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SPOTSpotify Technology S.A.
$510.40$104.9B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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SPOT logo

Spotify Technology S.A.

SPOT
NYSE · Internet Services
$510.40
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$104.93B
P/E42.7x
52W High$740.00
Volume1.76M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Profitability Inflection Debated by Decelerating Growth

Spotify has achieved a decisive operational inflection, with operating income growing from $168M in Q1 2024 to $655M in Q2 2026 and FCF margins stabilizing above 16%, validating a shift to durable profitability. The primary growth driver appears to be a succes...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

SPOT price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

6/12 Beats

EPS beat 6 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+37% Peers

P/E is 37% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 62 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 62)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 4
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth decelerated to 8.2% YoY in Q1 2026 as operating margins expanded to 15.8%, demonstrating the successful transition to profitability but raising questions about the sustainability of top-line momentum.

Analyst Consensus+18.0% target
Buy(53 analysts)
33 Buy18 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Dominant audio platform

Spotify is the world's leading audio platform with a durable two-sided marketplace, connecting 290M paying subscribers and 751M total monthly active users to 100M+ music tracks.

Pricing power and profitability

Spotify has demonstrated a shift to profitability driven by pricing power, cost discipline, and improved monetization, transforming into a cash-generating business.

Strong user growth

With 290M paying subscribers and 751M total monthly active users, Spotify continues to show robust growth in its user base.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
SPOT-11.23%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
SPOT-29.01%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
SPOT+228.19%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+82.75%
5-Year Return
SPOT+117.32%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+76.91%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
42.7x
Forward P/EExpansion
41.4x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
38.8x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.1%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
42.7x
81.3x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
38.8x
60.4x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
32.1x
54.3x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$212.55-58.4%
Base (Fair)$358.58-29.6%
Bull$429.44-15.9%
$212.55 Bear$358.58 Base$429.44 Bull
Current Market Price: $510.40
Trades at a 42.3% premium to Base DCF ($358.58)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$17.19B+9.7% YoY
Net income
$2.21B+94.4% YoY
Free cash flow
$2.87B+25.7% YoY
Operating margin
12.8%+4.1 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)40.5%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)31.9%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 4, 2026
$3.03-7.3%
vs $3.27
$5.5B-0.3%
vs $5.5B
Q2 2026
Apr 28, 2026
$4.04+17.8%
vs $3.43
$5.2B+0.2%
vs $5.2B
Q1 2026
Feb 10, 2026
$5.16+60.7%
vs $3.21
$5.3B+0.2%
vs $5.3B
Q4 2025
Nov 4, 2025
$3.83+67.2%
vs $2.29
$5.0B+0.7%
vs $5.0B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Seeking Alpha·Sep 15, 2026
Baron International Growth Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Activity

Baron International Growth Fund gained 14.05% (Institutional Shares) during the second quarter of 2026, while its primary benchmark, the MSCI ACWI ex USA Index, returned 14.49%. During the second quarter, we added a few new investments to existing themes and increased our weighting in certain positions established in prior periods. We exited a few positions during the quarter consistent with our efforts to seek greater concentration in our higher conviction investments.

MarketBeat·Sep 13, 2026
Spotify Technology Pitches AI Add-Ons, Video and New Verticals for Growth

Spotify Technology NYSE: SPOT Co-CEO, Chief Product Officer and Chief Technology Officer Gustav Söderström outlined the company's strategy for using artificial intelligence, expanding into additional media formats and monetizing highly engaged users during an investor conference appearance.

24/7 Wall Street·Sep 12, 2026
Spotify vs. Netflix: I'd Bet on This Streaming Stock for the Next 5 Years

Spotify and Netflix just reported quarters that point in completely different directions, and the gap between their strategies raises a question worth sitting with: which business actually has more room to run from here?

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 11, 2026
Spotify Technology (SPOT) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know

Zacks.com users have recently been watching Spotify (SPOT) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects.

Filtered for Spotify Technology S.A.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark SPOT against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
SPOT logoSPOTSpotify Technology S.A.Current
$510.40$104.93B42.669.65%12.87%31.94%—
SIRI logoSIRISirius XM Holdings Inc.
$26.28$8.85B11.68-1.62%10.23%7.53%—
IHRT logoIHRTiHeartMedia, Inc.
$2.35$305.65M-0.770.27%-7.17%——
PTON logoPTONPeloton Interactive, Inc.
$4.80$2B36.92-1.8%2.58%——
AAPL logoAAPLApple Inc.
$337.02$4.95T45.186.43%27.62%137.18%—
AMZN logoAMZNAmazon.com, Inc.
$249.27$2.68T34.7712.38%17.44%30.5%—

Compare SPOT vs Peers

Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs SIRI

Most directly comparable listed peer for SPOT.

Scale Benchmark

vs AAPL

Larger-name benchmark to compare SPOT against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs SIRI, IHRT, PTON, AAPL

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SPOT Frequently Asked Questions

Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Spotify Technology S.A.'s revenue?

Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) reported $18.11B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 834% increase from $1.94B in 2015.

How fast is Spotify Technology S.A. growing?

Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) grew revenue by 9.7% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is SPOT profitable?

Yes, Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) is profitable, generating $3.34B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (12.9% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is SPOT's return on equity?

Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) has a return on equity (ROE) of 31.9%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is Spotify Technology S.A.'s free cash flow?

Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) generated $3.28B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in SPOT back in 2015?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 11+ years of data

See returns →