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MRCY
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MRCYMercury Systems, Inc.
$73.55$4.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
MRCY logo

Mercury Systems, Inc.

MRCY
NASDAQ · Defense Contractors
$73.55
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$4.42B
P/E-151.8x
52W High$128.45
Volume1.01M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q4

Margin Inflection Emerges Amidst Persistent Earnings Volatility

Mercury Systems is executing a deleveraging and operational pivot, with 2026Q4 marking the first positive operating income ($12.2M) since 2025Q4 and gross margin recovering to 30.6% from 25.2% in 2026Q3.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

MRCY price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-831% Peers

P/E is 831% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 36 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 64% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 10
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue grew 6.1% YoY to $289.8M in 2026Q4 with gross margin improving to 30.6%, yet TTM operating margin is near zero at 0.0% and net margin is -3.0%, indicating fragile profitability.

Analyst Consensus+53.5% target
Buy(20 analysts)
13 Buy6 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Value investing thesis

A bullish thesis on Mercury Systems, Inc. was highlighted on a Value investing subreddit, suggesting potential undervaluation or growth prospects.

High forward P/E ratio

Mercury Systems, Inc. had a forward P/E of 149.25, indicating high growth expectations from investors.

Investor relations focus

The company maintains an Investor Relations website, signaling transparency and engagement with stockholders and potential investors.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
MRCY-3.26%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
MRCY-2.40%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
MRCY+97.98%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+89.68%
5-Year Return
MRCY+42.76%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+75.12%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E
-151.8x
Forward P/E
68.5x
EV/EBITDA75th %ile
60.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
1.5%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-151.8x
N/A
N/A
EV/EBITDA
60.3x
55.7x
75th· Fair
Price/FCF
68.0x
75.0x
50th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$7.94-89.2%
Base (Fair)$61.75-16.0%
Bull$16.29-77.9%
$7.94 Bear$61.75 Base$16.29 Bull
Current Market Price: $73.55
Trades at a 19.1% premium to Base DCF ($61.75)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY26
$984M+7.9% YoY
Net income FY26
-$30M+21.7% YoY
Free cash flow FY26
$68M-42.8% YoY
Operating margin FY26
2.1%+4.3 pts YoY
ROIC (FY26)0.9%
Avg ROIC 5Y-1.4%
ROE (TTM)-2%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 18, 2026
$0.37-3.3%
vs $0.38
$290M+8.9%
vs $266M
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
$0.27+350.0%
vs $0.06
$236M+13.0%
vs $209M
Q1 2026
Feb 3, 2026
$0.16+128.6%
vs $0.07
$233M+10.6%
vs $211M
Q4 2025
Nov 4, 2025
$0.26+225.0%
vs $0.08
$225M+9.4%
vs $206M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·3d ago
Curious about Mercury Systems (MRCY) Q1 Performance? Explore Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics

Get a deeper insight into the potential performance of Mercury Systems (MRCY) for the quarter ended September 2026 by going beyond Wall Street's top-and-bottom-line estimates and examining the estimates for some of its key metrics.

Zacks Investment Research·5d ago
Mercury Systems (MRCY) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

Mercury Systems (MRCY) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

Seeking Alpha·5d ago
Baron SMID Cap ETF Q3 2026 Contributors And Detractors

Baron SMID Cap ETF returned -2.87% (NAV) in the third quarter, outperforming its benchmark, the Russell 2500 Growth Index, which returned -10.35%. Top contributors were Rubrik, Inc., Tempus AI, Inc., and Netskope, Inc. Top detractors were Axon Enterprise, Inc., Forgent Power Solutions, Inc., and Mercury Systems, Inc.

Seeking Alpha·Oct 27, 2026
Conestoga Small Cap Composite Q3 2026 Portfolio Activity

The Conestoga Small Cap Composite returned -11.22% net of fees in 3Q26, trailing the -9.39% return for the Russell 2000 Growth Index. Small Cap Composite top 5 leaders include Repligen, Merit Medical, Stevanato Group, Descartes Systems and Digi International. Small Cap Composite bottom 5 laggards include Mercury Systems, AAON, RBC Bearings, SPX Technologies and UL Solutions.

Filtered for Mercury Systems, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark MRCY against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
MRCY logoMRCYMercury Systems, Inc.Current
$73.55$4.42B-151.847.85%-3.02%-2.01%—
KTOS logoKTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
$35.10$6.58B301.2918.52%1.34%0.72%—
CW logoCWCurtiss-Wright Corporation
$463.47$17.12B30.7612.08%14.86%21.16%0.2%
DRS logoDRSLeonardo DRS, Inc.
$34.04$9.08B25.0212.8%9.4%13.04%1.05%
HAYW logoHAYWHayward Holdings, Inc.
$16.24$3.52B20.716.71%14.35%10.62%—
HII logoHIIHuntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.
$288.74$11.38B15.608.23%5.42%13.95%1.88%

Compare MRCY vs Peers

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs KTOS

Most directly comparable listed peer for MRCY.

Scale Benchmark

vs NVDA

Larger-name benchmark to compare MRCY against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs KTOS, CW, DRS, HAYW

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

MRCY SEC Filings & Documents

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 18, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Feb 3, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

4
FY 2026

Aug 18, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Aug 11, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Aug 13, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

May 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Feb 3, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 4, 2025·SEC

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MRCY Frequently Asked Questions

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Mercury Systems, Inc.'s revenue?

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) reported $983.6M in revenue in fiscal year 2026, which is also its trailing twelve months. That is 1050% more than the $85.5M of fiscal year 1998.

How fast is Mercury Systems, Inc. growing?

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) grew revenue by 7.9% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is MRCY profitable?

No. Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) reported a net loss of $29.7M over the trailing twelve months.

Dividend & Returns
What is MRCY's return on equity?

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) had a return on equity (ROE) of -2.0% over the trailing twelve months. A negative ROE means the company lost money over the period.

What is Mercury Systems, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) generated $64.9M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in MRCY back in 1998?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 28+ years of data

See returns →