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ASML
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ASMLASML Holding N.V.
$1424.75$549.1B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
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Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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ASML logo

ASML Holding N.V.

ASML
NASDAQ · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
$1424.75
At close - USD
Market Cap$549.12B
P/E51.6x
52W High$1999.96
Volume1.9M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

High-NA Cycle Drives Peak Margins, Elevated Valuation

ASML's revenue rebounded from a -21.6% contraction in 2024Q1 to +55.2% growth in 2026Q3 ($5.3B to $11.7B quarterly), supported by what appears to be a powerful EUV/High-NA adoption cycle that has lifted gross margin 640bps to 57.4% and operating margin to 44.4% on a largely fixed R&D/SG&A base that grew only 21% over…

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationReview
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

ASML price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

10/12 Beats

EPS beat 10 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+15% Peers

P/E is 15% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 44 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 56% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 14
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to +55.2% in 2026Q3 with gross margin at a peak 57.4% and operating margin at 44.4%, reflecting operating leverage as R&D plus SG&A grew only 21% while operating income expanded 3.7x since 2024Q1 — a combination that warrants investigation given ASML's simultaneous peak in growth and margins alongside skipped forward guidance.

Analyst Consensus+63.6% target
Buy(45 analysts)
26 Buy16 Hold3 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Dominance in AI Infrastructure

ASML is the world's leading producer of lithography systems, positioning it to benefit from the booming AI infrastructure market as data centers upgrade.

Memory Market Recovery and Growth

The recovery and expansion of the memory market, particularly for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips, is expected to boost ASML's sales of advanced EUV systems.

Raised Guidance and Strong Backlog

ASML raised its 2026 revenue guidance and has a backlog of orders valued at approximately $46.4 billion at the end of 2025, providing revenue visibility.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Geopolitical and Export Restrictions

The proposed MATCH Act could ban exports of ASML's DUV lithography machines to China, impacting revenue from a region that was substantial in 2025.

Valuation Concerns

ASML's stock is trading at a high earnings multiple, raising risks that valuation compression could limit stock price gains if growth estimates are not met.

Technological Limits and Competition

ASML faces long-term risks of reaching physical limits in lithography and potential competition from China developing its own EUV technology.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
ASML+23.22%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
ASML+39.34%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
ASML+127.18%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.82%
5-Year Return
ASML+71.92%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+64.53%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
36.4x
Forward P/EExpansion
34.6x
EV/EBITDA20th %ile
29.8x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.3%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
36.4x
38.7x
20th· Low
EV/EBITDA
29.8x
30.3x
20th· Low
Price/FCF
23.3x
33.0x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$617.35-56.7%
Base (Fair)$1356.14-4.8%
Bull$1490.90+4.6%
$617.35 Bear$1356.14 Base$1490.90 Bull
Current Market Price: $1424.75
Trades at a 5.1% premium to Base DCF ($1356.14)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$32.67B+15.6% YoY
Net income FY25
$9.61B+26.9% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$10.65B+12.0% YoY
Operating margin FY25
34.6%+2.7 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)84.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)50.5%
Piotroski Score8 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 14, 2026
$14.89+19.4%
vs $12.47
$13.0B-1.3%
vs $13.1B
Q3 2026
Jul 15, 2026
$8.68+8.8%
vs $7.98
$10.7B+4.2%
vs $10.2B
Q2 2026
Apr 15, 2026
$8.37+8.4%
vs $7.72
$10.3B+2.4%
vs $10.1B
Q1 2026
Jan 28, 2026
$8.55-5.4%
vs $9.04
$11.6B+3.8%
vs $11.2B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
The Motley Fool·2d ago
Could $10,000 Invested in ASML Set You Up for Life?

ASML is the only company in the world capable of making the lithography machines used to manufacture AI chips. The stock has averaged a 23% annualized return over the past 20 years and a 20% annualized return over the past 30.

The Motley Fool·2d ago
ASML vs. Marvell Technology: Which Artificial Intelligence Stock Is a Better Buy Going into 2027?

ASML holds a global monopoly on the extreme ultraviolet lithography machines required to manufacture the most advanced microchips. Marvell Technology is a leading provider of data infrastructure and connectivity solutions designed for the artificial intelligence era.

Zacks Investment Research·3d ago
ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It

ASML (ASML) has been one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com users lately. So, it is worth exploring what lies ahead for the stock.

The Motley Fool·3d ago
Better AI Semiconductor Monopoly Stock: Taiwan Semiconductor vs. ASML

The demand for ASML's machines has increased significantly, as they are used to manufacture advanced chips for AI applications. TSMC is the world's largest semiconductor foundry, and it has a strong clientele that uses its advanced process nodes to make AI chips.

Filtered for ASML Holding N.V.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark ASML against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for ASML Holding N.V. (ASML)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
ASML logoASMLASML Holding N.V.Current
$1424.75$549.12B51.5915.58%29.42%50.47%0.49%
AMAT logoAMATApplied Materials, Inc.
$332.72$264.16B38.424.39%30.05%40.44%0.51%
LRCX logoLRCXLam Research Corporation
$200.44$250.66B34.8026.02%32.34%71.75%0.5%
KLAC logoKLACKLA Corporation
$138.49$180.91B37.8411.71%36.25%87.02%0.58%
ONTO logoONTOOnto Innovation Inc.
$173.28$8.62B62.331.82%11.84%6.5%—
COHU logoCOHUCohu, Inc.
$38.49$1.82B-24.2112.74%-3.97%-2.9%—

Compare ASML vs Peers

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs AMAT

Most directly comparable listed peer for ASML.

Scale Benchmark

vs NVDA

Larger-name benchmark to compare ASML against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, ONTO

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ASML Frequently Asked Questions

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is ASML Holding N.V.'s revenue?

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reported $39.47B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $32.67B in fiscal year 2025. That is 5174% more than the $619.4M of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is ASML Holding N.V. growing?

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) grew revenue by 15.6% in fiscal year 2025, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is ASML profitable?

Yes. ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) earned $13.47B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 34.1% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does ASML pay dividends?

Yes. ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) pays a dividend that yields 0.49% at the current price, a small yield.

What is ASML's return on equity?

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) had a return on equity (ROE) of 50.5% in fiscal year 2025. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is ASML Holding N.V.'s free cash flow?

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) generated $20.75B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in ASML back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →