Compare XP Inc. (XP) vs Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) Stock

XP Inc. (XP) offers the better valuation at 13.5x trailing P/E (1.9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate XP Inc. (XP) a "Buy" — based on 9 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

On trailing P/E, XP Inc. (XP) is the cheapest at 13.5x versus Futu Holdings Limited at 30.0x. On forward P/E, Futu Holdings Limited is actually cheaper at 1.8x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Futu Holdings Limited wins at 0.02x versus XP Inc.'s 0.06x — a PEG below 1.0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.

Over the past 5 years, Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) delivered a total return of -9.0%, compared to -46.3% for XP Inc. (XP). A $10,000 investment in FUTU five years ago would be worth approximately $9K today (assuming dividends reinvested). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FUTU returned +884.3% versus XP's -31.3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), XP Inc. (XP) is the lower-risk stock at 0.83β versus Futu Holdings Limited's 1.57β — meaning FUTU is approximately 88% more volatile than XP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 31% versus 6% for XP Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) is the more profitable company, earning 40.1% net margin versus 22.7% for XP Inc. — meaning it keeps 40.1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: FUTU leads at 48.7% versus -19.7% for XP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FUTU leads at 82.0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential. By this metric, Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0.02x versus XP Inc.'s 0.06x. A PEG below 1.0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) trades at 1.8x forward P/E versus 1.9x for XP Inc. — 0.1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FUTU: 51.0% to $224.70.

In this comparison, XP (3.3% yield) pays a dividend. FUTU does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.

For long-horizon retirement investors, XP Inc. (XP) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.83), 3.3% yield). Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) carries a higher beta of 1.57 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (XP: -31.3%, FUTU: +884.3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both. In terms of investment character: XP is a small-cap deep-value stock; FUTU is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. XP pays a dividend while FUTU does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.