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MCDMcDonald's Corporation
$276.52$196.5B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
MCD logo

McDonald's Corporation

MCD
NYSE · Restaurants
$276.52
At close - USD
Market Cap$196.47B
P/E23.1x
52W High$341.75
Volume6.32M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Franchise Royalty Model Sustains Margins Amid Leverage Strain

McDonald's franchise-driven model has held gross margins in a tight 55.9% to 58.0% band and operating margins near 44% to 48% across ten quarters, supporting a reliable earnings base.

GrowthStable
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationReview
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

MCD price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

In Line

P/E is in line with peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 60 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 60)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Feb 4
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Gross margin held between 55.9% and 58.0% and operating margin between 44.3% and 48.3% over ten quarters, indicating a stable franchise cost structure even as revenue growth fluctuated.

Analyst Consensus+2.6% target
Buy(64 analysts)
37 Buy25 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Financial Performance

McDonald's has exceeded revenue expectations and maintains a solid net margin, driven by its 'Accelerating the Arches 2.0' strategy.

Digital Transformation Investments

The company is enhancing customer engagement through AI-driven operations and expanding its loyalty program, aiming for significant user growth by 2027.

Franchise Model Advantages

McDonald's franchise-heavy model generates high operating margins, supported by substantial real estate ownership.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Economic Sensitivity Risks

McDonald's reliance on franchise royalties makes it vulnerable to economic downturns and changing consumer behavior.

Increased Competition Pressures

Rising competition in the beverage market and record-high beef prices could lead to margin compression.

Valuation Concerns

Some analysts indicate that McDonald's may be overvalued based on discounted cash flow analysis, suggesting potential volatility.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
MCD-6.98%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
MCD-4.84%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
MCD+10.71%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+68.02%
5-Year Return
MCD+22.21%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+56.07%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
21.8x
Forward P/EExpansion
21.4x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
17.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.8%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
21.8x
25.6x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
17.0x
19.5x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
26.2x
30.5x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$99.80-63.9%
Base (Fair)$269.05-2.7%
Bull$372.26+34.6%
$99.80 Bear$269.05 Base$372.26 Bull
Current Market Price: $276.52
Trades at a 2.8% premium to Base DCF ($269.05)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$26.89B+3.7% YoY
Net income FY25
$8.56B+4.1% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$7.19B+7.7% YoY
Operating margin FY25
46.1%+0.9 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)18.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)-
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Nov 4, 2026
$3.57+5.6%
vs $3.38
$7.2B-1.7%
vs $7.3B
Q3 2026
Aug 4, 2026
$3.38+1.8%
vs $3.32
$7.1B-0.4%
vs $7.1B
Q2 2026
May 7, 2026
$2.83+3.3%
vs $2.74
$6.5B+0.7%
vs $6.5B
Q1 2026
Feb 11, 2026
$3.12+2.3%
vs $3.05
$7.0B+2.5%
vs $6.8B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Business Wire·1d ago
Hagens Berman: McDonald's Sued for Allegedly Mislabeling “Sugar Free” McCafé Beverages, Violating Federal Regulations

SEATTLE--(BUSINESS WIRE)---- $MCD #classaction--Consumers sued McDonald's alleging it mislabeled McCafé beverages “sugar free” despite containing up to 18 grams of sugar, according to Hagens Berman.

Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
Can McDonald's Restore U.S. Traffic Growth With New Value Offers?

Could MCD's Value Push Turn Around Sluggish U.S. Traffic? Its digital deals and affordable meal bundles are showing early promise, but a sustained recovery remains to be proven.

Seeking Alpha·1d ago
Stock Picks From Seeking Alpha's October 2026 New Analysts

In October, we welcomed 25 new analysts to Seeking Alpha. This article showcases their stock picks and investment strategies. Analysts provided ratings from Sell to Buy, with detailed justifications based on market trends, company fundamentals, and sector-specific challenges. Key investment theses include bullish views on lululemon athletica, McDonald's, Shoe Station, and the neocloud Nebius.

The Motley Fool·1d ago
Here's How Many Shares of McDonald's You'd Need for $2,000 in Yearly Dividends

McDonald's reported mixed results in its 2026 third-quarter earnings, but the stock still rose 5% by midafternoon Nov 4. The stock price is down roughly 9% on the year, but the fast-food operator has a dividend yield of 2.7%.

Filtered for McDonald's CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark MCD against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for McDonald's Corporation (MCD)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
MCD logoMCDMcDonald's CorporationCurrent
$276.52$196.47B23.143.72%31.85%—2.58%
YUM logoYUMYum! Brands, Inc.
$161.14$44.41B28.988.81%39.14%—1.76%
QSR logoQSRRestaurant Brands International Inc.
$77.69$26.96B33.0612.23%15.35%28.07%3.12%
WEN logoWENThe Wendy's Company
$8.15$1.55B9.59-3.1%5.72%109%8.19%
JACK logoJACKJack in the Box Inc.
$14.09$268.75M-3.35-6.75%2.84%—6.16%
SHAK logoSHAKShake Shack Inc.
$71.89$2.9B65.9515.38%2.56%7.17%—

Compare MCD vs Peers

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs YUM

Most directly comparable listed peer for MCD.

Scale Benchmark

vs UBER

Larger-name benchmark to compare MCD against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs YUM, QSR, WEN, JACK

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

MCD SEC Filings & Documents

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 24, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 25, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 5, 2025·SEC

Get notified when MCD posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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MCD Frequently Asked Questions

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is McDonald's Corporation's revenue?

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) reported $27.70B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $26.89B in fiscal year 2025. That is 152% more than the $10.69B of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is McDonald's Corporation growing?

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) grew revenue by 3.7% in fiscal year 2025, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is MCD profitable?

Yes. McDonald's Corporation (MCD) earned $8.79B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 31.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does MCD pay dividends?

Yes. McDonald's Corporation (MCD) pays a dividend that yields 2.58% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is McDonald's Corporation's free cash flow?

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) generated $7.76B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in MCD back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →