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ECEcopetrol S.A.
$15.55$32.0B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
EC logo

Ecopetrol S.A.

EC
NYSE · Integrated Oil & Gas
$15.55
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$31.97B
P/E8.3x
52W High$18.38
Volume1.74M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Margin Recovery Masks Cyclical Revenue and Cash Volatility

Ecopetrol's 2026Q2 results show a sharp margin recovery, with gross margin expanding to 40.1% and operating margin to 31.8%, but this follows a cyclical trough in 2025Q4 when margins fell to 29.5% and 18.4%, respectively.

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

EC price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

3/12 Beats

EPS beat 3 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-26% Peers

P/E is 26% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 74 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 74)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 10
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue surged 25.2% YoY to $37.1T in 2026Q2, but this follows a -16.4% decline in the prior quarter, and while gross margin improved to 40.1% from 28.7% a year earlier, EPS growth of only 2.1% suggests non-operating drags.

Analyst Consensus+13.0% target
Hold(12 analysts)
3 Buy7 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Regulatory approval for financing

Ecopetrol S.A. has obtained authorization to amend its Local Public Bond and Commercial Paper Issuance and Placement Program, enhancing financial flexibility.

Bullish analyst projections

Wall Street analysts project a 12-month price target of $14.48 (13.2% upside) and a long-term 2030 forecast of $893.26, based on bullish scenarios.

Commodity strength assumption

The bull case assumes sustained commodity price strength, which would benefit Ecopetrol's revenue and profitability.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
EC+58.51%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
EC+67.52%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
EC+66.97%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+68.85%
5-Year Return
EC+61.26%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+56.87%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
8.3x
Forward P/EExpansion
0.0x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
4.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
13.6%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
8.3x
0.0x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
4.3x
2.0x
100th· High
Price/FCF
7.4x
0.0x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$49.11+215.8%
Base (Fair)$78.65+405.8%
Bull$123.91+696.8%
$49.11 Bear$78.65 Base$123.91 Bull
Current Market Price: $15.55
Trades at a 80.2% discount to Base DCF ($78.65)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$111481.57B-16.4% YoY
Net income FY25
$8395.53B-39.3% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$16194.98B-50.2% YoY
Operating margin FY25
22.3%-6.6 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)8.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y15.6%
ROE (TTM)11.7%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate3/12 (25%)
Revenue Beat Rate4/12 (33%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 3, 2026
$0.82-4.7%
vs $0.86
$11.7B+7.9%
vs $10.8B
Q2 2026
May 12, 2026
$0.38-29.0%
vs $0.54
$7.8B-3.1%
vs $8.0B
Q2 2026
Mar 4, 2026
$0.22-6.3%
vs $0.23
$5.8B-19.3%
vs $7.1B
Q4 2025
Nov 11, 2025
$0.31
vs $0.00
$7.7B+6.9%
vs $7.2B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·4d ago
Buy 5 Low-Beta High-Yielding Stocks Amid Recent Wall Street Volatility

COP, VNOM, TTE, SU and EC are five low-beta, high-yielding energy stocks, backed by improving earnings estimates, growth prospects and attractive dividends.

Zacks Investment Research·4d ago
Ecopetrol (EC) Outperforms Broader Market: What You Need to Know

Ecopetrol (EC) closed the most recent trading day at $16.56, moving +2.38% from the previous trading session.

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 28, 2026
Ecopetrol (EC) Laps the Stock Market: Here's Why

In the latest trading session, Ecopetrol (EC) closed at $17.68, marking a +2.26% move from the previous day.

PRNewsWire·Oct 27, 2026
Ecopetrol announces the dates for the presentation of its third quarter 2026 results report and conference call

BOGOTA, Colombia, Oct. 27, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Ecopetrol S.A. (BVC: ECOPETROL; NYSE: EC) (the "Company") announces that on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, it plans to release its financial and operating results for the third quarter of 2026, after the market closes.

Filtered for Ecopetrol S.A.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark EC against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Ecopetrol S.A. (EC)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
EC logoECEcopetrol S.A.Current
$15.55$31.97B8.27-16.39%10.11%11.73%10.56%
PBR logoPBRPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
$18.53$119.41B4.67-3.62%24.52%30.54%6.91%
YPF logoYPFYPF Sociedad Anónima
$38.66$15.22B7.6048.25%9.52%17.11%—
CVX logoCVXChevron Corporation
$212.61$423.43B15.47-4.64%11.95%13.89%3.23%
XOM logoXOMExxon Mobil Corporation
$165.87$687.53B16.90-4.52%10.46%15.24%2.41%
BP logoBPBP p.l.c.
$44.53$116.6B12.930.08%3.79%11.75%4.28%

Compare EC vs Peers

Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs PBR

Most directly comparable listed peer for EC.

Scale Benchmark

vs XOM

Larger-name benchmark to compare EC against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs PBR, YPF, CVX, XOM

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EC Frequently Asked Questions

Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Ecopetrol S.A.'s revenue?

Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) reported $123.86T in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $111.48T in fiscal year 2025. That is 506% more than the $18.39T of fiscal year 2006.

How fast is Ecopetrol S.A. growing?

Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) revenue fell by 5.0% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is EC profitable?

Yes. Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) earned $12.52T in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 10.1% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does EC pay dividends?

Yes. Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) pays a dividend that yields 10.56% at the current price, a high yield.

What is EC's return on equity?

Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) had a return on equity (ROE) of 11.7% over the trailing twelve months. That is in line with the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Ecopetrol S.A.'s free cash flow?

Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) generated $14.06T in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in EC back in 2006?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 20+ years of data

See returns →