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MRCYMercury Systems, Inc.
$83.88$5.0B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
MRCY logo

Mercury Systems, Inc.

MRCY
NASDAQ · Aerospace & Defense
$83.88
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$5.04B
P/E-167.8x
52W High$128.45
Volume680.9K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q4

Margin Inflection Emerges Amidst Persistent Earnings Volatility

Mercury Systems is executing a deleveraging and operational pivot, with 2026Q4 marking the first positive operating income ($12.2M) since 2025Q4 and gross margin recovering to 30.6% from 25.2% in 2026Q3. However, TTM net margin remains negative at -3.0%, and g...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

MRCY price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-775% Peers

P/E is 775% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 40 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 60% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 18
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue grew 6.1% YoY to $289.8M in 2026Q4 with gross margin improving to 30.6%, yet TTM operating margin is near zero at 0.0% and net margin is -3.0%, indicating fragile profitability.

Analyst Consensus+38.1% target
Buy(20 analysts)
13 Buy6 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Value investing thesis

A bullish thesis on Mercury Systems, Inc. was highlighted on a Value investing subreddit, suggesting potential undervaluation or growth prospects.

High forward P/E ratio

Mercury Systems, Inc. had a forward P/E of 149.25, indicating high growth expectations from investors.

Investor relations focus

The company maintains an Investor Relations website, signaling transparency and engagement with stockholders and potential investors.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
MRCY+10.32%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
MRCY+9.55%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
MRCY+121.67%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+75.87%
5-Year Return
MRCY+84.39%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+72.23%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E
-167.8x
Forward P/E
78.1x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
9999.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
1.4%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-167.8x
N/A
N/A
EV/EBITDA
9999.0x
54.1x
100th· High
Price/FCF
74.0x
75.0x
50th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$6.74-92.0%
Base (Fair)$61.83-27.5%
Bull$13.76-83.6%
$6.74 Bear$61.83 Base$13.76 Bull
Current Market Price: $83.88
Trades at a 35.7% premium to Base DCF ($61.83)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$984M+7.9% YoY
Net income
-$30M+21.7% YoY
Free cash flow
$68M-42.8% YoY
Operating margin
0%+2.2 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)0%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)-2%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 18, 2026
$0.37-3.3%
vs $0.38
$290M+8.9%
vs $266M
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
$0.27+350.0%
vs $0.06
$236M+13.0%
vs $209M
Q1 2026
Feb 3, 2026
$0.16+128.6%
vs $0.07
$233M+10.6%
vs $211M
Q4 2025
Nov 4, 2025
$0.26+225.0%
vs $0.08
$225M+9.4%
vs $206M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·6d ago
Mercury Systems (MRCY) Down 13.8% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

Mercury Systems (MRCY) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?

GlobeNewsWire·Sep 16, 2026
Mercury Systems Announces Extension of Employment Contract with Chairman and CEO Bill Ballhaus and Reaffirms Prior Guidance

ANDOVER, Mass., Sept. 16, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Mercury Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: MRCY, www.mrcy.com), a global leader in aerospace and defense electronics, today announced that it has entered into an agreement to extend the employment contract of Chairman and CEO Bill Ballhaus, extending the initial term of his employment contract for another three years through August 15, 2030.

Seeking Alpha·Sep 8, 2026
Mercury Systems: The Defense Computing Opportunity Is Getting Bigger

Mercury Systems is positioned for improved profitability as defense customers increase purchases of its standardized computing products. My Buy rating is supported by a visible backlog, operational improvements, and the expectation of higher production volumes driving margin expansion. Key catalysts include manufacturing enhancements (SolderMask acquisition), a Palantir partnership for planning, and repeat customer selections in defense programs.

The Motley Fool·Sep 2, 2026
Insider Waves Goodbye to More Than 48,000 Shares of Defense Stock Worth $4.8 Million

The transaction involved 48,812 shares with an estimated value of ~$4.8 million. The disposition represented 17% of the executive's total equity holdings.

Filtered for Mercury Systems, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark MRCY against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
MRCY logoMRCYMercury Systems, Inc.Current
$83.88$5.04B-167.767.85%-3.02%-2%—
KTOS logoKTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
$46.97$8.81B361.3118.52%2.03%1.14%—
CW logoCWCurtiss-Wright Corporation
$550.27$20.33B42.7612.08%14.81%20.69%—
DRS logoDRSLeonardo DRS, Inc.
$37.15$9.91B36.0712.8%8.52%11.76%—
HAYW logoHAYWHayward Holdings, Inc.
$12.92$2.8B19.006.71%13.83%10.2%—
HII logoHIIHuntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.
$270.95$10.68B17.618.23%5.01%12.89%—

Compare MRCY vs Peers

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs KTOS

Most directly comparable listed peer for MRCY.

Scale Benchmark

vs NVDA

Larger-name benchmark to compare MRCY against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs KTOS, CW, DRS, HAYW

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

MRCY SEC Filings & Documents

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 18, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Feb 3, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

4
FY 2026

Aug 18, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Aug 11, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Aug 13, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

May 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Feb 3, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 4, 2025·SEC

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MRCY Frequently Asked Questions

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Mercury Systems, Inc.'s revenue?

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) reported $983.6M in revenue for fiscal year 2026. This represents a 1050% increase from $85.5M in 1998.

How fast is Mercury Systems, Inc. growing?

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) grew revenue by 7.9% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is MRCY profitable?

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) reported a net loss of $29.7M for fiscal year 2026.

Dividend & Returns
What is MRCY's return on equity?

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) has a return on equity (ROE) of -2.0%. Negative ROE indicates the company is unprofitable.

What is Mercury Systems, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) generated $64.9M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2026. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in MRCY back in 1998?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 28+ years of data

See returns →