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AGO
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AGOAssured Guaranty Ltd.
$73.45$3.3B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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AGO logo

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

AGO
NYSE · Specialty Insurers
$73.45
At close - USD
Market Cap$3.25B
P/E7.2x
52W High$92.40
Volume505.97K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Reserve Releases Mask Volatile Earnings Quality

Assured Guaranty's core underwriting remains disciplined, with combined ratios below 100% for five consecutive quarters (75.1% in 2026Q2), but earnings quality is undermined by reliance on reserve releases and fair value swings, as evidenced by negative loss ratios in 2025Q3 (-12.1%) and 2024Q3 (-18.3%).

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

AGO price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-39% Peers

P/E is 39% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 49 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 51% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Feb 5

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
AGO-15.95%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
AGO-8.13%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
AGO+18.47%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+71.96%
5-Year Return
AGO+43.58%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+60.01%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
10.0x
Forward P/E
10.6x
EV/EBITDA60th %ile
11.1x
FCF YieldCash Flow
11.1%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
10.0x
9.6x
60th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
11.1x
10.8x
60th· Fair
Price/FCF
9.0x
17.1x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$40.48-44.9%
Base (Fair)$93.81+27.7%
Bull$167.17+127.6%
$40.48 Bear$93.81 Base$167.17 Bull
Current Market Price: $73.45
Trades at a 21.7% discount to Base DCF ($93.81)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$788M-3.2% YoY
Net income FY25
$503M+33.8% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$259M+451.1% YoY
Operating margin FY25
84%+24.1 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)7%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)8.9%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Nov 5, 2026
$1.94+19.0%
vs $1.63
$214M+4.0%
vs $206M
Q3 2026
Aug 6, 2026
$1.23-18.5%
vs $1.51
$195M-4.9%
vs $205M
Q2 2026
May 7, 2026
$2.50+66.7%
vs $1.50
$261M+25.1%
vs $209M
Q1 2026
Feb 26, 2026
$2.32+50.6%
vs $1.54
$277M+34.6%
vs $206M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
MarketBeat·1d ago
Assured Guaranty Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Assured Guaranty NYSE: AGO expects financial guaranty production to exceed $400 million in 2026, after growth across its business lines helped lift production 44% in the first nine months of the year.

Seeking Alpha·1d ago
Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Assured Guaranty Ltd. ( AGO ) Q3 2026 Earnings Call November 6, 2026 8:00 AM EST Company Participants Robert Tucker - Senior Managing Director of Investor Relations & Corporate Communications Dominic Frederico - Deputy Chairman, President & CEO Robert Bailenson - Chief Operating Officer Benjamin Rosenblum - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Ameeta Lobo Nelson - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division Thomas Mcjoynt-Griffith - Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods, Inc., Research Division Geoffrey Dunn - Dowling & Partners Securities, LLC Presentation Operator Good morning, and welcome to the Assured Guaranty Limited Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Assured Guaranty (AGO) Tops Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Assured Guaranty (AGO) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.94 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.71 per share. This compares to earnings of $2.57 per share a year ago.

Business Wire·2d ago
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Reports Results for Third Quarter 2026

HAMILTON, Bermuda--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE: AGO) (AGL and, together with its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty or the Company) announced today its financial results for the three-month period ended September 30, 2026 (third quarter 2026). Dominic Frederico, President and CEO, said: “Our strong new business production in the first nine months of 2026 demonstrated the success of our current growth strategy across our financial guaranty franchise, generating $278 million of GWP a.

Filtered for Assured Guaranty Ltd.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark AGO against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
AGO logoAGOAssured Guaranty Ltd.Current
$73.45$3.25B7.22-3.19%63.83%8.87%1.87%
MBI logoMBIMBIA Inc.
$4.62$235.32M-1.2990.48%-154.26%——
AGM logoAGMFederal Agricultural Mortgage
$180.20$1.96B10.848.95%15.75%12.66%4.5%
RDN logoRDNRadian Group Inc.
$35.97$4.78B8.69-3.36%32.45%11.26%2.93%
MTG logoMTGMGIC Investment Corporation
$28.60$5.87B9.110.49%59.2%13.9%2.05%
ESNT logoESNTEssent Group Ltd.
$63.41$5.84B9.19-0.49%51.43%11.91%1.92%

Compare AGO vs Peers

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs MBI

Most directly comparable listed peer for AGO.

Scale Benchmark

vs BAC

Larger-name benchmark to compare AGO against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs MBI, AGM, RDN, MTG

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

AGO SEC Filings & Documents

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 7, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 8, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 27, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 28, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 28, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 8, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 7, 2025·SEC

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AGO Frequently Asked Questions

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Assured Guaranty Ltd. growing?

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) revenue fell by 3.2% in fiscal year 2025, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is AGO profitable?

Yes. Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) earned $351.0M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 40.3% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does AGO pay dividends?

Yes. Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) pays a dividend that yields 1.87% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is AGO's return on equity?

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) had a return on equity (ROE) of 8.9% in fiscal year 2025. That is below the market's typical 10-15%.

Industry Metrics
What is Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s combined ratio?

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) has a combined ratio of 16.0%. A ratio below 100% indicates underwriting profitability.

What if you invested $1,000 in AGO back in 2003?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 23+ years of data

See returns →