands of local merchants, creating a two-sided marketplace that's difficult for new entrants to replicate at scale.
Token Cat operates an omni-channel automotive marketplace in China that connects car buyers with dealers through auto shows, group purchasing, and virtual dealership services. It generates revenue primarily from transaction fees on vehicle sales — including commissions from dealers and fees from group-buying events — supplemented by advertising and data services. The company's competitive advantage lies in its integrated online-to-offline platform that combines physical auto shows with digital tools, creating a comprehensive ecosystem that addresses both consumer discovery and dealer sales needs.
Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Financial Metrics Comparison
Side-by-side fundamentals across 2 stocks. BestLagging
Financial Scorecard
GRPN leads in 4 of 6 categories (Financial Metrics, Valuation Metrics). TC leads in 1 (Risk & Volatility).
Financial Metrics (TTM)
GRPN is the larger business by revenue, generating $496M annually — 13.5x TC's $37M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from -28.5% (GRPN) to -4.0% (TC). On growth, GRPN holds the edge at +7.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | GRPNGroupon, Inc. | TCToken Cat Limited |
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $496M | $37M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $41M | -$4M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$142M | -$148M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $60M | -$193M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +90.4% | +73.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +4.0% | -2.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -28.5% | -4.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +12.1% | -5.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.3% | -38.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -10.4% | +58.6% |
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | GRPNGroupon, Inc. | TCToken Cat Limited |
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $644M | $621M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $668M | $627M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -8.36x | -1.19x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 16.68x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 16.84x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.31x | 86.57x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 12.04x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 16.12x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
TC delivers a -4.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-4 in annual profit, vs $-160 for GRPN. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GRPN scores 5/9 vs TC's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | GRPNGroupon, Inc. | TCToken Cat Limited |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -159.7% | -4.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -23.3% | -72.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.1% | — |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +3.5% | — |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 6.16x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $24M | $42M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $229M | $6M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $253M | $48M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -6.09x | -60.86x |
Total Returns (with DRIP)
A $10,000 investment in GRPN five years ago would be worth $2,194 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $94 for TC. Over the past 12 months, GRPN leads with a +13.5% total return vs TC's -34.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GRPN at 18.9% vs TC's -59.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | GRPNGroupon, Inc. | TCToken Cat Limited |
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -27.1% | +48.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +13.5% | -34.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +68.0% | -93.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -78.1% | -99.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -86.8% | -99.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +18.9% | -59.9% |
Risk & Volatility
TC is the less volatile stock with a 0.11 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GRPN's 1.10 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TC currently trades 50.0% from its 52-week high vs GRPN's 29.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | GRPNGroupon, Inc. | TCToken Cat Limited |
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.10x | 0.11x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $43.08 | $22.46 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $9.21 | $6.50 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +29.3% | +50.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.8 | 58.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 848K | 21K |
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GRPN as "Hold" and TC as "Hold".
| Metric | GRPNGroupon, Inc. | TCToken Cat Limited |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $25.25 | — |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 46 | 18 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Historical Charts
Charts are rendered on first load. Hover for details.
Chart 1Total Return — 5 Years (Rebased to 100)
| Stock | Mar 20 | Feb 26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) | 100 | 60.04 | -40.0% |
| Token Cat Limited (TC) | 100 | 0.61 | -99.4% |
Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) returned -78% over 5 years vs Token Cat Limited (TC)'s -99%.
Chart 2Revenue Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2015 | 2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) | $3.1B | $493M | -84.2% |
| Token Cat Limited (TC) | $117M | $49M | -58.1% |
Groupon, Inc.'s revenue grew from $3.1B (2015) to $493M (2024) — a -18.5% CAGR.
Chart 3Net Margin Trend — 10 Years
| Stock | 2015 | 2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) | 0.7% | -12.0% | -1908.9% |
| Token Cat Limited (TC) | -83.9% | -3.8% | +95.4% |
Groupon, Inc.'s net margin went from 1% (2015) to -12% (2024).
Chart 4EPS Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2015 | 2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) | 0.6 | -1.51 | -351.7% |
| Token Cat Limited (TC) | -158.48 | -64.8 | +59.1% |
Groupon, Inc.'s EPS grew from $0.60 (2015) to $-1.51 (2024) — a NaN% CAGR.
Chart 5Free Cash Flow — 5 Years
Groupon, Inc. generated $40M FCF in 2024 (+123% vs 2021). Token Cat Limited generated $-35M FCF in 2024 (+63% vs 2021).
GRPN vs TC: Frequently Asked Questions
7 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GRPN or TC a better buy right now?
Analysts rate Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) a "Hold" — based on 46 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — GRPN or TC?
Over the past 5 years, Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) delivered a total return of -78.1%, compared to -99.1% for Token Cat Limited (TC). A $10,000 investment in GRPN five years ago would be worth approximately $2K today (assuming dividends reinvested). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GRPN returned -86.8% versus TC's -99.9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — GRPN or TC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Token Cat Limited (TC) is the lower-risk stock at 0.11β versus Groupon, Inc.'s 1.10β — meaning GRPN is approximately 905% more volatile than TC relative to the S&P 500.
04Which has better profit margins — GRPN or TC?
Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) is the more profitable company, earning -12.0% net margin versus -382.3% for Token Cat Limited — meaning it keeps -12.0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GRPN leads at 1.8% versus -182.9% for TC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — GRPN leads at 90.2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
05Which pays a better dividend — GRPN or TC?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend. All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
06Is GRPN or TC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Token Cat Limited (TC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.11)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (TC: -99.9%, GRPN: -86.8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
07What are the main differences between GRPN and TC?
Both stocks operate in the Communication Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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- Sector: Communication Services
- Market Cap > $100B
- Revenue Growth > 5%
- Gross Margin > 54%