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NCLH
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NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.
$17.92$8.2B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
NCLH logo

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

NCLH
NYSE · Online Travel & Cruises
$17.92
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$8.23B
P/E9.9x
52W High$25.13
Volume16.46M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Cyclical Recovery Clashes With Heavy Leverage and Capex Burden

NCLH's reported results show a rebound in profitability, with net income reaching $491.5M and operating margin of 21.2% in 2026Q3, yet revenue growth slowed to 0.3% in that quarter from 10.7% in 2024Q3, suggesting demand-driven expansion has lost momentum.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

NCLH price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-50% Peers

P/E is 50% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 59 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 59)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 29
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue and margins have improved from a 2025Q1 operating margin of 9.4% to 21.2% in 2026Q3, but gross margin of 43.4% still trails peers and quarterly earnings remain highly seasonal and volatile.

Analyst Consensus+16.0% target
Buy(39 analysts)
20 Buy17 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Post-COVID recovery potential

The company has shown strong recovery post-COVID, with stock price appreciation of approximately 31% since previous coverage.

Attractive valuation metrics

NCLH's trailing and forward P/E ratios of 15.50 and 8.51 respectively indicate potential undervaluation.

Revenue growth upside

Bull case scenarios project revenue growth up to +12%, indicating significant upside potential.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
NCLH-21.33%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
NCLH-1.75%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
NCLH+36.69%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+70.18%
5-Year Return
NCLH-36.54%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+57.98%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
9.9x
Forward P/E
10.6x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
8.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
9.9x
24.8x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
8.5x
11.1x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
N/A
15.8x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$20.00+11.6%
Base (Fair)$43.71+143.9%
Bull$89.99+402.2%
$20.00 Bear$43.71 Base$89.99 Bull
Current Market Price: $17.92
Trades at a 59.0% discount to Base DCF ($43.71)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$9.83B+3.7% YoY
Net income FY25
$423M-53.5% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
-$1.17B-239.5% YoY
Operating margin FY25
16.2%+0.7 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)7.5%
Avg ROIC 5Y-0.6%
ROE (TTM)32.1%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate4/12 (33%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 29, 2026
$1.12+19.9%
vs $0.93
$2.9B+2.3%
vs $2.9B
Q3 2026
Jul 30, 2026
$0.48+16.6%
vs $0.41
$2.6B-0.2%
vs $2.6B
Q2 2026
May 4, 2026
$0.23+53.3%
vs $0.15
$2.3B-1.1%
vs $2.4B
Q2 2026
Mar 2, 2026
$0.28+5.8%
vs $0.26
$2.2B-4.2%
vs $2.3B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
The Motley Fool·Oct 29, 2026
Stock Market Today, Oct. 29: Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Beats Q3 Estimates, Raises Full-Year Guidance

NYSE · As of 4:00 PM ET 10/29/26

The Motley Fool·Oct 29, 2026
Norwegian Cruise Lifts Outlook as Fares Slide: Rapid Earnings Reaction

The average trip got shorter, about 7.3 passenger cruise days per guest against 8.5 a year ago, so growth came from more guests, not longer stays. Excluding last year's $154.5 million debt charge, net interest expense was about flat, so the profit rise doesn't reflect a lighter debt load.

Seeking Alpha·Oct 29, 2026
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 29, 2026
Norwegian Cruise Q3 Earnings & Revenues Beat Estimates, Stock Up

NCLH's Q3 earnings and revenues beat estimates, lifting shares 8% premarket. Improved cost efficiency and raised 2026 guidance signal progress.

Filtered for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark NCLH against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
NCLH logoNCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.Current
$17.92$8.23B9.913.67%8.2%32.15%—
CCL logoCCLCarnival Corporation & plc
$29.58$40.51B12.906.4%11.37%23.89%—
RCL logoRCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.
$327.16$87.74B19.278.8%23.78%42.69%0.3%
VIK logoVIKViking Holdings Ltd
$87.48$38.86B29.1021.89%19.33%116.02%—
ONEW logoONEWOneWater Marine Inc.
$9.58$159.2M-1.335.62%-6.72%-43.62%0.18%
HGV logoHGVHilton Grand Vacations Inc.
$43.95$3.45B8.281.32%6.77%30.23%—

Compare NCLH vs Peers

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CCL

Most directly comparable listed peer for NCLH.

Scale Benchmark

vs BKNG

Larger-name benchmark to compare NCLH against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CCL, RCL, VIK, ONEW

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

NCLH SEC Filings & Documents

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Mar 2, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 27, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 4, 2025·SEC

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NCLH Frequently Asked Questions

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.'s revenue?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) reported $10.16B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $9.83B in fiscal year 2025. That is 634% more than the $1.34B of fiscal year 2004.

How fast is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. growing?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) grew revenue by 4.9% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is NCLH profitable?

Yes. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) earned $832.9M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 8.2% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is NCLH's return on equity?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) had a return on equity (ROE) of 32.1% over the trailing twelve months. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.'s free cash flow?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) had negative free cash flow of $530.7M over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in NCLH back in 2004?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 22+ years of data

See returns →