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HOGHarley-Davidson, Inc.
$32.66$3.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
HOG logo

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

HOG
NYSE · RVs, Boats & Powersports
$32.66
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$3.44B
P/E-26.2x
52W High$34.84
Volume1.83M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Revenue Contraction Meets Deleveraging and Thin Margin Recovery

Harley-Davidson's fundamentals suggest a business in managed decline, with revenue falling 13.8% year over year to roughly $1.1B in the latest quarter and operating margin compressed to 3.4% from 14.9% in Q2 2024.

GrowthContracting
ProfitabilityWeak
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

HOG price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-244% Peers

P/E is 244% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 93 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 93% of market)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 29

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
HOG+60.96%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
HOG+32.87%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
HOG+25.31%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.12%
5-Year Return
HOG-4.72%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+57.12%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
-26.2x
Forward P/E
43.5x
EV/EBITDA
N/A
FCF YieldCash Flow
9.1%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-26.2x
8.4x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
N/A
11.1x
N/A
Price/FCF
11.0x
6.8x
80th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$12.72-61.1%
Base (Fair)$22.70-30.5%
Bull$20.08-38.5%
$12.72 Bear$22.70 Base$20.08 Bull
Current Market Price: $32.66
Trades at a 43.9% premium to Base DCF ($22.70)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$4.47B-13.8% YoY
Net income FY25
$339M-25.6% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$415M-52.1% YoY
Operating margin FY25
8.6%+0.6 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)5%
Avg ROIC 5Y6.4%
ROE (TTM)-4.3%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 29, 2026
$0.40-15.6%
vs $0.47
$964M-10.2%
vs $1.1B
Q3 2026
Jul 23, 2026
$0.75+16.3%
vs $0.65
$1.1B-5.4%
vs $1.2B
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
$0.22-35.3%
vs $0.34
$1.1B+4.5%
vs $1.0B
Q1 2026
Feb 10, 2026
-$2.44-165.2%
vs -$0.92
$379M-21.7%
vs $485M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·Oct 28, 2026
What Makes Harley-Davidson (HOG) a New Buy Stock

Harley-Davidson (HOG) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. This might drive the stock higher in the near term.

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 28, 2026
HOG or TSLA: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Investors interested in Automotive - Domestic stocks are likely familiar with Harley-Davidson (HOG) and Tesla (TSLA). But which of these two stocks is more attractive to value investors?

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 28, 2026
Here Is Why Bargain Hunters Would Love Fast-paced Mover Harley-Davidson (HOG)

Harley-Davidson (HOG) could be a great choice for investors looking to buy stocks that have gained strong momentum recently but are still trading at reasonable prices. It is one of the several stocks that made it through our 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen.

WSJ·Oct 27, 2026
Harley-Davidson Wanted an Electric Revolution. That Dream Is in Trouble

LiveWire's CEO has departed and a restructuring officer has taken over as losses mount at the once-hyped spinoff.

Filtered for Harley-Davidson, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark HOG against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
HOG logoHOGHarley-Davidson, Inc.Current
$32.66$3.44B-26.22-13.76%-3.44%-4.28%2.18%
PII logoPIIPolaris Inc.
$63.07$3.59B-17.89-0.33%-2.7%-25.11%4.19%
FOXF logoFOXFFox Factory Holding Corp.
$17.80$746.46M-1.845.27%-28.58%-63.72%—
MBLY logoMBLYMobileye Global Inc.
$5.73$4.67B-1.1714.51%-201.25%-44.22%—
F logoFFord Motor Company
$12.44$49.61B-6.511.23%-4.17%-21.33%6.04%
GM logoGMGeneral Motors Company
$86.16$77.93B19.47-1.29%2.1%6.13%0.78%

Compare HOG vs Peers

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs PII

Most directly comparable listed peer for HOG.

Scale Benchmark

vs TSLA

Larger-name benchmark to compare HOG against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs PII, FOXF, MBLY, F

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

HOG SEC Filings & Documents

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 26, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 26, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 26, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Nov 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 6, 2026·SEC

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HOG Frequently Asked Questions

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s revenue?

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) reported $3.85B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $4.47B in fiscal year 2025. That is 192% more than the $1.53B of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is Harley-Davidson, Inc. growing?

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) revenue fell by 17.4% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is HOG profitable?

No. Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) reported a net loss of $132.8M over the trailing twelve months.

Dividend & Returns
Does HOG pay dividends?

Yes. Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) pays a dividend that yields 2.18% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is HOG's return on equity?

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) had a return on equity (ROE) of -4.3% over the trailing twelve months. A negative ROE means the company lost money over the period.

What is Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) generated $311.9M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in HOG back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →