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ERIE
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ERIEErie Indemnity Company
$273.07$12.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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ERIE logo

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE
NASDAQ · Insurance Brokers
$273.07
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$12.61B
P/E24.8x
52W High$301.61
Volume206.94K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Decelerating Premium Growth Meets Thin Underwriting Cushion at Erie

Erie Indemnity's top-line momentum has faded sharply, with revenue growth falling from 17.9% in 2024Q2 to roughly 0.2% in 2026Q3, suggesting the growth phase that supported its valuation has largely stalled.

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsNeutral
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

ERIE price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+105% Peers

P/E is 105% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 79 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 79)

04

Trend Check

N/A

Trend data unavailable

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 29
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has decelerated from 17.9% in 2024Q2 to roughly 0.2% in 2026Q3 while the combined ratio hovered between 80.3% and 83.6%, suggesting underwriting margins are positive but have narrowed.

Analyst Consensus
Hold(0 analysts)
0 Buy0 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Return to Profitability

Erie Indemnity has reported a return to profitability, with improved net income and operating income in recent quarters. This improvement is attributed to more typical weather patterns and a more balanced operating environment, leading to a better combined ratio.

Technology Modernization

The company is actively advancing its core technology systems, moving them onto newer platforms. These efforts are seen as significant changes that will improve operational efficiency and the company's ability to respond to customer needs.

Undervalued Stock

Some analyses suggest that ERIE stock may be undervalued. One valuation model indicates the stock is approximately 12.9% undervalued, with an estimated intrinsic value of around $264.13 per share, compared to a recent share price around $229.93.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
ERIE+0.40%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
ERIE-0.94%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
ERIE+3.32%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+62.71%
5-Year Return
ERIE+30.94%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+50.64%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
24.8x
Forward P/EExpansion
21.2x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
14.9x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.4%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
24.8x
35.9x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
14.9x
26.8x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
22.8x
38.4x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$191.36-29.9%
Base (Fair)$315.01+15.4%
Bull$472.44+73.0%
$191.36 Bear$315.01 Base$472.44 Bull
Current Market Price: $273.07
Trades at a 13.3% discount to Base DCF ($315.01)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$4.07B+7.2% YoY
Net income FY25
$559M-6.8% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$571M+17.4% YoY
Operating margin FY25
17.7%-0.1 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)29.3%
Avg ROIC 5Y25.6%
ROE (TTM)23.9%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 29, 2026
$3.48+2.1%
vs $3.41
$1.1B-12.5%
vs $1.2B
Q3 2026
Jul 30, 2026
$3.45+3.0%
vs $3.35
$1.1B+0.1%
vs $1.1B
Q2 2026
Apr 23, 2026
$2.88-5.9%
vs $3.06
$1.0B-7.0%
vs $1.1B
Q1 2026
Feb 23, 2026
-$0.33-120.8%
vs $1.59
$951M-2.5%
vs $976M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Seeking Alpha·Oct 16, 2026
Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week Of October 18

A weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers. Companies that changed their dividends. Companies with upcoming ex-dividend dates.

GuruFocus·Oct 15, 2026
Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) Stock Up 3.7% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 80/100

On October 15, 2026, Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) shares rose 3.7%, closing at $238.69. The stock has experienced significant volatility, trading between a 52-week

PRNewsWire·Oct 12, 2026
Erie Indemnity to host third quarter 2026 pre-recorded conference call and webcast

ERIE, Pa., Oct. 12, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Erie Indemnity Company (NASDAQ: ERIE) will host a pre-recorded audio webcast with the financial community providing financial results for the third quarter 2026 on Friday, October 30th, at 10 a.m. Eastern Time.

GuruFocus·Sep 14, 2026
Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) Stock Up 3.6% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 66/100

On September 14, 2026, Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) shares rose 3.6%, closing at $253.85. This price performance comes amid a 52-week range between $204.63 and $341

Filtered for Erie Indemnity CompanyMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark ERIE against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
ERIE logoERIEErie Indemnity CompanyCurrent
$273.07$12.61B24.797.17%13.97%23.86%1.77%
PGR logoPGRThe Progressive Corporation
$227.77$132.61B11.4116.32%12.67%35.44%2.14%
ALL logoALLThe Allstate Corporation
$254.81$65.59B5.594.64%16.76%36.34%1.54%
TRV logoTRVThe Travelers Companies, Inc.
$395.20$82.43B9.995.17%17.03%26.24%1.09%
HIG logoHIGThe Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.
$133.99$36.73B8.227.1%15.88%24.13%1.54%
CNA logoCNACNA Financial Corporation
$47.32$12.8B11.275.1%7.57%10.41%8.13%

Compare ERIE vs Peers

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs PGR

Most directly comparable listed peer for ERIE.

Scale Benchmark

vs MRSH

Larger-name benchmark to compare ERIE against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs PGR, ALL, TRV, HIG

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

ERIE SEC Filings & Documents

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 21, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

1
FY 2026

Feb 23, 2026·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 23, 2026·SEC

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ERIE Frequently Asked Questions

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Erie Indemnity Company growing?

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) grew revenue by 2.0% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is ERIE profitable?

Yes. Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) earned $576.1M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 14.0% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does ERIE pay dividends?

Yes. Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) pays a dividend that yields 1.77% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is ERIE's return on equity?

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) had a return on equity (ROE) of 23.9% over the trailing twelve months. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

Industry Metrics
What is Erie Indemnity Company's combined ratio?

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) has a combined ratio of 82.3%. A ratio below 100% indicates underwriting profitability.

What if you invested $1,000 in ERIE back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →