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LYGLloyds Banking Group plc
$5.09$73.9B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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LYG logo

Lloyds Banking Group plc

LYG
NYSE · Large & Global Banks
$5.09
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$73.88B
P/E9.4x
52W High$6.34
Volume30.7M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2025Q4

Volatile Revenue Mix Masks Core Margin Pressure

Lloyds' headline revenue growth in 2025Q4 was driven by a surge in non-interest income to $47.3B, but this masks a collapse in net interest income to $3.5B and a net interest margin of just 0.4%, down from 2.4% a year earlier.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

LYG price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-18% Peers

P/E is 18% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 43 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 57% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 29
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue composition is highly volatile, with non-interest income swinging from -$4.3B in 2025Q3 to $47.3B in 2025Q4, while net interest income fell 84.3% year-over-year to $3.5B, compressing NIM to 0.4% and pushing the efficiency ratio to 96.1%.

Analyst Consensus-46.0% target
Buy(24 analysts)
14 Buy8 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Earnings & Margin Growth

Lloyds reported earnings per share of $0.12, surpassing analyst expectations, and maintains a solid net margin of 24.30%, indicating effective cost control and profitability.

Attractive Valuation vs Peers

The stock trades at a P/E of 14x, below the peer average of 17.5x and the estimated fair P/E of 19.9x, positioning it as a value play in the financial sector.

Robust Revenue & EPS Growth Outlook

Projected revenue growth is 13.39% this year and 7.12% next year, while EPS is expected to rise 44.68% this year and 18.27% next year, underscoring strong earnings momentum.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
LYG-1.57%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
LYG+10.29%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
LYG+174.59%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+65.63%
5-Year Return
LYG+124.43%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+54.25%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
9.4x
Forward P/E
12.5x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
10.9x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
9.4x
10.9x
40th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
10.9x
6.3x
80th· High
Price/FCF
N/A
13.5x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$2.36-53.6%
Base (Fair)$4.15-18.5%
Bull$6.22+22.2%
$2.36 Bear$4.15 Base$6.22 Bull
Current Market Price: $5.09
Trades at a 22.7% premium to Base DCF ($4.15)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$47.87B+157.3% YoY
Net income FY25
$4.66B+5.4% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
-$625M+92.9% YoY
Operating margin FY25
13.9%-18.2 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)3.6%
Avg ROIC 5Y3.4%
ROE (TTM)12.8%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 29, 2026
$0.15+7.1%
vs $0.14
$6.8B-3.9%
vs $7.1B
Q3 2026
Jul 30, 2026
$0.13-7.1%
vs $0.14
$6.7B-2.9%
vs $6.9B
Q2 2026
Apr 29, 2026
$0.13+18.2%
vs $0.11
$6.5B-2.2%
vs $6.6B
Q1 2026
Jan 29, 2026
$0.12+9.1%
vs $0.11
$6.5B+0.1%
vs $6.5B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Seeking Alpha·3d ago
Lloyds Banking Group: Balanced Risk-Return Profile Following Q3 Earnings

Lloyds Banking Group (LYG) delivered resilient Q3 results, driven by net interest income growth and strong cost control. LYG benefits from a 'higher for longer' UK rate environment, but faces headwinds from higher taxes and ongoing motor finance litigation. Profitability remains robust with a Q3 RoTE of 19.5% and a CET1 ratio of 13.3%, supporting continued shareholder returns.

Seeking Alpha·Oct 31, 2026
Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Lloyds Banking Group plc ( LYG ) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 29, 2026 5:30 AM EDT Company Participants William Leon Chalmers - Group CFO & Executive Director Conference Call Participants Benjamin Toms - RBC Capital Markets, Research Division Guy Stebbings - BNP Paribas, Research Division Sheel Shah - JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division Jonathan Richard Pierce - Jefferies LLC, Research Division Jason Napier - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division Aman Rakkar - Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division Christopher Cant - Bernstein Autonomous LLP Benjamin Caven-Roberts - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division Pui Mong - BofA Securities, Research Division Presentation Operator Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Lloyds Banking Group 2026 Q3 Interim Management Statement Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this call is scheduled for 1 hour and is being recorded.

MarketBeat·Oct 30, 2026
What Lloyds Banking Group (LYG) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

Lloyds Banking Group NYSE: LYG reported statutory profit after tax of £4.8 billion for the first nine months of 2026, as higher net income, controlled costs and stable credit quality supported returns and capital generation.

Reuters·Oct 29, 2026
Lloyds reports third-quarter profit rise as Britain's banks face higher taxes

LONDON, Oct 29 (Reuters) - Britain's Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY.L), opens new tab reported profit before tax for the July-September period of £2.3 billion ($3.

Filtered for Lloyds Banking Group plcMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark LYG against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
LYG logoLYGLloyds Banking Group plcCurrent
$5.09$73.88B9.43157.3%9.67%12.79%3.43%
BCS logoBCSBarclays PLC
$22.33$75.29B6.96-6.28%26.21%10.76%3.83%
NWG logoNWGNatWest Group plc
$15.60$31.02B3.7413.35%34.52%14.85%10.01%
HSBC logoHSBCHSBC Holdings plc
$87.06$299.2B10.855.38%35.7%13.94%3.79%
UBS logoUBSUBS Group AG
$47.78$156.61B15.6713.72%18.31%10.67%1.44%
DB logoDBDeutsche Bank AG
$34.84$65.47B9.436.86%22.07%9.31%—

Compare LYG vs Peers

Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs BCS

Most directly comparable listed peer for LYG.

Scale Benchmark

vs JPM

Larger-name benchmark to compare LYG against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs BCS, NWG, HSBC, UBS

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LYG Frequently Asked Questions

Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Lloyds Banking Group plc growing?

Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) grew revenue by 62.7% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is LYG profitable?

Yes. Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) earned $6.04B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 9.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does LYG pay dividends?

Yes. Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) pays a dividend that yields 3.43% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is LYG's return on equity?

Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) had a return on equity (ROE) of 12.8% over the trailing twelve months. That is in line with the market's typical 10-15%.

Industry Metrics
What is Lloyds Banking Group plc's net interest margin?

Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) has a net interest margin (NIM) of 1.4%. NIM has been under pressure due to interest rate environment.

What is Lloyds Banking Group plc's efficiency ratio?

Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) has an efficiency ratio of 26.7%. This is excellent, indicating strong cost control.

What if you invested $1,000 in LYG back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →