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FERGFerguson plc
$221.17$42.9B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
FERG logo

Ferguson plc

FERG
NYSE · Industrial Distribution
$221.17
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$42.89B
P/E23.7x
52W High$271.64
Volume1.11M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q4

Cyclical Recovery Masks Working Capital Volatility Risk

Ferguson appears to be emerging from a cyclical trough, with revenue growth turning positive at 9.1% in 2026Q2 and operating margin expanding from 6.0% in 2025Q2 to 10.2% in 2026Q4, signaling a recovery in residential demand and operational leverage. However, ...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

FERG price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+10% Peers

P/E is 10% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 39 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 61% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 5
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth stabilized at 3.0% in 2026Q4 after a -2.0% decline in 2026Q3, with gross margin holding at 31.0% and operating margin recovering to 10.2% from a cyclical low of 6.0% in 2025Q2, though net margin of 7.6% was boosted by tax or one-time items.

Analyst Consensus+29.7% target
Buy(17 analysts)
13 Buy4 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong revenue growth potential

Analysts' cautious revenue growth assumptions of 4.3% annually and $2.4 billion earnings by 2028 may be challenged by stronger actual performance.

Robust financial performance

Ferguson reported strong quarterly sales of $7,495 million and net income of $389 million, with five-month sales reaching $12,833 million and net income of $786 million.

Conservative valuation metrics

FERG's trailing P/E of 25.00 and forward P/E of 21.41 suggest reasonable valuation relative to earnings potential.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
FERG-0.13%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
FERG-3.21%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
FERG+54.06%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+82.76%
5-Year Return
FERG+65.21%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.78%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
23.7x
Forward P/EExpansion
19.5x
EV/EBITDA60th %ile
16.2x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.7%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
23.7x
21.4x
60th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
16.2x
15.0x
60th· Fair
Price/FCF
26.8x
27.8x
20th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$99.24-55.1%
Base (Fair)$204.76-4.5%
Bull$281.71+27.4%
$99.24 Bear$204.76 Base$281.71 Bull
Current Market Price: $221.17
Trades at a 8.0% premium to Base DCF ($204.76)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$30.76B+3.8% YoY
Net income
$1.86B+7.0% YoY
Free cash flow
$1.6B+6.8% YoY
Operating margin
8.5%-0.5 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)18%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)32.4%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 10, 2026
$3.39+2.4%
vs $3.31
$8.8B+0.8%
vs $8.7B
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
$2.28+5.6%
vs $2.16
$7.5B+0.8%
vs $7.4B
Q1 2026
Feb 24, 2026
$3.48+0.0%
vs $3.48
$8.5B+0.0%
vs $8.5B
Q4 2025
Dec 9, 2025
$2.84+2.5%
vs $2.77
$8.2B+5.8%
vs $7.7B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Defense World·Sep 10, 2026
Arizona State Retirement System Buys 2,600 Shares of Ferguson plc $FERG

Arizona State Retirement System lifted its stake in Ferguson plc (NYSE: FERG) by 4.9% in the undefined quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The fund owned 55,735 shares of the company's stock after purchasing an additional 2,600 shares during the quarter.

Defense World·Sep 8, 2026
Allianz Asset Management GmbH Has $178.32 Million Holdings in Ferguson plc $FERG

Allianz Asset Management GmbH cut its position in shares of Ferguson plc (NYSE: FERG) by 0.3% in the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the SEC. The institutional investor owned 751,342 shares of the company's stock after selling 2,559 shares during the quarter. Allianz Asset Management GmbH

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 7, 2026
Ferguson plc (FERG) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why

Ferguson plc (FERG) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. This might drive the stock higher in the near term.

Defense World·Sep 7, 2026
Greenland Capital Management LP Purchases Shares of 6,242 Ferguson plc $FERG

Greenland Capital Management LP purchased a new stake in Ferguson plc (NYSE: FERG) during the second quarter, according to its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund purchased 6,242 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $1,481,000. A number of other institutional investors also recently modified their

Filtered for Ferguson plcMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark FERG against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Ferguson plc (FERG)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
FERG logoFERGFerguson plcCurrent
$221.17$42.89B23.733.8%6.03%32.42%1.11%
GWW logoGWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.
$1268.62$59.9B35.844.51%9.92%44.11%—
MSM logoMSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.
$121.37$6.78B34.00-1.35%5.9%16.51%—
FAST logoFASTFastenal Company
$50.08$57.47B45.958.67%15.46%34.03%—
POOL logoPOOLPool Corporation
$168.60$6.14B15.54-0.41%7.41%32.26%—
WSO logoWSOWatsco, Inc.
$325.58$13.41B26.58-4.98%6.53%14.4%—

Compare FERG vs Peers

Ferguson plc (FERG) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs GWW

Most directly comparable listed peer for FERG.

Scale Benchmark

vs HD

Larger-name benchmark to compare FERG against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs GWW, MSM, FAST, POOL

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

FERG SEC Filings & Documents

Ferguson plc (FERG) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 14, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 11, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 10, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2025

Sep 26, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Sep 25, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 10, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Dec 9, 2025·SEC

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FERG Frequently Asked Questions

Ferguson plc (FERG) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Ferguson plc's revenue?

Ferguson plc (FERG) reported $31.89B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 375% increase from $6.72B in 1996.

How fast is Ferguson plc growing?

Ferguson plc (FERG) grew revenue by 3.8% over the past year. Growth has been modest.

Is FERG profitable?

Yes, Ferguson plc (FERG) is profitable, generating $2.04B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (6.0% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does FERG pay dividends?

Yes, Ferguson plc (FERG) pays a dividend with a yield of 1.11%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is FERG's return on equity?

Ferguson plc (FERG) has a return on equity (ROE) of 32.4%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is Ferguson plc's free cash flow?

Ferguson plc (FERG) generated $338.5M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in FERG back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →