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ASMLASML Holding N.V.
$1747.90$673.7B
Overview & Tools
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ASML logo

ASML Holding N.V.

ASML
NASDAQ · Semiconductors
$1747.90
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$673.67B
P/E61.7x
52W High$1999.96
Volume1.17M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q1

Monopolistic Lithography Dominance Faces Cyclical Cash Volatility

ASML maintains an unassailable competitive moat through its monopoly on EUV lithography, which consistently supports gross margins above 50%. While the company's ability to scale operating income to $3.2 billion in 2026Q1 demonstrates significant operational l...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationReview
TechnicalsHealthy
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

ASML price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

10/12 Beats

EPS beat 10 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-9% Peers

P/E is 9% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 73 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 73)

04

Healthy Uptrend

Uptrend

Price > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 15
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

ASML exhibits structural resilience with gross margins consistently exceeding 50%, peaking at 54.0% in 2025Q1, even as revenue growth remains subject to significant cyclical volatility.

Analyst Consensus+31.9% target
Buy(45 analysts)
26 Buy16 Hold3 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Dominance in AI Infrastructure

ASML is the world's leading producer of lithography systems, positioning it to benefit from the booming AI infrastructure market as data centers upgrade.

Memory Market Recovery and Growth

The recovery and expansion of the memory market, particularly for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips, is expected to boost ASML's sales of advanced EUV systems.

Raised Guidance and Strong Backlog

ASML raised its 2026 revenue guidance and has a backlog of orders valued at approximately $46.4 billion at the end of 2025, providing revenue visibility.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Geopolitical and Export Restrictions

The proposed MATCH Act could ban exports of ASML's DUV lithography machines to China, impacting revenue from a region that was substantial in 2025.

Valuation Concerns

ASML's stock is trading at a high earnings multiple, raising risks that valuation compression could limit stock price gains if growth estimates are not met.

Technological Limits and Competition

ASML faces long-term risks of reaching physical limits in lithography and potential competition from China developing its own EUV technology.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
ASML+50.81%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
ASML+83.44%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
ASML+201.61%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+82.33%
5-Year Return
ASML+106.35%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+78.28%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
61.7x
Forward P/EExpansion
45.5x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
46.8x
FCF YieldCash Flow
1.8%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
61.7x
39.6x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
46.8x
30.3x
100th· High
Price/FCF
55.2x
31.5x
80th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$516.67-70.4%
Base (Fair)$1126.66-32.9%
Bull$1233.35-29.4%
$516.67 Bear$1126.66 Base$1233.35 Bull
Current Market Price: $1747.90
Trades at a 55.1% premium to Base DCF ($1126.66)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$32.67B+15.6% YoY
Net income
$9.61B+26.9% YoY
Free cash flow
$10.65B+12.0% YoY
Operating margin
34.6%+2.7 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)84.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)50.5%
Piotroski Score8 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 15, 2026
$8.68+8.8%
vs $7.98
$10.7B+4.2%
vs $10.2B
Q2 2026
Apr 15, 2026
$8.37+8.4%
vs $7.72
$10.3B+2.4%
vs $10.1B
Q1 2026
Jan 28, 2026
$8.55-5.4%
vs $9.04
$11.6B+3.8%
vs $11.2B
Q4 2025
Oct 15, 2025
$6.41+2.2%
vs $6.27
$8.7B-3.2%
vs $9.0B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
ETF Trends·19h ago
New ETF Bets on the Machinery Behind AI Chipmaking

REX Advisers will launch the REX AI Chipmaking ETF (CHIP) on Nasdaq Wednesday, according to the fund's prospectus. The fund invests in the equipment makers that build the physical machinery behind artificial intelligence (AI) chips, rather than the companies that design them.

The Motley Fool·1d ago
Nvidia and AMD Can't Make AI Chips Without This Growth Stock. Here's Why It Could Soar.

It would have been difficult for Nvidia and AMD to manufacture AI accelerators without ASML's advanced chipmaking equipment. The heavy investments in AI data center infrastructure and the booming demand for memory chips will be a tailwind for ASML.

Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
ASML (ASML) Surpasses Market Returns: Some Facts Worth Knowing

The latest trading day saw ASML (ASML) settling at $1, representing a +1.87% change from its previous close.

GlobeNewsWire·2d ago
ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program.

Filtered for ASML Holding N.V.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark ASML against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for ASML Holding N.V. (ASML)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
ASML logoASMLASML Holding N.V.Current
$1747.90$673.67B61.6815.58%29.42%50.47%0.41%
AMAT logoAMATApplied Materials, Inc.
$472.46$375.11B54.564.39%30.05%40.44%—
LRCX logoLRCXLam Research Corporation
$310.96$388.88B53.9926.02%31.27%66.97%—
KLAC logoKLACKLA Corporation
$188.32$246B51.4511.71%35.57%85.38%—
ONTO logoONTOOnto Innovation Inc.
$283.81$14.12B102.091.82%11.84%6.5%—
COHU logoCOHUCohu, Inc.
$64.54$3.04B-40.5912.74%-7.43%-4.91%—

Compare ASML vs Peers

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs AMAT

Most directly comparable listed peer for ASML.

Scale Benchmark

vs NVDA

Larger-name benchmark to compare ASML against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, ONTO

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ASML Frequently Asked Questions

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is ASML Holding N.V.'s revenue?

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reported $33.69B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 5340% increase from $619.4M in 1996.

How fast is ASML Holding N.V. growing?

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) grew revenue by 15.6% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is ASML profitable?

Yes, ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) is profitable, generating $10.01B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (29.4% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does ASML pay dividends?

Yes, ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) pays a dividend with a yield of 0.41%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is ASML's return on equity?

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) has a return on equity (ROE) of 50.5%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is ASML Holding N.V.'s free cash flow?

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) generated $8.56B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in ASML back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →