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ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland Company
$69.97$33.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
ADM logo

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

ADM
NYSE · Farm Products & Agribusiness
$69.97
At close - USD
Market Cap$33.72B
P/E31.4x
52W High$88.75
Volume3.46M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Cyclical Margin Rebound Masks Thin Structural Profitability at ADM

ADM's revenue has rebounded to $22.3B in 2026Q3 with 9.6% year-over-year growth, and operating income climbed from $100.0M in 2025Q2 to $935.0M, suggesting improved cost absorption.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationReview
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

ADM price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+121% Peers

P/E is 121% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 46 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 54% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Feb 3
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue and operating income have recovered from 2025 lows, with gross margin expanding from 4.7% in 2025Q2 to 8.4% in 2026Q3, yet margins remain low relative to specialty ingredient peers and leave limited cushion against normalization.

Analyst Consensus+21.1% target
Hold(36 analysts)
12 Buy23 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Earnings beat and dividend increase

Archer-Daniels-Midland reported fourth-quarter 2025 results that exceeded earnings estimates and raised its quarterly dividend by 2%, signaling financial strength.

Upgraded earnings outlook

Analysts have lifted full-year earnings estimates for Archer-Daniels-Midland, reflecting a stronger earnings outlook compared to earlier expectations.

Global operational scale

ADM operates a vast global network with over 800 facilities across more than 200 countries, providing significant market reach and operational resilience.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
ADM+21.13%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
ADM+27.01%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
ADM+4.77%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+67.82%
5-Year Return
ADM+24.36%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+55.86%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
13.6x
Forward P/EExpansion
12.6x
EV/EBITDA40th %ile
11.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
1.0%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
13.6x
13.8x
40th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
11.3x
11.7x
40th· Fair
Price/FCF
97.5x
13.2x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
No DCF Model AvailableIntrinsic value modeling is not supported for this equity.

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$80.27B-6.2% YoY
Net income FY25
$1.08B-40.1% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$4.2B+242.6% YoY
Operating margin FY25
1.8%-0.6 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)3.3%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)4.7%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate0/12 (0%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Nov 3, 2026
$1.77+10.6%
vs $1.60
$22.3B-4.0%
vs $23.3B
Q3 2026
Aug 4, 2026
$1.84+29.6%
vs $1.42
$22.7B-0.3%
vs $22.7B
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
$0.71+7.6%
vs $0.66
$20.5B-4.0%
vs $21.4B
Q1 2026
Feb 3, 2026
$0.87+9.2%
vs $0.80
$18.6B-11.9%
vs $21.1B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
2 AgriTech and Food Innovation Stocks to Buy for a Stable Portfolio

ADM and DE offer exposure to AgriTech and food innovation, backed by strategic investments, operational improvements and growth opportunities.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
After Plunging 12.9% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why the Trend Might Reverse for ADM (ADM)

ADM (ADM) has become technically an oversold stock now, which implies exhaustion of the heavy selling pressure on it. This, combined with strong agreement among Wall Street analysts in revising earnings estimates higher, indicates a potential trend reversal for the stock in the near term.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Democratic Sweep May Turn the Tide in Favor of Cyclical Stocks: 5 Picks

A potential Democrat-led Congress could shift investor focus from AI stocks to cyclical sectors, putting ADM, FCX, UNH, CASY and CR in the spotlight.

Business Wire·3d ago
ADM Declares Cash Dividend

CHICAGO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--ADM's (NYSE: ADM) Board of Directors has declared a cash dividend of 52.0 cents per share on the company's common stock. The dividend is payable on Dec. 9, 2026, to shareholders of record on Nov. 18, 2026.This is ADM's 380th consecutive quarterly payment, representing 54 years of consecutive years of dividend growth, and a record of more than 95 consecutive years of uninterrupted dividends. As of Sept. 30, 2026, there were 477,658,496 shares of ADM common stock outstand.

Filtered for Archer-Daniels-Midland CompanyMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark ADM against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
ADM logoADMArcher-Daniels-Midland CompanyCurrent
$69.97$33.72B31.38-6.15%1.34%4.74%2.91%
BG logoBGBunge Global S.A.
$99.10$19.04B20.1432.43%1.24%6.61%2.78%
INGR logoINGRIngredion Incorporated
$91.72$5.78B8.20-2.84%8.21%13.41%3.53%
TSN logoTSNTyson Foods, Inc.
$59.68$21.16B43.882.12%1.03%3.15%3.36%
CAG logoCAGConagra Brands, Inc.
$15.24$7.29B-3.81-2.85%-1.14%-1.58%9.17%
CALM logoCALMCal-Maine Foods, Inc.
$64.60$3.03B9.74-31.68%2.32%2.21%7.5%

Compare ADM vs Peers

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs BG

Most directly comparable listed peer for ADM.

Scale Benchmark

vs DE

Larger-name benchmark to compare ADM against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs BG, INGR, TSN, CAG

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

ADM SEC Filings & Documents

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Nov 3, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 12, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 10, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 17, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 20, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Nov 3, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 5, 2026·SEC

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ADM Frequently Asked Questions

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Archer-Daniels-Midland Company's revenue?

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) reported $84.06B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $80.27B in fiscal year 2025. That is 479% more than the $13.85B of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is Archer-Daniels-Midland Company growing?

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) revenue fell by 6.2% in fiscal year 2025, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is ADM profitable?

Yes. Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) earned $2.48B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 3.0% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does ADM pay dividends?

Yes. Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) pays a dividend that yields 2.91% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is ADM's return on equity?

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) had a return on equity (ROE) of 4.7% in fiscal year 2025. That is below the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Archer-Daniels-Midland Company's free cash flow?

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) generated $346.0M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in ADM back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →