Comprehensive Stock Comparison
Compare XPeng Inc. (XPEV) vs Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) Stock
Analyze side-by-side fundamentals, valuation, growth, and profitability to decide which stock is the better buy.
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Quick Verdict
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | XPEV | 33.2% revenue growth vs TM's 6.5% |
| Value | TM | Lower P/E (0.1x vs 23.1x) |
| Quality / Margins | TM | 9.4% net margin vs XPEV's -7.1% |
| Stability / Safety | XPEV | Beta 0.92 vs TM's 0.93, lower leverage |
| Dividends | TM | 2.3% yield; 4-year raise streak; XPEV pays no meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | TM | +36.7% vs XPEV's -18.3% |
| Efficiency (ROA) | TM | 4.7% ROA vs XPEV's -4.6%, ROIC 5.6% vs -16.9% |
Who Each Stock Is For
Income & stability
Growth exposure
Long-term compounding (10Y)
Sleep-well-at-night portfolio
Defensive / Recession hedge
Business Model
What each company does and how it makes money
XPeng is a Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer focused on smart, connected cars with advanced driver-assistance systems. It generates revenue primarily from vehicle sales — with additional income from services like maintenance, charging, and software subscriptions — though the exact segment breakdown isn't publicly detailed. The company's key advantage lies in its vertically integrated software and hardware development, particularly its proprietary XPILOT autonomous driving technology and intelligent cockpit systems.
Toyota is one of the world's largest automakers, manufacturing and selling vehicles across nearly every segment — from compact cars to luxury sedans and trucks. It generates most of its revenue from automotive sales (around 90%), supplemented by financial services (about 8%) that provide financing and leasing to customers. The company's key advantage is its legendary manufacturing efficiency — particularly the Toyota Production System — which delivers industry-leading quality and cost control while pioneering hybrid technology with its Prius platform.
Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Financial Metrics Comparison
Side-by-side fundamentals across 2 stocks. BestLagging
Financial Scorecard
TM leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Financial Metrics and Valuation Metrics. 1 category is tied.
Financial Metrics (TTM)
TM is the larger business by revenue, generating $49.39T annually — 819.1x XPEV's $60.3B. TM is the more profitable business, keeping 9.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to XPEV's -7.1%. On growth, XPEV holds the edge at +125.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | XPEVXPeng Inc. | TMToyota Motor Corp… |
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $60.3B | $49.39T |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$3.3B | $6.59T |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$4.3B | $4.63T |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $0 | $147.8B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +15.7% | +18.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -8.9% | +8.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -7.1% | +9.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -10.9% | +0.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +125.3% | +8.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +26.5% | +65.7% |
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | XPEVXPeng Inc. | TMToyota Motor Corp… |
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.1B | $315.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.7B | $506.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -9.84x | 10.53x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 23.07x | 0.08x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.52x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 11.23x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.03x | 1.03x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.82x | 1.35x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
TM delivers a 12.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $12 in annual profit, vs $-14 for XPEV. XPEV carries lower financial leverage with a 0.51x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TM's 1.05x.
| Metric | XPEVXPeng Inc. | TMToyota Motor Corp… |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -14.1% | +12.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -4.6% | +4.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -16.9% | +5.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -14.7% | +7.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.51x | 1.05x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$2.6B | $29.81T |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $18.6B | $8.98T |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $15.9B | $38.79T |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -12.31x | 38.49x |
Total Returns (with DRIP)
A $10,000 investment in TM five years ago would be worth $17,804 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,946 for XPEV. Over the past 12 months, TM leads with a +36.7% total return vs XPEV's -18.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors XPEV at 25.3% vs TM's 23.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | XPEVXPeng Inc. | TMToyota Motor Corp… |
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -14.0% | +11.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -18.3% | +36.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +96.9% | +89.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -50.5% | +78.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -17.2% | +174.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +25.3% | +23.7% |
Risk & Volatility
XPEV is the less volatile stock with a 0.92 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TM's 0.93 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TM currently trades 97.4% from its 52-week high vs XPEV's 62.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | XPEVXPeng Inc. | TMToyota Motor Corp… |
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.92x | 0.93x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $28.24 | $248.90 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $16.13 | $155.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +62.2% | +97.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 45.1 | 59.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.9M | 254K |
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates XPEV as "Buy" and TM as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 45.2% upside for XPEV (target: $26) vs -26.0% for TM (target: $179). TM is the only dividend payer here at 2.28% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | XPEVXPeng Inc. | TMToyota Motor Corp… |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $25.50 | $179.41 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 16 | 15 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +2.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $863.50 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +2.4% |
Historical Charts
Charts are rendered on first load. Hover for details.
Chart 1Total Return — 5 Years (Rebased to 100)
| Stock | Aug 20 | Feb 26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| XPeng Inc. (XPEV) | 100 | 77.71 | -22.3% |
| Toyota Motor Corpor… (TM) | 100 | 175.04 | +75.0% |
Toyota Motor Corpor… (TM) returned +78% over 5 years vs XPeng Inc. (XPEV)'s -51%. A $10,000 investment in TM 5 years ago would be worth $17,804 today (including dividends reinvested).
Chart 2Revenue Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2016 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| XPeng Inc. (XPEV) | $10M | $40.9B | +420941.7% |
| Toyota Motor Corpor… (TM) | $28.4T | $48.0T | +69.1% |
Toyota Motor Corporation's revenue grew from $28.4T (2016) to $48.0T (2025) — a 6.0% CAGR.
Chart 3Net Margin Trend — 10 Years
| Stock | 2016 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| XPeng Inc. (XPEV) | -144.1% | -14.2% | +90.2% |
| Toyota Motor Corpor… (TM) | 8.1% | 9.9% | +21.8% |
Toyota Motor Corporation's net margin went from 8% (2016) to 10% (2025).
Chart 4P/E Ratio History — 9 Years
| Stock | 2017 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corpor… (TM) | 0.1 | 0.1 | +0.0% |
Toyota Motor Corporation has traded in a 0x–0x P/E range over 9 years; current trailing P/E is ~11x.
Chart 5EPS Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2016 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| XPeng Inc. (XPEV) | -3.12 | -12.24 | -292.3% |
| Toyota Motor Corpor… (TM) | 1,470.7 | 3,595.6 | +144.5% |
Toyota Motor Corporation's EPS grew from $1470.70 (2016) to $3595.60 (2025) — a 10% CAGR.
Chart 6Free Cash Flow — 5 Years
XPeng Inc. generated $-4B FCF in 2024 (+18% vs 2021). Toyota Motor Corporation generated $-1.6T FCF in 2025 (-21617% vs 2021).
XPEV vs TM: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is XPEV or TM a better buy right now?
Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) offers the better valuation at 10.5x trailing P/E (0.1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate XPeng Inc. (XPEV) a "Buy" — based on 16 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — XPEV or TM?
On forward P/E, Toyota Motor Corporation is actually cheaper at 0.1x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — XPEV or TM?
Over the past 5 years, Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) delivered a total return of +78.0%, compared to -50.5% for XPeng Inc. (XPEV). A $10,000 investment in TM five years ago would be worth approximately $18K today (assuming dividends reinvested). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TM returned +174.4% versus XPEV's -17.2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — XPEV or TM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), XPeng Inc. (XPEV) is the lower-risk stock at 0.92β versus Toyota Motor Corporation's 0.93β — meaning TM is approximately 0% more volatile than XPEV relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, XPeng Inc. (XPEV) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 51% versus 105% for Toyota Motor Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which has better profit margins — XPEV or TM?
Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) is the more profitable company, earning 9.9% net margin versus -14.2% for XPeng Inc. — meaning it keeps 9.9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TM leads at 10.0% versus -16.3% for XPEV. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TM leads at 19.9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is XPEV or TM more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) trades at 0.1x forward P/E versus 23.1x for XPeng Inc. — 23.0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for XPEV: 45.2% to $25.50.
07Which pays a better dividend — XPEV or TM?
In this comparison, TM (2.3% yield) pays a dividend. XPEV does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is XPEV or TM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.93), 2.3% yield, +174.4% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (TM: +174.4%, XPEV: -17.2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between XPEV and TM?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both. In terms of investment character: XPEV is a small-cap quality compounder stock; TM is a large-cap deep-value stock. TM pays a dividend while XPEV does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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