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ERIEErie Indemnity Company
$225.77$10.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
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Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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ERIE logo

Erie Indemnity Company

ERIE
NASDAQ · Insurance Brokers
$225.77
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$10.43B
P/E21.3x
52W High$330.54
Volume201.15K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Underwriting Discipline Offsets Earnings Volatility Risk

Erie Indemnity's core underwriting franchise remains resilient, with a combined ratio of 81.2% in 2026Q2 and consistent sub-100% combined ratios over the past nine quarters, reflecting disciplined pricing and expense management. However, revenue growth has dec...

GrowthStable
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

ERIE price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+73% Peers

P/E is 73% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 54 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 54)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 30
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has moderated from 17.9% in 2024Q2 to 2.8% in 2026Q2, yet underwriting profitability remains solid with a combined ratio of 81.2% in 2026Q2, though the negative EPS of -2.86 in that quarter raises earnings quality concerns.

Analyst Consensus
Hold(0 analysts)
0 Buy0 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Return to Profitability

Erie Indemnity has reported a return to profitability, with improved net income and operating income in recent quarters. This improvement is attributed to more typical weather patterns and a more balanced operating environment, leading to a better combined ratio.

Technology Modernization

The company is actively advancing its core technology systems, moving them onto newer platforms. These efforts are seen as significant changes that will improve operational efficiency and the company's ability to respond to customer needs.

Undervalued Stock

Some analyses suggest that ERIE stock may be undervalued. One valuation model indicates the stock is approximately 12.9% undervalued, with an estimated intrinsic value of around $264.13 per share, compared to a recent share price around $229.93.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
ERIE-17.15%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
ERIE-27.03%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
ERIE-18.19%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+70.28%
5-Year Return
ERIE+37.70%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.33%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
21.3x
Forward P/EExpansion
17.8x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
12.7x
FCF YieldCash Flow
5.5%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
21.3x
35.9x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
12.7x
27.2x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
18.3x
38.4x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$202.09-10.5%
Base (Fair)$333.02+39.3%
Bull$499.80+121.4%
$202.09 Bear$333.02 Base$499.80 Bull
Current Market Price: $225.77
Trades at a 32.2% discount to Base DCF ($333.02)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$4.07B+7.2% YoY
Net income
$559M-6.8% YoY
Free cash flow
$571M+17.4% YoY
Operating margin
17.7%-0.1 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)29.3%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)26.2%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 30, 2026
$3.45+3.0%
vs $3.35
$1.1B+0.1%
vs $1.1B
Q2 2026
Apr 23, 2026
$2.88-5.9%
vs $3.06
$1.0B-7.0%
vs $1.1B
Q1 2026
Feb 23, 2026
-$0.33-120.8%
vs $1.59
$951M-2.5%
vs $976M
Q4 2025
Oct 30, 2025
$3.50+3.9%
vs $3.37
$1.3B+33.7%
vs $976M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
GuruFocus·Sep 14, 2026
Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) Stock Up 3.6% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 66/100

On September 14, 2026, Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) shares rose 3.6%, closing at $253.85. This price performance comes amid a 52-week range between $204.63 and $341

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 14, 2026
Erie Indemnity (ERIE) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why

Erie Indemnity (ERIE) might move higher on growing optimism about its earnings prospects, which is reflected by its upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

24/7 Wall Street·Aug 31, 2026
4 Financial Stocks That Kept Raising Dividends Through 2 Historic Crashes

Financial stocks are the first to crack when markets panic, yet a handful of them kept handing investors bigger checks through both the 2008 meltdown and the 2020 shock.

GuruFocus·Aug 17, 2026
Is Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) a Bargain After 3.2% Drop? GF Value Says Undervalued

On August 17, 2026, Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) shares fell 3.2% to a current price of $247.75, within a 52-week range of $204.63 to $371.45. This decline comes am

Filtered for Erie Indemnity CompanyMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark ERIE against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
ERIE logoERIEErie Indemnity CompanyCurrent
$225.77$10.43B21.267.17%13.75%26.19%2.14%
PGR logoPGRThe Progressive Corporation
$203.13$119.22B10.5616.32%12.93%35.45%—
ALL logoALLThe Allstate Corporation
$225.66$58.09B5.914.64%19.24%43.16%—
TRV logoTRVThe Travelers Companies, Inc.
$360.39$75.17B13.145.17%16.95%25.62%—
HIG logoHIGThe Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.
$126.59$34.7B9.507.1%15.03%22.99%—
CNA logoCNACNA Financial Corporation
$47.11$12.75B10.045.1%8.99%11.99%—

Compare ERIE vs Peers

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs PGR

Most directly comparable listed peer for ERIE.

Scale Benchmark

vs MMC

Larger-name benchmark to compare ERIE against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs PGR, ALL, TRV, HIG

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

ERIE SEC Filings & Documents

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 21, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Apr 23, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

1
FY 2026

Feb 23, 2026·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 30, 2025·SEC

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ERIE Frequently Asked Questions

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Erie Indemnity Company growing?

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) grew revenue by 7.2% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is ERIE profitable?

Yes, Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is profitable, generating $577.0M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (13.8% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does ERIE pay dividends?

Yes, Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) pays a dividend with a yield of 2.14%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is ERIE's return on equity?

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) has a return on equity (ROE) of 26.2%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

Industry Metrics
What is Erie Indemnity Company's combined ratio?

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) has a combined ratio of 82.3%. A ratio below 100% indicates underwriting profitability.

What if you invested $1,000 in ERIE back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →