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AJGArthur J. Gallagher & Co.
$281.61$72.3B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
AJG logo

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG
NYSE · Insurance Brokers
$281.61
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$72.35B
P/E43.0x
52W High$294.53
Volume1.44M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Accelerating Premium Growth Masks Cash Conversion Weakness

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. is experiencing accelerating revenue growth, with Q2 2026 revenue up 24.3% year-over-year, driven by a hard market and strategic acquisitions.

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationReview
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

AJG price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+157% Peers

P/E is 157% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 86 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 86% of market)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 29
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to 24.3% year-over-year in Q2 2026, but EPS declined 10.7% due to an EPS miss of $2.84 versus $3.08 consensus, indicating wage inflation is compressing margins despite a combined ratio of 85.3%.

Analyst Consensus+1.2% target
Buy(29 analysts)
18 Buy10 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Stable Fee‑Based Revenue Model

AJG’s insurance brokerage business is built on fee‑based, recurring revenue that is largely non‑discretionary. This structure creates sticky customer relationships and delivers consistent free cash flow even during economic cycles.

Consistent Organic Growth & Margin Expansion

The company has repeatedly demonstrated organic growth while expanding its profit margins. This disciplined execution positions AJG as a defensive play in the current market environment.

Disciplined, Value‑Focused Acquisitions

AJG pursues acquisitions with a modest goodwill‑to‑assets ratio, avoiding overpayment. Effective integration of these deals fuels continued growth without diluting earnings quality.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
AJG+10.82%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
AJG+15.95%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
AJG+19.05%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+65.44%
5-Year Return
AJG+82.36%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+53.29%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
43.0x
Forward P/EExpansion
21.5x
EV/EBITDA20th %ile
20.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
2.5%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
43.0x
43.5x
40th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
20.0x
21.7x
20th· Low
Price/FCF
40.5x
26.8x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$202.15-28.2%
Base (Fair)$363.62+29.1%
Bull$641.11+127.7%
$202.15 Bear$363.62 Base$641.11 Bull
Current Market Price: $281.61
Trades at a 22.6% discount to Base DCF ($363.62)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$13.94B+20.7% YoY
Net income FY25
$1.49B+2.1% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$1.78B-26.9% YoY
Operating margin FY25
18.3%-1.5 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)7%
Avg ROIC 5Y8.2%
ROE (TTM)7.2%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 29, 2026
$3.00+0.3%
vs $2.99
$3.9B-1.7%
vs $4.0B
Q3 2026
Jul 30, 2026
$2.84+1.1%
vs $2.81
$4.0B-1.3%
vs $4.0B
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$4.47+0.9%
vs $4.43
$4.7B-0.3%
vs $4.7B
Q1 2026
Jan 29, 2026
$2.38+1.3%
vs $2.35
$3.6B-0.3%
vs $3.6B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Defense World·16h ago
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (NYSE:AJG) VP Sells $2,123,074.80 in Stock

Arthur J. Gallagher and Co. (NYSE: AJG - Get Free Report) VP Christopher Mead sold 7,590 shares of the business's stock in a transaction dated Monday, November 2nd. The stock was sold at an average price of $279.72, for a total transaction of $2,123,074.80. Following the completion of the sale, the vice president directly owned 22,287

Seeking Alpha·16h ago
Arthur J. Gallagher: Why I'm Holding Despite Strong Q3 Results

Arthur J. Gallagher had a strong Q3 2026, as it witnessed revenue growth of 18%. Adjusted EPS was $3 vs. $1.5 reported last year. Organic growth grew 5% in Q3. This quarter marked 26 successive quarters of profit growth. Pricing is getting tougher, as the property renewal premium dipped 6%, and clients are increasingly comparing offers.

Defense World·16h ago
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (NYSE:AJG) Stock: Insider William Ziebell Sells 23,510 Shares

Arthur J. Gallagher and Co. (NYSE: AJG - Get Free Report) VP William Ziebell sold 23,510 shares of the company's stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, November 4th. The shares were sold at an average price of $286.62, for a total value of $6,738,436.20. Following the sale, the vice president owned 48,942 shares in the company,

Seeking Alpha·1d ago
Madison Mid Cap Fund Q3 2026 Portfolio Activity

The Madison Mid Cap Fund (Class I) returned -2.09% in the third quarter, compared to the Russell Midcap Index return of -3.00%. The top five contributors for the quarter were Gartner, Medpace Holdings, Ross Stores, Revvity, and Waters Corporation. The bottom five detractors for the quarter were MKS, Floor & Decor Holdings, Carlisle Companies, Moelis and Co., and Glacier Bancorp.

Filtered for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark AJG against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
AJG logoAJGArthur J. Gallagher & Co.Current
$281.61$72.35B42.9920.66%10.38%7.16%0.91%
MRSH logoMRSHMarsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
$204.82$97.74B24.2810.32%14.2%26.73%1.69%
AON logoAONAon plc
$334.81$71.02B18.149.45%22.24%39.91%0.87%
WTW logoWTWWillis Towers Watson Public Limited Company
$328.86$31.06B19.77-2.24%15.22%19.72%1.1%
BRO logoBROBrown & Brown, Inc.
$72.12$24.13B19.5422.49%17.47%9.67%0.86%
RYAN logoRYANRyan Specialty Holdings, Inc.
$47.73$12.51B64.6221.28%5.95%17.64%0.47%

Compare AJG vs Peers

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs MRSH

Most directly comparable listed peer for AJG.

Scale Benchmark

vs CB

Larger-name benchmark to compare AJG against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs MRSH, AON, WTW, BRO

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

AJG SEC Filings & Documents

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 17, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 17, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 18, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 10, 2025·SEC

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AJG Frequently Asked Questions

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. growing?

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) grew revenue by 25.6% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is AJG profitable?

Yes. Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) earned $1.70B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 10.4% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does AJG pay dividends?

Yes. Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) pays a dividend that yields 0.91% at the current price, a small yield.

What is AJG's return on equity?

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) had a return on equity (ROE) of 7.2% over the trailing twelve months. That is below the market's typical 10-15%.

Industry Metrics
What is Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.'s combined ratio?

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) has a combined ratio of 81.7%. A ratio below 100% indicates underwriting profitability.

What if you invested $1,000 in AJG back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →