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LYGLloyds Banking Group plc
$5.64$81.9B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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LYG logo

Lloyds Banking Group plc

LYG
NYSE · Regional Banks
$5.64
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$81.86B
P/E15.8x
52W High$6.34
Volume14.78M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2025Q4

Volatile Revenue Mix Masks Core Margin Pressure

Lloyds' headline revenue growth in 2025Q4 was driven by a surge in non-interest income to $47.3B, but this masks a collapse in net interest income to $3.5B and a net interest margin of just 0.4%, down from 2.4% a year earlier. The bank's efficiency ratio deter...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

LYG price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+7% Peers

P/E is 7% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 65 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 65)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 30
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue composition is highly volatile, with non-interest income swinging from -$4.3B in 2025Q3 to $47.3B in 2025Q4, while net interest income fell 84.3% year-over-year to $3.5B, compressing NIM to 0.4% and pushing the efficiency ratio to 96.1%.

Analyst Consensus-51.2% target
Buy(24 analysts)
14 Buy8 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Earnings & Margin Growth

Lloyds reported earnings per share of $0.12, surpassing analyst expectations, and maintains a solid net margin of 24.30%, indicating effective cost control and profitability.

Attractive Valuation vs Peers

The stock trades at a P/E of 14x, below the peer average of 17.5x and the estimated fair P/E of 19.9x, positioning it as a value play in the financial sector.

Robust Revenue & EPS Growth Outlook

Projected revenue growth is 13.39% this year and 7.12% next year, while EPS is expected to rise 44.68% this year and 18.27% next year, underscoring strong earnings momentum.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
LYG+8.63%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
LYG+30.99%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
LYG+187.40%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+74.91%
5-Year Return
LYG+163.69%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+62.29%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
15.8x
Forward P/EExpansion
13.7x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
15.1x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
15.8x
10.9x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
15.1x
6.3x
80th· High
Price/FCF
N/A
13.5x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$2.30-59.2%
Base (Fair)$4.06-30.1%
Bull$6.10+8.2%
$2.30 Bear$4.06 Base$6.10 Bull
Current Market Price: $5.64
Trades at a 38.9% premium to Base DCF ($4.06)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$47.87B+157.3% YoY
Net income
$4.66B+5.4% YoY
Free cash flow
-$625M+92.9% YoY
Operating margin
10.2%-5.6 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)3.6%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)9.9%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 30, 2026
$0.13-7.1%
vs $0.14
$6.7B-2.9%
vs $6.9B
Q2 2026
Apr 29, 2026
$0.13+18.2%
vs $0.11
$6.5B-2.2%
vs $6.6B
Q1 2026
Jan 29, 2026
$0.12+9.1%
vs $0.11
$6.5B+0.1%
vs $6.5B
Q4 2025
Oct 23, 2025
$0.05-58.3%
vs $0.12
$5.8B-185.5%
vs $6.8B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Seeking Alpha·2d ago
Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) Presents at Bank of America 31st Annual Financials CEO Conference Transcript

Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) Presents at Bank of America 31st Annual Financials CEO Conference Transcript

MarketBeat·2d ago
Lloyds Banking Group Maps 2030 Growth Plan as U.K. Consumers Stay Resilient

Charlie Nunn, chief executive of Lloyds Banking Group NYSE: LYG, said U.K. households and businesses have remained resilient despite a slower-growth economic backdrop, while outlining the bank's strategy for growth, investment and efficiency through 2030.

MarketBeat·6d ago
Lloyds Banking Group Maps Accelerate 2030 Plan With AI, Growth and Buyback Focus

William Chalmers, chief financial officer of Lloyds Banking Group NYSE: LYG, said the lender's Accelerate 2030 strategy is designed to build on progress under its prior plan through customer-experience improvements, greater business-line connectivity, productivity gains and broader technology deployment.

Seeking Alpha·Sep 14, 2026
Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) Presents at Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference Transcript

Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) Presents at Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference Transcript

Filtered for Lloyds Banking Group plcMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark LYG against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
LYG logoLYGLloyds Banking Group plcCurrent
$5.64$81.86B15.78157.3%7.17%9.94%3.07%
BCS logoBCSBarclays PLC
$24.29$81.9B10.19-6.28%19.76%10.1%—
NWG logoNWGNatWest Group plc
$17.91$35.61B5.0113.35%21.03%14.73%—
HSBC logoHSBCHSBC Holdings plc
$100.25$344.53B16.5725.58%18.95%12.76%—
UBS logoUBSUBS Group AG
$47.74$156.48B20.2313.72%12.2%10.03%—
DB logoDBDeutsche Bank AG
$35.87$67.4B10.206.86%27.87%9.38%—

Compare LYG vs Peers

Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs BCS

Most directly comparable listed peer for LYG.

Scale Benchmark

vs JPM

Larger-name benchmark to compare LYG against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs BCS, NWG, HSBC, UBS

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LYG Frequently Asked Questions

Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Lloyds Banking Group plc growing?

Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) grew revenue by 157.3% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is LYG profitable?

Yes, Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) is profitable, generating $4.66B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (7.2% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does LYG pay dividends?

Yes, Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) pays a dividend with a yield of 3.07%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is LYG's return on equity?

Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) has a return on equity (ROE) of 9.9%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

Industry Metrics
What is Lloyds Banking Group plc's net interest margin?

Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) has a net interest margin (NIM) of 1.4%. NIM has been under pressure due to interest rate environment.

What is Lloyds Banking Group plc's efficiency ratio?

Lloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) has an efficiency ratio of 19.6%. This is excellent, indicating strong cost control.

What if you invested $1,000 in LYG back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →