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TLNTalen Energy Corporation
$338.64$15.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
TLN logo

Talen Energy Corporation

TLN
NASDAQ · Independent Power Producers
$338.64
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$15.37B
P/E-64.0x
52W High$449.84
Volume1.26M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Leveraged Merchant Power Bet Faces Volatile Earnings Test

Talen Energy's fundamentals suggest a highly levered, merchant-exposed profile that diverges sharply from the stable regulated cash flows typically associated with utilities, with the 5.97 debt-to-equity ratio in 2026Q3 and equity of just $1.6B against $15.1B in total assets leaving little cushion for earnings or asset…

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityWeak
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

TLN price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-370% Peers

P/E is 370% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 59 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 59)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Feb 3
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth of 72.3% in 2026Q3 and an operating margin of 19.2% suggest a recovery from the -33.9% operating margin posted in 2025Q4, yet the quarterly earnings volatility and an EPS trajectory from $7.60 to -$7.70 over the period indicate that profitability remains inconsistent.

Analyst Consensus+37.6% target
Buy(14 analysts)
12 Buy2 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Demand from Data Centers and AI

TLN is positioned to benefit from the increasing need for stable, carbon-free power required by hyperscale data centers and AI technologies. The company has secured a long-term contract with Amazon Web Services to supply nuclear power to their data center campus, providing significant revenue visibility.

Financial Performance and Outlook

Management has projected aggressive Adjusted EBITDA for 2026, nearly doubling the 2025 estimates. Analysts have a consensus rating of 'Strong Buy' for TLN, with expectations of substantial growth in EBITDA from 2024 to 2027, driven by higher capacity prices and improved energy margins.

Acquisitions and Capacity Expansion

TLN is acquiring natural gas assets to expand its generation capacity, which is expected to significantly boost its free cash flow per share. This strategic expansion diversifies its generation mix and meets the growing peaking demand.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
TLN-14.64%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
TLN-12.25%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
TLN+528.27%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+87.10%
5-Year Return
TLN+628.26%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+71.85%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
-64.0x
Forward P/E
20.4x
EV/EBITDA67th %ile
32.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-64.0x
11.4x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
32.0x
24.0x
67th· Fair
Price/FCF
N/A
8.8x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
No DCF Model AvailableIntrinsic value modeling is not supported for this equity.

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$2.63B+26.7% YoY
Net income FY25
-$219M-121.9% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
-$3.39B-362.8% YoY
Operating margin FY25
0.6%-7.4 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)0.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y0%
ROE (TTM)-18.8%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Nov 3, 2026
$2.88-65.4%
vs $8.33
$1.3B+1.7%
vs $1.3B
Q3 2026
Aug 5, 2026
-$2.00-162.3%
vs $3.21
$747M-10.3%
vs $833M
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
$1.33-73.5%
vs $5.01
$1.1B+7.8%
vs $1.0B
Q1 2026
Feb 26, 2026
-$7.60-390.1%
vs $2.62
$749M+12.8%
vs $664M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Seeking Alpha·4d ago
Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

MarketBeat·4d ago
Talen Energy Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Talen Energy NASDAQ: TLN reported third-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $669 million and adjusted free cash flow of $433 million, with management citing higher power prices, increased generation volumes, capacity revenues and contributions from acquired generation assets.

Zacks Investment Research·4d ago
Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) Lags Q3 Earnings Estimates

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) came out with quarterly earnings of $5.65 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.26 per share. This compares to earnings of $2.38 per share a year ago.

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 27, 2026
Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

Filtered for Talen Energy CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark TLN against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Talen Energy Corporation (TLN)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
TLN logoTLNTalen Energy CorporationCurrent
$338.64$15.37B-63.9626.68%-6.22%-18.79%—
VST logoVSTVistra Corp.
$124.80$42.08B15.642.98%13.15%66.78%0.71%
NRG logoNRGNRG Energy, Inc.
$88.29$18.63B22.059.17%2.56%25.38%2.34%
CEG logoCEGConstellation Energy Corporation
$249.95$89.76B25.548.34%11.08%14.48%0.62%
GEN logoGENGen Digital Inc.
$29.79$17.83B14.9027.06%23.07%46.65%1.69%
DYN logoDYNDyne Therapeutics, Inc.
$18.07$3.37B-5.43——-69.73%—

Compare TLN vs Peers

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs VST

Most directly comparable listed peer for TLN.

Scale Benchmark

vs EMR

Larger-name benchmark to compare TLN against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs VST, NRG, CEG, GEN

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

TLN SEC Filings & Documents

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Nov 3, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 14, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 26, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 28, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Nov 3, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 5, 2026·SEC

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TLN Frequently Asked Questions

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Talen Energy Corporation's revenue?

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) reported $4.09B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $2.63B in fiscal year 2025. That is 27% less than the $3.61B of fiscal year 2015.

How fast is Talen Energy Corporation growing?

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) grew revenue by 74.4% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is TLN profitable?

No. Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) reported a net loss of $254.0M over the trailing twelve months.

Dividend & Returns
What is TLN's return on equity?

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) had a return on equity (ROE) of -18.8% over the trailing twelve months. A negative ROE means the company lost money over the period.

What is Talen Energy Corporation's free cash flow?

Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) had negative free cash flow of $6.07B over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in TLN back in 2015?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 11+ years of data

See returns →