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AJGArthur J. Gallagher & Co.
$230.45$59.2B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
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Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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AJG logo

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG
NYSE · Insurance Brokers
$230.45
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$59.2B
P/E40.1x
52W High$313.55
Volume1.62M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Accelerating Premium Growth Masks Cash Conversion Weakness

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. is experiencing accelerating revenue growth, with Q2 2026 revenue up 24.3% year-over-year, driven by a hard market and strategic acquisitions. However, the company's earnings quality is questionable, as the OCF/NI ratio plummeted to 0...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

AJG price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+116% Peers

P/E is 116% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 58 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 58)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 30
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to 24.3% year-over-year in Q2 2026, but EPS declined 10.7% due to an EPS miss of $2.84 versus $3.08 consensus, indicating wage inflation is compressing margins despite a combined ratio of 85.3%.

Analyst Consensus+23.7% target
Buy(29 analysts)
19 Buy9 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Stable Fee‑Based Revenue Model

AJG’s insurance brokerage business is built on fee‑based, recurring revenue that is largely non‑discretionary. This structure creates sticky customer relationships and delivers consistent free cash flow even during economic cycles.

Consistent Organic Growth & Margin Expansion

The company has repeatedly demonstrated organic growth while expanding its profit margins. This disciplined execution positions AJG as a defensive play in the current market environment.

Disciplined, Value‑Focused Acquisitions

AJG pursues acquisitions with a modest goodwill‑to‑assets ratio, avoiding overpayment. Effective integration of these deals fuels continued growth without diluting earnings quality.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
AJG-9.16%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
AJG-22.28%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
AJG+2.15%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+75.80%
5-Year Return
AJG+60.03%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.04%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
40.1x
Forward P/EExpansion
17.4x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
19.6x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.0%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
40.1x
43.5x
40th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
19.6x
21.7x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
33.2x
26.8x
60th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$200.51-13.0%
Base (Fair)$367.14+53.3%
Bull$657.43+185.3%
$200.51 Bear$367.14 Base$657.43 Bull
Current Market Price: $230.45
Trades at a 37.2% discount to Base DCF ($367.14)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$13.94B+20.7% YoY
Net income
$1.49B+2.1% YoY
Free cash flow
$1.78B-26.9% YoY
Operating margin
18.3%-1.5 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)7%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)6.9%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 30, 2026
$2.84+1.1%
vs $2.81
$4.0B-1.3%
vs $4.0B
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$4.47+0.9%
vs $4.43
$4.7B-0.3%
vs $4.7B
Q1 2026
Jan 29, 2026
$2.38+1.3%
vs $2.35
$3.6B-0.3%
vs $3.6B
Q4 2025
Oct 30, 2025
$2.32-7.6%
vs $2.51
$3.4B+0.9%
vs $3.3B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·5d ago
AJG's McMillan Insurance Acquisition Adds to Brokerage Expansion

Arthur J. Gallagher's acquisition of Innovise expands its commercial brokerage reach, adds surety expertise and creates cross-selling opportunities across specialized industries.

PRNewsWire·Sep 15, 2026
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. Acquires Innovise Business Consultants

ROLLING MEADOWS, Ill., Sept. 15, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Arthur J.

Defense World·Sep 15, 2026
Corient Private Wealth LP Grows Stock Holdings in Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. $AJG

Corient Private Wealth LP grew its stake in Arthur J. Gallagher and Co. (NYSE: AJG) by 3.1% during the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 96,002 shares of the financial services provider's stock after purchasing an additional 2,856 shares

PRNewsWire·Sep 9, 2026
As Employers Plan for Growth, Workforce Pressures Continue to Mount

Gallagher's 2026 US Talent Benchmarks report highlights how turnover, workforce capacity constraints and AI-driven change are shaping organizational effectiveness ROLLING MEADOWS, Ill., Sept. 9, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Workforce challenges remain top of mind as employers pursue growth with constrained teams, elevated turnover and increasing pressure to adapt to new technologies, according to Gallagher's 2026 US Workforce Trends Report – Talent Benchmarks.

Filtered for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark AJG against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
AJG logoAJGArthur J. Gallagher & Co.Current
$230.45$59.2B40.0820.66%10.72%6.86%1.11%
MMC logoMMCMarsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
$174.06$85.27B21.287.57%15.6%26.87%—
AON logoAONAon plc
$286.10$60.69B16.819.45%22.27%41.97%—
WTW logoWTWWillis Towers Watson Public Limited Company
$301.73$28.5B18.56-2.24%15.49%19.75%—
BRO logoBROBrown & Brown, Inc.
$62.44$20.89B19.7626.59%17.59%9.6%—
RYAN logoRYANRyan Specialty Holdings, Inc.
$38.44$10.71B81.7921.28%5.84%15.93%—

Compare AJG vs Peers

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs MMC

Most directly comparable listed peer for AJG.

Scale Benchmark

vs CB

Larger-name benchmark to compare AJG against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs MMC, AON, WTW, BRO

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

AJG SEC Filings & Documents

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 17, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 17, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 18, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 10, 2025·SEC

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AJG Frequently Asked Questions

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. growing?

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) grew revenue by 20.7% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is AJG profitable?

Yes, Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) is profitable, generating $1.57B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (10.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does AJG pay dividends?

Yes, Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) pays a dividend with a yield of 1.11%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is AJG's return on equity?

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) has a return on equity (ROE) of 6.9%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

Industry Metrics
What is Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.'s combined ratio?

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) has a combined ratio of 81.7%. A ratio below 100% indicates underwriting profitability.

What if you invested $1,000 in AJG back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →