Comprehensive Stock Comparison

Compare Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) vs Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) Stock

Analyze side-by-side fundamentals, valuation, growth, and profitability to decide which stock is the better buy.

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Quick Verdict

CategoryWinnerWhy
GrowthEC-6.9% revenue growth vs PBR's -13.4%
ValueECLower P/E (0.0x vs 7.2x)
Quality / MarginsPBR16.2% net margin vs EC's 8.2%
Stability / SafetyPBRBeta 0.65 vs EC's 0.90, lower leverage
DividendsPBR34.2% yield, vs EC's 18.3%
Momentum (1Y)EC+36.1% vs PBR's +32.8%
Efficiency (ROA)PBR6.1% ROA vs EC's 3.5%, ROIC 15.7% vs 14.0%
Bottom line: PBR leads in 4 of 7 categories, making it the stronger pick for investors who prioritize profitability and margin quality and capital preservation and lower volatility. Ecopetrol S.A. is the better choice for growth and revenue expansion and valuation and capital efficiency. As direct sector peers, they can serve as alternatives in the same portfolio allocation.

Who Each Stock Is For

Income & stability

Growth exposure

Long-term compounding (10Y)

Sleep-well-at-night portfolio

Defensive / Recession hedge

Business Model

What each company does and how it makes money

PBRPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
Energy

Petrobras is Brazil's state-controlled integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, refines, and distributes petroleum products. It generates revenue primarily from upstream oil and gas production (roughly 60% of operating income) and downstream refining and marketing operations (about 30%), with the remainder from gas and power distribution. The company's key advantage is its dominant position in Brazil's deepwater pre-salt oil fields—among the world's most productive and lowest-cost reserves—combined with its integrated infrastructure network across the country.

ECEcopetrol S.A.
Energy

Ecopetrol is Colombia's state-controlled integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, refines, and transports hydrocarbons. It generates revenue primarily from crude oil and natural gas sales (roughly 70% of total), with additional streams from refined products, petrochemicals, pipeline transportation, and power transmission. Its key advantage is its dominant position as Colombia's national oil champion—controlling the country's major pipelines and refineries—which creates significant barriers to entry and provides strategic control over the energy value chain.

Revenue Breakdown by Segment

How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units

PBRPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
FY 2019
Oil Products
100.0%$46.9B
ECEcopetrol S.A.
FY 2024
Crude oil
100.0%$48.81T

Financial Metrics Comparison

Side-by-side fundamentals across 2 stocks. BestLagging

Financial Scorecard

PBR 4EC 0
Financial MetricsPBR6/6 metrics
Valuation MetricsTie3/6 metrics
Profitability & EfficiencyPBR9/9 metrics
Total ReturnsPBR5/6 metrics
Risk & VolatilityPBR2/2 metrics
Analyst OutlookTie1/2 metrics

PBR leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Financial Metrics and Profitability & Efficiency. 2 categories are tied.

Financial Metrics (TTM)

EC is the larger business by revenue, generating $125.67T annually — 1454.5x PBR's $86.4B. PBR is the more profitable business, keeping 16.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to EC's 8.2%. On growth, PBR holds the edge at +0.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.

MetricPBRPetróleo Brasilei…ECEcopetrol S.A.
RevenueTrailing 12 months$86.4B$125.67T
EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax$35.9B$41.82T
Net IncomeAfter-tax profit$14.0B$10.31T
Free Cash FlowCash after capex$16.7B$17.21T
Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue+48.1%+31.6%
Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue+25.3%+24.8%
Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue+16.2%+8.2%
FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue+19.4%+13.7%
Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year+0.5%-13.8%
EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year+2.2%-29.8%
PBR leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.

Valuation Metrics

At 6.6x trailing earnings, EC trades at a 6% valuation discount to PBR's 7.1x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, PBR's 3.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than EC's 3.7x.

MetricPBRPetróleo Brasilei…ECEcopetrol S.A.
Market CapShares × price$61.9B$24.4B
Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash$118.9B$52.6B
Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS7.11x6.65x
Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est.7.23x0.00x
PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate0.17x
EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple3.12x3.69x
Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue0.68x0.69x
Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share0.90x0.84x
Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF2.65x2.83x
Evenly matched — PBR and EC each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.

Profitability & Efficiency

PBR delivers a 17.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $17 in annual profit, vs $10 for EC. PBR carries lower financial leverage with a 1.02x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to EC's 1.09x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), PBR scores 5/9 vs EC's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.

MetricPBRPetróleo Brasilei…ECEcopetrol S.A.
ROE (TTM)Return on equity+17.5%+9.6%
ROA (TTM)Return on assets+6.1%+3.5%
ROICReturn on invested capital+15.7%+14.0%
ROCEReturn on capital employed+15.4%+15.4%
Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–953
Debt / EquityFinancial leverage1.02x1.09x
Net DebtTotal debt minus cash$57.0B$105.91T
Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets$3.3B$14.05T
Total DebtShort + long-term debt$60.3B$119.97T
Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense7.96x4.91x
PBR leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.

Total Returns (with DRIP)

A $10,000 investment in PBR five years ago would be worth $40,394 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $16,049 for EC. Over the past 12 months, EC leads with a +36.1% total return vs PBR's +32.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors PBR at 28.0% vs EC's 16.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.

MetricPBRPetróleo Brasilei…ECEcopetrol S.A.
YTD ReturnYear-to-date+39.5%+16.3%
1-Year ReturnPast 12 months+32.8%+36.1%
3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends+109.6%+57.8%
5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends+303.9%+60.5%
10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends+789.5%+242.5%
CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return+28.0%+16.4%
PBR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.

Risk & Volatility

PBR is the less volatile stock with a 0.65 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than EC's 0.90 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. PBR currently trades 98.3% from its 52-week high vs EC's 89.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.

MetricPBRPetróleo Brasilei…ECEcopetrol S.A.
Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 5000.65x0.90x
52-Week HighHighest price in past year$16.92$13.27
52-Week LowLowest price in past year$11.03$7.80
% of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak+98.3%+89.6%
RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–10072.748.6
Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded20.2M2.5M
PBR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.

Analyst Outlook

Wall Street rates PBR as "Buy" and EC as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply -6.6% upside for PBR (target: $16) vs -13.0% for EC (target: $10). For income investors, PBR offers the higher dividend yield at 34.20% vs EC's 18.27%.

MetricPBRPetróleo Brasilei…ECEcopetrol S.A.
Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sellBuyHold
Price TargetConsensus 12-month target$15.53$10.35
# AnalystsCovering analysts2211
Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price+34.2%+18.3%
Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises01
Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS$5.69$8177.16
Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap+0.6%+0.0%
Evenly matched — PBR and EC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.

Historical Charts

Charts are rendered on first load. Hover for details.

Chart 1Total Return — 5 Years (Rebased to 100)

StockMar 20Feb 26Change
Petróleo Brasileiro… (PBR)100120.34+20.3%
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC)10069.16-30.8%

Petróleo Brasileiro… (PBR) returned +304% over 5 years vs Ecopetrol S.A. (EC)'s +60%. A $10,000 investment in PBR 5 years ago would be worth $40,394 today (including dividends reinvested).

Chart 2Revenue Growth — 10 Years

Stock20152024Change
Petróleo Brasileiro… (PBR)$97.3B$91.4B-6.1%
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC)$52.3T$133.3T+154.7%

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras's revenue grew from $97.3B (2015) to $91.4B (2024) — a -0.7% CAGR. Ecopetrol S.A.'s revenue grew from $52.3T (2015) to $133.3T (2024) — a 10.9% CAGR.

Chart 3Net Margin Trend — 10 Years

Stock20152024Change
Petróleo Brasileiro… (PBR)-8.7%8.2%+194.8%
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC)-13.7%10.4%+175.5%

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras's net margin went from -9% (2015) to 8% (2024). Ecopetrol S.A.'s net margin went from -14% (2015) to 10% (2024).

Chart 4P/E Ratio History — 8 Years

Stock20172024Change
Petróleo Brasileiro… (PBR)38.35.5-85.6%
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC)00

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras has traded in a 1x–56x P/E range over 7 years; current trailing P/E is ~7x. Ecopetrol S.A. has traded in a 0x–0x P/E range over 8 years; current trailing P/E is ~7x.

Chart 5EPS Growth — 10 Years

Stock20152024Change
Petróleo Brasileiro… (PBR)-0.322.34+831.2%
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC)-1,939.716,732+447.1%

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras's EPS grew from $-0.32 (2015) to $2.34 (2024). Ecopetrol S.A.'s EPS grew from $-1939.71 (2015) to $6732.00 (2024).

Chart 6Free Cash Flow — 5 Years

2021
$31B
$14622B
2022
$40B
$26693B
2023
$31B
$5771B
2024
$23B
$32544B
Petróleo Brasileiro… (PBR)Ecopetrol S.A. (EC)

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras generated $23B FCF in 2024 (-26% vs 2021). Ecopetrol S.A. generated $32.5T FCF in 2024 (+123% vs 2021).

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PBR vs EC: Frequently Asked Questions

9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily

01

Is PBR or EC a better buy right now?

Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) offers the better valuation at 6.6x trailing P/E (0.0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) a "Buy" — based on 22 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

02

Which has the better valuation — PBR or EC?

On trailing P/E, Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) is the cheapest at 6.6x versus Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras at 7.1x. On forward P/E, Ecopetrol S.A. is actually cheaper at 0.0x.

03

Which is the better long-term investment — PBR or EC?

Over the past 5 years, Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) delivered a total return of +303.9%, compared to +60.5% for Ecopetrol S.A. (EC). A $10,000 investment in PBR five years ago would be worth approximately $40K today (assuming dividends reinvested). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PBR returned +789.5% versus EC's +242.5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

04

Which is safer — PBR or EC?

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) is the lower-risk stock at 0.65β versus Ecopetrol S.A.'s 0.90β — meaning EC is approximately 39% more volatile than PBR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 102% versus 109% for Ecopetrol S.A. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

05

Which has better profit margins — PBR or EC?

Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) is the more profitable company, earning 10.4% net margin versus 8.2% for Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras — meaning it keeps 10.4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: EC leads at 28.8% versus 28.1% for PBR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — PBR leads at 50.3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

06

Is PBR or EC more undervalued right now?

On forward earnings alone, Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) trades at 0.0x forward P/E versus 7.2x for Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras — 7.2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for PBR: -6.6% to $15.53.

07

Which pays a better dividend — PBR or EC?

All stocks in this comparison pay dividends. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) offers the highest yield at 34.2%, versus 18.3% for Ecopetrol S.A. (EC).

08

Is PBR or EC better for a retirement portfolio?

For long-horizon retirement investors, Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.65), 34.2% yield, +789.5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PBR: +789.5%, EC: +242.5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

09

What are the main differences between PBR and EC?

Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.

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Better Than Both

Find stocks that beat PBR and EC on the metrics you choose

Revenue Growth>
%
(PBR: 0.5% · EC: -13.8%)
Net Margin>
%
(PBR: 16.2% · EC: 8.2%)
P/E Ratio<
x
(PBR: 7.1x · EC: 6.6x)