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ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.
$41.91$4.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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ALK logo

Alaska Air Group, Inc.

ALK
NYSE · Airlines & Airports
$41.91
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$4.67B
P/E48.2x
52W High$60.63
Volume2.88M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Merger Integration Strains Margins and Leverage

Alaska Air Group's acquisition of Hawaiian Airlines has expanded its asset base and revenue, but integration costs and accounting reclassifications have clouded profitability, with operating margin swinging from 7.5% in 2025Q2 to -4.1% in 2026Q2. Revenue growt...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

ALK price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+62% Peers

P/E is 62% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 42 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 58% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 21
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth decelerated to 9.7% in 2026Q2, while operating margin turned negative at -4.1%, reflecting integration strain and cost reclassifications that swung gross margin from 25.5% in 2025Q2 to 89.3% in 2026Q2.

Analyst Consensus+31.6% target
Buy(28 analysts)
22 Buy5 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Resilient Q4 performance

Alaska Air Group demonstrated resilience in Q4, with strong unit revenue and better cost management.

Strong Wall Street consensus

The stock has unanimous buy ratings from analysts, with 16 out of 16 recommending Strong Buy or Buy.

2026 EPS rebound expected

Despite leverage risks, analysts project a rebound in earnings per share by 2026.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
ALK-18.65%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
ALK-23.49%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
ALK+11.76%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+82.36%
5-Year Return
ALK-27.05%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+73.19%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
48.2x
Forward P/E
N/A
EV/EBITDA20th %ile
10.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
48.2x
21.3x
60th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
10.0x
11.1x
20th· Low
Price/FCF
N/A
45.4x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
No DCF Model AvailableIntrinsic value modeling is not supported for this equity.

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$14.24B+21.3% YoY
Net income
$100M-74.7% YoY
Free cash flow
-$339M-285.2% YoY
Operating margin
2.1%-2.7 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)2.3%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)2.4%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 21, 2026
-$0.92+7.3%
vs -$0.99
$4.1B-0.7%
vs $4.1B
Q2 2026
Apr 20, 2026
-$1.68-1.8%
vs -$1.65
$3.3B+0.2%
vs $3.3B
Q1 2026
Jan 22, 2026
$0.43+290.9%
vs $0.11
$3.6B-0.3%
vs $3.6B
Q4 2025
Oct 23, 2025
$1.05-3.7%
vs $1.09
$3.8B+0.2%
vs $3.8B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·Sep 14, 2026
Alaska Air Group (ALK) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investors

Alaska Air Group (ALK) concluded the recent trading session at $40.71, signifying a -1.09% move from its prior day's close.

GlobeNewsWire·Sep 14, 2026
Agomab Announces Positive Phase 1 Results for AGMB-447 in Patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis and Design of Phase 2 INSPIRIA Study

-- Topline Phase 1 data shows generally favorable safety and tolerability profile of AGMB-447 -- -- Pharmacokinetic profile confirms efficient lung restriction with low systemic exposure and high exposure of AGMB-447 in the lung, in line with prior results observed in healthy participants -- -- Robust target engagement of ALK5 observed with AGMB-447 in IPF patients -- -- Clinical Trial Application (CTA) for INSPIRIA Phase 2 study in IPF patients submitted; Company intends to initiate study before year-end -- Antwerp, Belgium, September 14, 2026 – Agomab Therapeutics NV (‘Agomab'), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on fibro-inflammation, today announced positive results of the Phase 1 study of AGMB-447 in IPF patients. AGMB-447 is an investigational inhaled lung-restricted small molecule inhibitor of ALK5 (or TGFβR1) intended for the treatment of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF).1 The Phase 1 study of AGMB-447 is a three-part, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled single ascending dose (SAD; Part A; dose range: 1 mg QD (once daily) to 20 mg QD) and multiple ascending dose (MAD; Part B; dose range: 1 mg QD to 6 mg BID (twice daily)) study in healthy participants and multiple dose study in IPF patients (Part C; dose range: 4.5 mg BID to 6 mg BID).

GlobeNewsWire·Sep 11, 2026
ALK to present at the Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference in New York

ALK (ALKB:DC / Nasdaq Copenhagen: ALK B) today announced that the company's Executive Vice President and CFO, Claus Steensen Sølje, is scheduled to participate in a fireside chat at the Morgan Stanley 24th Annual Global Healthcare Conference in New York City taking place from 14 - 16 September 2026 on Monday, 14 September 2026, at 3.20 PM EDT.

Defense World·Sep 11, 2026
Hsbc Holdings PLC Has $3.39 Million Stake in Alaska Air Group, Inc. $ALK

Hsbc Holdings PLC lowered its stake in Alaska Air Group, Inc. (NYSE: ALK) by 65.2% in the second quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund owned 65,242 shares of the transportation company's stock after selling 122,254 shares during the quarter. Hsbc Holdings PLC

Filtered for Alaska Air Group, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark ALK against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
ALK logoALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.Current
$41.91$4.67B48.1721.34%0.7%2.36%—
DAL logoDALDelta Air Lines, Inc.
$83.92$55.19B10.962.79%5.79%19.33%—
UAL logoUALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc.
$115.21$37.39B11.273.52%5.56%22.5%—
AAL logoAALAmerican Airlines Group Inc.
$13.61$9.01B80.060.78%-0.56%——
LUV logoLUVSouthwest Airlines Co.
$42.08$20.59B53.272.11%2.78%11.27%—
JBLU logoJBLUJetBlue Airways Corporation
$4.55$1.72B-2.74-2.34%-9.32%-45.51%—

Compare ALK vs Peers

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs DAL

Most directly comparable listed peer for ALK.

Scale Benchmark

vs GE

Larger-name benchmark to compare ALK against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs DAL, UAL, AAL, LUV

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

ALK SEC Filings & Documents

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 21, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 17, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 3, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 12, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 14, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 6, 2025·SEC

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ALK Frequently Asked Questions

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s revenue?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) reported $14.76B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 827% increase from $1.59B in 1996.

How fast is Alaska Air Group, Inc. growing?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) grew revenue by 21.3% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is ALK profitable?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) reported a net loss of $175.0M for fiscal year 2025.

Dividend & Returns
What is ALK's return on equity?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) has a return on equity (ROE) of 2.4%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

What is Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) had negative free cash flow of $350.0M in fiscal year 2025, likely due to heavy capital investments.

What if you invested $1,000 in ALK back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →