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STXSeagate Technology Holdings plc
$460.99$103.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
STX logo

Seagate Technology Holdings plc

STX
NASDAQ · Computers & Storage
$460.99
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$103.37B
P/E24.3x
52W High$1145.00
Volume8.2M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2027Q1

Hyperscaler-Driven Margin Surge Meets Cyclical Peak Risk

Seagate has executed a remarkable earnings inflection, with revenue rising 121% from $1.9B in 2024Q4 to $4.2B in 2027Q1 (+61% YoY) and gross margin expanding 25.5 points to 57.3%, driven by mass-capacity drive mix and hyperscaler demand recovery that appears to be amplified by deep operating leverage on a largely flat…

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationReview
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

STX price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

12/12 Beats

EPS beat 12 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

In Line

P/E is in line with peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 22 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 78% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 27
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has accelerated to 61.0% YoY in 2027Q1 with gross margin expanding to 57.3% and operating margin reaching 48.8%, reflecting a fixed-cost base (R&D and SG&A roughly flat near $200M and $159M quarterly) that amplified operating income 569% to $2.1B over ten quarters.

Analyst Consensus+139.9% target
Buy(52 analysts)
29 Buy19 Hold4 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

AI-driven data growth

Seagate benefits from the proliferation of AI, which is driving massive data creation and the need for advanced storage solutions.

Nearline capacity visibility

Seagate has full visibility into nearline capacity demand, positioning it well to meet the needs of large-scale data storage.

Record gross margins

The company is achieving record gross margins, reflecting strong operational efficiency and pricing power.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
STX+61.09%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
STX+66.61%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
STX+560.24%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+65.66%
5-Year Return
STX+386.32%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+54.53%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
24.3x
Forward P/E
30.9x
EV/EBITDA40th %ile
18.4x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.2%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
24.3x
59.0x
50th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
18.4x
36.6x
40th· Fair
Price/FCF
23.6x
33.0x
40th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$174.47-62.2%
Base (Fair)$342.29-25.7%
Bull$329.41-28.5%
$174.47 Bear$342.29 Base$329.41 Bull
Current Market Price: $460.99
Trades at a 34.7% premium to Base DCF ($342.29)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY26
$12.2B+34.1% YoY
Net income FY26
$3.18B+116.7% YoY
Free cash flow FY26
$3.1B+279.6% YoY
Operating margin FY26
33.6%+12.8 pts YoY
ROIC (FY26)77%
Avg ROIC 5Y31%
ROE (TTM)245.1%
Piotroski Score8 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
Revenue Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 27, 2026
$7.68+3.2%
vs $7.44
$4.2B+2.0%
vs $4.1B
Q3 2026
Jul 28, 2026
$5.71+12.0%
vs $5.10
$3.6B+3.7%
vs $3.5B
Q2 2026
Apr 28, 2026
$4.10+16.8%
vs $3.51
$3.1B+5.1%
vs $3.0B
Q1 2026
Jan 27, 2026
$3.11+11.9%
vs $2.78
$2.8B+3.6%
vs $2.7B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
3 Reasons Growth Investors Will Love Seagate (STX)

Seagate (STX) possesses solid growth attributes, which could help it handily outperform the market.

Seeking Alpha·1d ago
Stock Picks From Seeking Alpha's October 2026 New Analysts

In October, we welcomed 25 new analysts to Seeking Alpha. This article showcases their stock picks and investment strategies. Analysts provided ratings from Sell to Buy, with detailed justifications based on market trends, company fundamentals, and sector-specific challenges. Key investment theses include bullish views on lululemon athletica, McDonald's, Shoe Station, and the neocloud Nebius.

Investopedia·2d ago
Some of the Year's Hottest AI ETFs Are in Big Trouble Today

The Blue Wave is throwing some cold water on the AI trade.

Seeking Alpha·3d ago
Polen Global Growth Q3 2026 Portfolio Activity

ServiceNow was the Portfolio's top-performing holding during the quarter as improving sentiment toward high-quality software companies coincided with another strong earnings report. Tokyo Electron, a Japan-based leader in semiconductor production equipment, was the Portfolio's largest relative detractor during the quarter. In Q3 2026, we initiated new positions in Seagate Technology, Advanced Micro Devices, Quanta Services, and SK Hynix, while selling Oracle.

Filtered for Seagate Technology Holdings plcMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark STX against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
STX logoSTXSeagate Technology Holdings plcCurrent
$460.99$103.37B24.3334.06%31.86%245.11%0.6%
WDC logoWDCWestern Digital Corporation
$263.78$90.92B10.1135.7%69.2%113.77%0.17%
NTAP logoNTAPNetApp, Inc.
$169.19$33.51B23.865.37%19.19%113.67%1.23%
SNX logoSNXTD Synnex Corp
$218.73$17.5B13.106.94%1.75%14.94%0.81%
HPE logoHPEHewlett Packard Enterprise Company
$44.77$59.28B23.5614.06%6.57%10.85%1.34%
DELL logoDELLDell Technologies Inc.
$328.53$218.23B18.8318.8%7.53%—0.65%

Compare STX vs Peers

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs WDC

Most directly comparable listed peer for STX.

Scale Benchmark

vs MSFT

Larger-name benchmark to compare STX against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs WDC, NTAP, SNX, HPE

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

STX SEC Filings & Documents

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 28, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 27, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 28, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Aug 1, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jan 30, 2026·SEC

Get notified when STX posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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STX Frequently Asked Questions

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Seagate Technology Holdings plc's revenue?

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) reported $13.80B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $12.20B in fiscal year 2026. That is 104% more than the $5.97B of fiscal year 2001.

How fast is Seagate Technology Holdings plc growing?

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) grew revenue by 44.4% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is STX profitable?

Yes. Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) earned $4.40B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 31.9% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does STX pay dividends?

Yes. Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) pays a dividend that yields 0.60% at the current price, a small yield.

What is STX's return on equity?

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) had a return on equity (ROE) of 245.1% over the trailing twelve months. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Seagate Technology Holdings plc's free cash flow?

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) generated $4.38B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in STX back in 2001?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 25+ years of data

See returns →