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NVSNovartis AG
$162.55$309.0B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
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Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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NVS logo

Novartis AG

NVS
NYSE · Big Pharma
$162.55
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$308.96B
P/E30.9x
52W High$170.46
Volume2M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Novartis Margins Hold Firm as Growth Decelerates Sharply

Novartis sustained gross margins between 73.4% and 77.6% and a latest-quarter gross margin of 76.0%, suggesting durable pricing power in its specialty portfolio, though revenue growth has slowed from a 15.3% peak to 6.0% year over year.

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsNeutral
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

NVS price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+12% Peers

P/E is 12% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 69 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 69)

04

Trend Check

N/A

Trend data unavailable

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 27
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth decelerated from 15.3% to 6.0% while gross margin held at 76.0% and operating margin compressed to 12.3% as R&D rose to $5.2B, suggesting reinvestment is absorbing near-term profitability.

Analyst Consensus-8.0% target
Hold(25 analysts)
6 Buy17 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Earnings Performance

Novartis reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $2.03, surpassing consensus estimates, indicating strong profitability.

Positive Analyst Upgrades

Several analysts have upgraded NVS, issuing 'buy' ratings, reflecting confidence in the company's future performance.

Limited Tariff Exposure

The CEO indicated that Novartis expects to have essentially no tariff exposure by mid-2026, which could positively impact operations.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Analyst Downgrades and Holds

Some analysts have issued 'hold' ratings, indicating uncertainty about short-term performance and limited price appreciation.

Reduced Earnings Estimates

Analysts have lowered FY2027 earnings per share estimates, suggesting potential challenges in meeting growth expectations.

Stock Price Volatility

NVS has shown significant fluctuations in stock price, with a notable difference between its 52-week high and low.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
NVS+20.75%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
NVS+32.17%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
NVS+86.71%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.39%
5-Year Return
NVS+130.23%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+57.38%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
30.9x
Forward P/EExpansion
18.3x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
15.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.8%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
30.9x
16.6x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
15.3x
13.1x
100th· High
Price/FCF
20.8x
15.2x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$145.51-10.5%
Base (Fair)$239.49+47.3%
Bull$417.97+157.1%
$145.51 Bear$239.49 Base$417.97 Bull
Current Market Price: $162.55
Trades at a 32.1% discount to Base DCF ($239.49)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$54.81B+6.0% YoY
Net income FY25
$14.06B+17.7% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$17.69B+28.1% YoY
Operating margin FY25
31.2%+3.0 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)18.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y12.6%
ROE (TTM)24.3%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 27, 2026
$2.46+9.3%
vs $2.25
$14.5B-0.1%
vs $14.5B
Q3 2026
Jul 21, 2026
$2.41+11.1%
vs $2.17
$14.4B+2.4%
vs $14.1B
Q2 2026
Apr 28, 2026
$1.99-5.7%
vs $2.11
$13.1B-2.4%
vs $13.4B
Q1 2026
Feb 4, 2026
$2.03+2.0%
vs $1.99
$13.3B-2.7%
vs $13.7B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
The Motley Fool·4d ago
Novartis: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

Novartis raised full-year 2026 core operating income guidance after 4% sales growth. Rhapsido peak sales guidance increased to over $4 billion in combined indications.

Zacks Investment Research·5d ago
3 Stocks to Watch Following Guidance Upgrades

The Q3 earnings cycle continues to roll along, with several healthcare companies delivering positive results and raising their outlooks as a result.

PRNewsWire·5d ago
BioArctic collaborator Novartis terminates agreement

STOCKHOLM, Nov. 2, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- BioArctic AB (publ) (Nasdaq Stockholm: BIOA B) today announced that Novartis Pharma AG has notified BioArctic that it has decided to terminate the Option, Collaboration and License Agreement entered into in August 2025 to explore a potential new treatment combining BioArctic's proprietary BrainTransporter™ technology with an undisclosed Novartis proprietary antibody. The termination is the result of a Novartis decision to discontinue the program, unrelated to BioArctic's BrainTransporter technology.

Market Watch·5d ago
6 dividend stocks for investors who want to cut their exposure to the S&P 500

Novartis, Mitsubishi and Canadian Natural are examples of companies in developed markets outside the U.S. that pass screens for high dividend yields and low volatility for prices and earnings.

Filtered for Novartis AGMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark NVS against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Novartis AG (NVS)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
NVS logoNVSNovartis AGCurrent
$162.55$308.96B30.865.97%17.82%24.32%2.47%
PFE logoPFEPfizer Inc.
$29.39$167.51B41.91-1.65%6.34%4.58%5.85%
AZN logoAZNAstraZeneca PLC
$186.43$290.83B26.478.63%17.68%22.18%1.71%
NVO logoNVONovo Nordisk A/S
$40.31$179B10.586.43%33.94%54.09%4.3%
SNY logoSNYSanofi
$47.04$112.95B24.245.49%8.19%5.81%5.23%
GSK logoGSKGSK plc
$50.33$100.84B17.694.11%12.96%23.31%3.23%

Compare NVS vs Peers

Novartis AG (NVS) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs PFE

Most directly comparable listed peer for NVS.

Scale Benchmark

vs LLY

Larger-name benchmark to compare NVS against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs PFE, AZN, NVO, SNY

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NVS Frequently Asked Questions

Novartis AG (NVS) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Novartis AG's revenue?

Novartis AG (NVS) reported $56.31B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $54.81B in fiscal year 2025. That is 138% more than the $23.04B of fiscal year 1998.

How fast is Novartis AG growing?

Novartis AG (NVS) revenue fell by 0.1% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is NVS profitable?

Yes. Novartis AG (NVS) earned $10.03B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 17.8% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does NVS pay dividends?

Yes. Novartis AG (NVS) pays a dividend that yields 2.47% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is NVS's return on equity?

Novartis AG (NVS) had a return on equity (ROE) of 24.3% over the trailing twelve months. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Novartis AG's free cash flow?

Novartis AG (NVS) generated $14.84B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in NVS back in 1998?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 28+ years of data

See returns →