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AMBCAmbac Financial Group, Inc.
$6.13$269M
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
AMBC logo

Ambac Financial Group, Inc.

AMBC
NYSE · Specialty Insurance
$6.13
At close - Aug 4, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$269M
P/E4.3x
52W High$10.38
Volume637.81K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2025Q3

Legacy Liabilities Obscure Ambac's Specialty Insurance Pivot

Ambac is currently navigating a complex structural transition from a legacy financial guarantee firm to a specialty MGA-focused insurance platform, a process currently hampered by significant earnings volatility and capital erosion. While the Cirrata MGA platf...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityNegative
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

AMBC price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-62% Peers

P/E is 62% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 12 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 88% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · May 25

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
AMBC-17.94%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
AMBC-33.66%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
AMBC-51.62%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+76.91%
5-Year Return
AMBC-55.84%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+70.09%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
4.3x
Forward P/E
92.0x
EV/EBITDA
N/A
FCF YieldCash Flow
0.3%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
4.3x
91.6x
50th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
N/A
128.1x
N/A
Price/FCF
352.5x
11.5x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
No DCF Model AvailableIntrinsic value modeling is not supported for this equity.

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$236M+89.1% YoY
Net income
-$556M-15420.7% YoY
Free cash flow
$762K-99.6% YoY
Operating margin
-25.4%-6.0 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)-1.5%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)-42.4%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (55%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q1 2026Latest
Feb 25, 2026
-$0.63-199.5%
vs -$0.21
$67M
vs —
Q4 2025
Nov 10, 2025
-$0.21+8.7%
vs -$0.23
$67M+17.3%
vs $57M
Q3 2025
Aug 7, 2025
-$0.22+8.3%
vs -$0.24
$55M-3.2%
vs $57M
Q2 2025
May 12, 2025
-$0.13-85.7%
vs -$0.07
$63M+90.2%
vs $33M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark AMBC against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
AMBC logoAMBCAmbac Financial Group, Inc.Current
$6.13$268.57M4.3289.06%-235.97%-42.36%—
MBI logoMBIMBIA Inc.
$4.51$229.71M-1.2690.48%-154.26%——
AGO logoAGOAssured Guaranty Ltd.
$68.99$3.06B6.78-3.19%40.34%6.19%—
BAM logoBAMBrookfield Asset Management Ltd.
$45.26$72.27B29.7816.88%52.64%5.61%—
RDN logoRDNRadian Group Inc.
$34.54$4.59B8.34-3.36%32.45%11.26%—
ESNT logoESNTEssent Group Ltd.
$65.45$6.03B9.49-0.49%51.43%11.91%—

Compare AMBC vs Peers

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs MBI

Most directly comparable listed peer for AMBC.

Scale Benchmark

vs JPM

Larger-name benchmark to compare AMBC against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs MBI, AGO, BAM, RDN

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

AMBC SEC Filings & Documents

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Apr 7, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Feb 23, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jan 6, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Mar 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Mar 6, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2025

Nov 10, 2025·SEC

FY 2025

Aug 7, 2025·SEC

FY 2025

May 12, 2025·SEC

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AMBC Frequently Asked Questions

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Ambac Financial Group, Inc. growing?

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC) grew revenue by 89.1% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is AMBC profitable?

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC) reported a net loss of $780.2M for fiscal year 2024.

Dividend & Returns
What is AMBC's return on equity?

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC) has a return on equity (ROE) of -42.4%. Negative ROE indicates the company is unprofitable.

Industry Metrics
What is Ambac Financial Group, Inc.'s combined ratio?

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC) has a combined ratio of 125.4%. A ratio above 100% means claims and expenses exceed premiums.

What if you invested $1,000 in AMBC back in 1995?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 31+ years of data

See returns →