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HOGHarley-Davidson, Inc.
$25.98$2.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
HOG logo

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

HOG
NYSE · Recreational Vehicles
$25.98
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$2.73B
P/E9.3x
52W High$29.88
Volume1.97M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Revenue Slide Persists Amid Deleveraging Balance Sheet

Harley-Davidson faces persistent revenue contraction, with a 13.8% YoY decline in the latest quarter and extreme margin volatility, including a -22.8% gross margin in 2025Q4. The company has aggressively deleveraged, cutting total debt from $7.5B to $2.3B and ...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

HOG price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-48% Peers

P/E is 48% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 74 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 74)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 23

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
HOG+28.60%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
HOG-7.28%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
HOG-14.77%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+75.74%
5-Year Return
HOG-23.34%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+70.53%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
9.3x
Forward P/E
37.9x
EV/EBITDA20th %ile
4.8x
FCF YieldCash Flow
15.2%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
9.3x
8.4x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
4.8x
11.1x
20th· Low
Price/FCF
6.6x
6.8x
40th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$37.37+43.8%
Base (Fair)$62.82+142.3%
Bull$62.20+139.4%
$37.37 Bear$62.82 Base$62.20 Bull
Current Market Price: $25.98
Trades at a 58.6% discount to Base DCF ($62.82)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$4.47B-13.8% YoY
Net income
$339M-25.6% YoY
Free cash flow
$415M-52.1% YoY
Operating margin
8.6%+0.6 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)5%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)10.7%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 23, 2026
$0.75+16.3%
vs $0.65
$1.1B-5.4%
vs $1.2B
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
$0.22-35.3%
vs $0.34
$1.1B+4.5%
vs $1.0B
Q1 2026
Feb 10, 2026
-$2.44-165.2%
vs -$0.92
$379M-21.7%
vs $485M
Q4 2025
Nov 4, 2025
$3.10+124.6%
vs $1.38
$1.1B+110.9%
vs $509M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
WSJ·2d ago
How Harley-Davidson, an American Icon, Became a Tariff Punching Bag

The U.S. motorcycle maker's politically sensitive profile keeps it on the tariff payback list.

Defense World·5d ago
WINTON GROUP Ltd Decreases Stake in Harley-Davidson, Inc. $HOG

WINTON GROUP Ltd cut its position in shares of Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE: HOG) by 84.2% in the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund owned 13,201 shares of the company's stock after selling 70,353 shares during the period. WINTON GROUP Ltd's

GlobeNewsWire·Sep 16, 2026
Harley-Davidson Data Breach: Milwaukee Law Firm Investigates Claims for Possible Damages Suffered by Current and Former Employees

MILWAUKEE, Sept. 16, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Milwaukee law firm Ademi LLP is investigating potential data privacy claims arising from a data breach involving Harley-Davidson. We are investigating whether Harley-Davidson maintained reasonable safeguards to protect personal information.

GuruFocus·Sep 16, 2026
HARLEY-DAVIDSON® AND REALTREE® DROP SECOND LIMITED-EDITION COLLABORATION

HARLEY-DAVIDSONÂ AND REALTREEÂ DROP SECOND LIMITED-EDITION COLLABORATIONPR NewswireMILWAUKEE, Sept. 16, 2026Two heritage brands release the next chapter of th

Filtered for Harley-Davidson, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark HOG against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
HOG logoHOGHarley-Davidson, Inc.Current
$25.98$2.73B9.35-13.76%7.57%10.73%2.74%
PII logoPIIPolaris Inc.
$52.94$3.01B-6.47-0.33%-3.5%-28.96%—
FOXF logoFOXFFox Factory Holding Corp.
$18.66$782.53M-1.435.27%-20.39%-40.47%—
MBLY logoMBLYMobileye Global Inc.
$7.61$6.21B-15.8514.51%-201.49%-40.43%—
F logoFFord Motor Company
$12.96$51.66B-6.291.23%-3.93%-18.89%—
GM logoGMGeneral Motors Company
$83.77$75.77B25.62-1.29%1.03%2.95%—

Compare HOG vs Peers

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs PII

Most directly comparable listed peer for HOG.

Scale Benchmark

vs TSLA

Larger-name benchmark to compare HOG against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs PII, FOXF, MBLY, F

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

HOG SEC Filings & Documents

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 26, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 28, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 26, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 26, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 5, 2025·SEC

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HOG Frequently Asked Questions

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s revenue?

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) reported $4.11B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 169% increase from $1.53B in 1996.

How fast is Harley-Davidson, Inc. growing?

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) saw revenue decline by 13.8% over the past year.

Is HOG profitable?

Yes, Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) is profitable, generating $201.8M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (7.6% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does HOG pay dividends?

Yes, Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) pays a dividend with a yield of 2.74%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is HOG's return on equity?

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) has a return on equity (ROE) of 10.7%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) had negative free cash flow of $133.1M in fiscal year 2025, likely due to heavy capital investments.

What if you invested $1,000 in HOG back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →