Comprehensive Stock Comparison
Compare Valneva SE (VALN) vs Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) Stock
Analyze side-by-side fundamentals, valuation, growth, and profitability to decide which stock is the better buy.
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Quick Verdict
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | VALN | 10.3% revenue growth vs MRNA's -53.3% |
| Quality / Margins | VALN | -34.1% net margin vs MRNA's -140.3% |
| Stability / Safety | VALN | Beta 1.24 vs MRNA's 1.25 |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | MRNA | +73.0% vs VALN's +64.3% |
| Efficiency (ROA) | VALN | -14.2% ROA vs MRNA's -25.7%, ROIC 4.5% vs -27.0% |
Who Each Stock Is For
Income & stability
Growth exposure
Long-term compounding (10Y)
Sleep-well-at-night portfolio
Defensive / Recession hedge
Business Model
What each company does and how it makes money
Valneva is a specialty vaccine company developing and commercializing prophylactic vaccines for infectious diseases with unmet medical needs. It generates revenue primarily from sales of its commercial travel vaccines — IXIARO for Japanese encephalitis and DUKORAL for cholera — while advancing a pipeline of late-stage candidates including a chikungunya vaccine and a Lyme disease vaccine in partnership with Pfizer. The company's competitive advantage lies in its focus on niche infectious diseases often overlooked by larger pharmaceutical companies and its strategic partnerships that provide development funding and commercialization expertise.
Moderna is a biotechnology company that develops messenger RNA (mRNA) therapeutics and vaccines for infectious diseases, cancer, and other serious conditions. It generates revenue primarily from vaccine sales—notably its COVID-19 vaccine—with additional income from research collaborations and government grants. The company's key advantage is its proprietary mRNA technology platform, which enables rapid development of new vaccines and therapeutics compared to traditional methods.
Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Financial Metrics Comparison
Side-by-side fundamentals across 2 stocks. BestLagging
Financial Scorecard
VALN leads in 3 of 6 categories — strongest in Financial Metrics and Valuation Metrics. 2 categories are tied.
Financial Metrics (TTM)
MRNA is the larger business by revenue, generating $2.2B annually — 11.3x VALN's $196M. VALN is the more profitable business, keeping -34.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MRNA's -140.3%. On growth, VALN holds the edge at +27.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | VALNValneva SE | MRNAModerna, Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $196M | $2.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$36M | -$3.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$67M | -$3.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$34M | -$2.7B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +49.0% | +11.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -25.6% | -155.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -34.1% | -140.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -17.5% | -119.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +27.0% | -45.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +60.5% | -16.6% |
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | VALNValneva SE | MRNAModerna, Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $963M | $20.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.0B | $19.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -55.31x | -5.78x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 26.27x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 4.82x | 6.55x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.64x | 1.89x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
MRNA delivers a -33.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-33 in annual profit, vs $-36 for VALN. MRNA carries lower financial leverage with a 0.07x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to VALN's 1.19x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), VALN scores 5/9 vs MRNA's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | VALNValneva SE | MRNAModerna, Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -36.0% | -33.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -14.2% | -25.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.5% | -27.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +3.9% | -28.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.19x | 0.07x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $48M | -$1.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $168M | $1.9B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $216M | $747M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -1.75x | -393.13x |
Total Returns (with DRIP)
A $10,000 investment in VALN five years ago would be worth $4,199 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,403 for MRNA. Over the past 12 months, MRNA leads with a +73.0% total return vs VALN's +64.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors VALN at -1.8% vs MRNA's -27.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | VALNValneva SE | MRNAModerna, Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +23.8% | +73.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +64.3% | +73.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -5.3% | -61.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -58.0% | -66.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -58.0% | +188.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -1.8% | -27.2% |
Risk & Volatility
VALN is the less volatile stock with a 1.24 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MRNA's 1.25 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MRNA currently trades 97.0% from its 52-week high vs VALN's 90.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | VALNValneva SE | MRNAModerna, Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.24x | 1.25x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $12.25 | $55.20 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.43 | $22.28 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +90.5% | +97.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 14K | 10.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates VALN as "Buy" and MRNA as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 65.3% upside for VALN (target: $18) vs -34.9% for MRNA (target: $35).
| Metric | VALNValneva SE | MRNAModerna, Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $18.33 | $34.89 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 2 | 27 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Historical Charts
Charts are rendered on first load. Hover for details.
Chart 1Total Return — 5 Years (Rebased to 100)
| Stock | May 21 | Feb 26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valneva SE (VALN) | 100 | 34.65 | -65.4% |
| Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) | 100 | 23.04 | -77.0% |
Valneva SE (VALN) returned -58% over 5 years vs Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)'s -66%.
Chart 2Revenue Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2015 | 2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valneva SE (VALN) | $78M | $170M | +116.4% |
| Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) | $108M | $3.2B | +2851.2% |
Valneva SE's revenue grew from $78M (2015) to $170M (2024) — a 9.0% CAGR.
Chart 3Net Margin Trend — 10 Years
| Stock | 2015 | 2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valneva SE (VALN) | -26.3% | -7.2% | +72.6% |
| Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) | -199.5% | -111.3% | +44.2% |
Valneva SE's net margin went from -26% (2015) to -7% (2024).
Chart 4EPS Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2015 | 2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valneva SE (VALN) | -0.56 | -0.17 | +69.6% |
| Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) | -3.79 | -9.27 | -144.6% |
Valneva SE's EPS grew from $-0.56 (2015) to $-0.17 (2024).
Chart 5Free Cash Flow — 5 Years
Valneva SE generated $-84M FCF in 2024 (-414% vs 2021). Moderna, Inc. generated $-4B FCF in 2024 (-130% vs 2021).
VALN vs MRNA: Frequently Asked Questions
7 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is VALN or MRNA a better buy right now?
Analysts rate Valneva SE (VALN) a "Buy" — based on 2 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — VALN or MRNA?
Over the past 5 years, Valneva SE (VALN) delivered a total return of -58.0%, compared to -66.0% for Moderna, Inc. (MRNA). A $10,000 investment in VALN five years ago would be worth approximately $4K today (assuming dividends reinvested). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MRNA returned +188.0% versus VALN's -58.0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — VALN or MRNA?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Valneva SE (VALN) is the lower-risk stock at 1.24β versus Moderna, Inc.'s 1.25β — meaning MRNA is approximately 1% more volatile than VALN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 7% versus 119% for Valneva SE — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which has better profit margins — VALN or MRNA?
Valneva SE (VALN) is the more profitable company, earning -7.2% net margin versus -111.3% for Moderna, Inc. — meaning it keeps -7.2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: VALN leads at 7.9% versus -123.3% for MRNA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MRNA leads at 54.2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
05Which pays a better dividend — VALN or MRNA?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend. All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
06Is VALN or MRNA better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.25), +188.0% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MRNA: +188.0%, VALN: -58.0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
07What are the main differences between VALN and MRNA?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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