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AALAmerican Airlines Group Inc.
$13.35$8.8B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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AAL logo

American Airlines Group Inc.

AAL
NASDAQ · Airlines & Airports
$13.35
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$8.84B
P/E78.5x
52W High$18.79
Volume64.72M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Revenue Surge Masks Persistent Negative Equity

American Airlines' Q2 2026 revenue surged 16.3% YoY to $16.7B, the strongest growth in the dataset, suggesting capacity additions are meeting robust demand. However, operating margin contracted to 2.7% from 7.9% a year earlier, and net income of $71M yielded a...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

AAL price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

10/12 Beats

EPS beat 10 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+174% Peers

P/E is 174% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 45 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 55% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 23
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to 16.3% YoY in Q2 2026, but operating margin fell to 2.7% from 7.9% in Q2 2025, and net margin was just 0.4%.

Analyst Consensus+40.6% target
Hold(38 analysts)
17 Buy18 Hold3 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Attractive valuation metrics

AAL's trailing and forward P/E ratios of 16.15 and 7.28 respectively suggest the stock may be undervalued relative to earnings potential.

Leverage improvement potential

The bull case for AAL depends on net leverage falling below 3.0x by 2027, which could drive multiple expansion if achieved.

Strategic partnership benefits

The upcoming Alaska Airlines partnership payoff could provide operational and financial benefits to American Airlines.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
AAL-13.76%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
AAL+9.52%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
AAL+3.41%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+74.67%
5-Year Return
AAL-36.12%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+67.95%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
78.5x
Forward P/E
N/A
EV/EBITDA40th %ile
12.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
78.5x
66.9x
75th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
12.5x
12.9x
40th· Fair
Price/FCF
N/A
9.7x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
No DCF Model AvailableIntrinsic value modeling is not supported for this equity.

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$54.63B+0.8% YoY
Net income
$111M-86.9% YoY
Free cash flow
-$680M-152.3% YoY
Operating margin
2.7%-2.1 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)3.5%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)-
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 23, 2026
$0.15+400.0%
vs $0.03
$16.7B+0.2%
vs $16.7B
Q2 2026
Apr 23, 2026
-$0.40+13.7%
vs -$0.46
$13.9B+0.9%
vs $13.8B
Q1 2026
Jan 27, 2026
$0.16-57.9%
vs $0.38
$14.0B-0.2%
vs $14.0B
Q4 2025
Oct 23, 2025
-$0.17+38.9%
vs -$0.28
$13.7B+0.5%
vs $13.6B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Seeking Alpha·Sep 16, 2026
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Presents at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference Transcript

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Presents at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference Transcript

CNBC·Sep 16, 2026
American Airlines says 30% of seats drive half of revenue as premium cabin rush heats up

American Airlines is making half of its revenue from 30% of its seats as the carrier races to refresh planes with larger business class cabins. Airlines across the board, including budget carriers, have been scrambling to add higher yielding seats.

MarketBeat·Sep 16, 2026
American Airlines Sees Strong Demand, but Fuel Spike Threatens Profit Outlook

American Airlines Group NASDAQ: AAL CEO Robert Isom said demand remains strong across the carrier's network, cabins and geographies, while volatile fuel costs remain the principal constraint on profitability.

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 15, 2026
American Airlines (AAL) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investors

The latest trading day saw American Airlines (AAL) settling at $12.77, representing a -2.52% change from its previous close.

Filtered for American Airlines Group Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark AAL against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
AAL logoAALAmerican Airlines Group Inc.Current
$13.35$8.84B78.530.78%0.2%——
DAL logoDALDelta Air Lines, Inc.
$81.75$53.76B10.672.79%5.79%19.33%—
UAL logoUALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc.
$110.72$35.94B10.833.52%5.56%22.5%—
LUV logoLUVSouthwest Airlines Co.
$41.04$20.08B51.952.11%2.78%11.27%—
JBLU logoJBLUJetBlue Airways Corporation
$4.39$1.66B-2.64-2.34%-9.32%-45.51%—
ALGT logoALGTAllegiant Travel Company
$77.26$1.49B-31.153.74%0.9%2.1%—

Compare AAL vs Peers

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs DAL

Most directly comparable listed peer for AAL.

Scale Benchmark

vs GE

Larger-name benchmark to compare AAL against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs DAL, UAL, LUV, JBLU

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

AAL SEC Filings & Documents

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 15, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 16, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 18, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 19, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 21, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 23, 2025·SEC

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AAL Frequently Asked Questions

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is American Airlines Group Inc.'s revenue?

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) reported $58.34B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 236% increase from $17.36B in 1996.

How fast is American Airlines Group Inc. growing?

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) grew revenue by 0.8% over the past year. Growth has been modest.

Is AAL profitable?

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) reported a net loss of $326.0M for fiscal year 2025.

Dividend & Returns
What is American Airlines Group Inc.'s free cash flow?

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) generated $285.0M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in AAL back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →