Molina's Redetermination Drain Squeezes Margins And Capital
Molina Healthcare's fundamentals appear to be deteriorating across all three statements: revenue growth has swung from +21.0% in 2024Q3 to -7.8% in 2026Q3 across four consecutive negative quarters, while the combined ratio widened to 99.0%, leaving only a 1.0% underwriting margin and pushing quarterly net income down…
Revenue contracted 7.8% year-over-year to $10.6B in 2026Q3 while the loss ratio rose to 91.8% and the combined ratio reached 99.0%, implying only a 7.2% expense ratio has prevented an outright underwriting loss.
Analyst Consensus+3.7% target
Buy(39 analysts)
17 Buy16 Hold6 Sell
The Bull Case
Upside Catalysts
Market Leadership and Integration
Mohawk is the largest flooring company globally, offering a comprehensive range of hard and soft surface products. Its vertically integrated manufacturing and distribution processes provide a competitive advantage, allowing for control over production from raw materials to finished goods.
Financial Performance and Growth Potential
Despite recent revenue and net income decreases, analysts project earnings growth for Mohawk Industries. Earnings are expected to rise by approximately 14.65% in the coming year, with EPS projected to increase significantly by 2029.
Undervalued Stock Opportunity
Some analyses suggest MHK is undervalued, with a narrative fair value around $126.53, implying about 16% undervaluation. Its P/E ratio is also noted as being less expensive than the market average.
Molina Healthcare NYSE: MOH reaffirmed its full-year 2026 adjusted earnings outlook while outlining preliminary 2027 earnings building blocks exceeding $9.50 per share, supported by anticipated rate increases, the maturation of new contracts and the planned exit from its Medicare Advantage prescription drug business.
Molina Healthcare, Inc. ( MOH ) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 22, 2026 8:00 AM EDT Company Participants Jeffrey Geyer - Head of Investor Relations Joseph Zubretsky - President, CEO & Director Mark Keim - Senior EVP, CFO & Treasurer Conference Call Participants Andrew Mok - Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division Kevin Fischbeck - BofA Securities, Research Division John Stansel - JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division Justin Lake - Wolfe Research, LLC Albert Rice - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division Stephen Baxter - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division Scott Fidel - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division Sarah James - Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Research Division David Windley - Jefferies LLC, Research Division Ryan Langston - TD Cowen, Research Division Lance Wilkes - Bernstein Institutional Services LLC, Research Division Michael Ha George Hill - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division Presentation Operator Good day, and welcome to the Molina Healthcare Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded.
Molina (MOH) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.89 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.72 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.84 per share a year ago.
While the top- and bottom-line numbers for Molina (MOH) give a sense of how the business performed in the quarter ended September 2026, it could be worth looking at how some of its key metrics compare to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.