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CAECAE Inc.
$24.41$7.8B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
CAE logo

CAE Inc.

CAE
NYSE · Aerospace & Defense
$24.41
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$7.85B
P/E35.1x
52W High$34.24
Volume658.79K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2027Q1

Defense Re-Baselining Drags Margins Amidst Cash Flow Volatility

CAE's investment thesis is centered on its dominant position in pilot training and simulation, but near-term performance is heavily weighed down by the re-baselining of its Defense & Security segment, which is compressing operating margins to 6.2% in 2027Q1 de...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

CAE price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

In Line

P/E is in line with peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 30 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 70% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 10
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has decelerated to 6.8% year-over-year in 2027Q1, while operating margin has contracted sharply to 6.2% from a peak of 21.5% in 2025Q3, indicating significant deleverage and margin pressure from the defense segment.

Analyst Consensus+22.9% target
Buy(17 analysts)
10 Buy7 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Airline industry expansion

American Airlines' restart of nonstop services indicates growing demand in aviation, benefiting CAE's training and simulation services.

Strong financial health

CAE's robust fundamentals and tech exposure suggest resilience and growth potential, attracting smart money sentiment.

Innovative technology solutions

CAE's focus on simulation and modeling technologies positions it as a leader in making industries safer and more efficient.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
CAE-21.05%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
CAE-14.65%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
CAE+3.56%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.49%
5-Year Return
CAE-16.06%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+70.21%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
35.1x
Forward P/EExpansion
20.4x
EV/EBITDA60th %ile
12.8x
FCF YieldCash Flow
5.3%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
35.1x
32.3x
75th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
12.8x
12.7x
60th· Fair
Price/FCF
18.9x
73.6x
50th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$13.93-42.9%
Base (Fair)$26.27+11.5%
Bull$39.29+61.0%
$13.93 Bear$26.27 Base$39.29 Bull
Current Market Price: $24.41
Trades at a 7.1% discount to Base DCF ($26.27)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$4.93B+4.6% YoY
Net income
$314M-22.5% YoY
Free cash flow
$585M+29.4% YoY
Operating margin
12.7%-2.8 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)5.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)6%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 12, 2026
$0.19+11.8%
vs $0.17
$826M+3.7%
vs $797M
Q2 2026
May 21, 2026
$0.31+3.3%
vs $0.30
$954M+3.1%
vs $925M
Q1 2026
Feb 12, 2026
$0.24+9.1%
vs $0.22
$912M-0.8%
vs $919M
Q4 2025
Nov 12, 2025
$0.16-13.3%
vs $0.19
$887M+0.8%
vs $880M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Defense World·Sep 12, 2026
Amundi Has $14.13 Million Stock Holdings in CAE Inc $CAE

Amundi trimmed its position in shares of CAE Inc (NYSE: CAE) (TSE: CAE) by 4.0% during the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 563,895 shares of the aerospace company's stock after selling 23,737 shares during the quarter.

PRNewsWire·Sep 9, 2026
CAE included on TIME's list of the World's Best Companies 2026

MONTREAL, Sept. 9, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- (NASDAQ: CAE) (TSX: CAE) – CAE has been included in the first edition of the World's Best Companies 2026.

PRNewsWire·Sep 8, 2026
CAE and WB Electronics advance Polish-Canadian collaboration in unmanned systems training and readiness

KIELCE, Poland, Sept. 8, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- (NASDAQ: CAE) (TSX: CAE) – CAE and WB Electronics, a leading company in Poland's defence sector specializing in advanced technologies, today announced the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) at MSPO 2026.

Defense World·Sep 4, 2026
Bank of New York Mellon Corp Invests $7.01 Million in CAE Inc $CAE

Bank of New York Mellon Corp purchased a new stake in shares of CAE Inc (NYSE: CAE) (TSE: CAE) during the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund purchased 279,733 shares of the aerospace company's stock, valued at approximately $7,010,000. Bank

Filtered for CAE Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark CAE against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for CAE Inc. (CAE)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
CAE logoCAECAE Inc.Current
$24.41$7.85B35.154.65%6.37%6.05%—
TDG logoTDGTransDigm Group Incorporated
$1105.28$61.82B34.4511.22%21.28%——
LDOS logoLDOSLeidos Holdings, Inc.
$124.69$15.68B11.203.07%7.67%26.38%—
KTOS logoKTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
$46.16$8.66B355.0818.52%2.03%1.14%—
HEI logoHEIHEICO Corporation
$310.57$43.27B63.3816.26%16.38%16.57%—
LMT logoLMTLockheed Martin Corporation
$524.68$121.09B24.425.65%8.16%86.24%—

Compare CAE vs Peers

CAE Inc. (CAE) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs TDG

Most directly comparable listed peer for CAE.

Scale Benchmark

vs MSFT

Larger-name benchmark to compare CAE against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs TDG, LDOS, KTOS, HEI

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CAE Frequently Asked Questions

CAE Inc. (CAE) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is CAE Inc.'s revenue?

CAE Inc. (CAE) reported $4.99B in revenue for fiscal year 2026. This represents a 441% increase from $922.4M in 1997.

How fast is CAE Inc. growing?

CAE Inc. (CAE) grew revenue by 4.6% over the past year. Growth has been modest.

Is CAE profitable?

Yes, CAE Inc. (CAE) is profitable, generating $287.1M in net income for fiscal year 2026 (6.4% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is CAE's return on equity?

CAE Inc. (CAE) has a return on equity (ROE) of 6.0%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

What is CAE Inc.'s free cash flow?

CAE Inc. (CAE) generated $730.3M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2026. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in CAE back in 1997?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 29+ years of data

See returns →