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STXSeagate Technology Holdings plc
$919.84$206.3B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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STX logo

Seagate Technology Holdings plc

STX
NASDAQ · Computer Hardware
$919.84
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$206.25B
P/E66.2x
52W High$1145.00
Volume5.26M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q4

Margin Expansion and Deleveraging Drive Cyclical Upswing

Seagate is in the midst of a powerful cyclical upswing, with revenue accelerating 48.5% year-over-year in 2026Q4 and gross margins expanding 26.6 percentage points from 25.7% to 52.3% over ten quarters, driven by a favorable mix shift to high-capacity drives a...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsHealthy
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

STX price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+33% Peers

P/E is 33% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 95 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 95% of market)

04

Healthy Uptrend

Uptrend

Price > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 28
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue surged 48.5% year-over-year to $3.6B in 2026Q4, with gross margin expanding to 52.3% from 25.7% ten quarters ago, driving operating income up 10x to $1.5B.

Analyst Consensus+22.9% target
Buy(52 analysts)
29 Buy19 Hold4 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

AI-driven data growth

Seagate benefits from the proliferation of AI, which is driving massive data creation and the need for advanced storage solutions.

Nearline capacity visibility

Seagate has full visibility into nearline capacity demand, positioning it well to meet the needs of large-scale data storage.

Record gross margins

The company is achieving record gross margins, reflecting strong operational efficiency and pricing power.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
STX+220.41%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
STX+302.38%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
STX+1308.86%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+94.25%
5-Year Return
STX+1025.32%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+84.20%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
66.2x
Forward P/EExpansion
61.7x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
47.6x
FCF YieldCash Flow
1.8%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
66.2x
59.0x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
47.6x
36.6x
80th· High
Price/FCF
56.1x
33.0x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$128.15-86.1%
Base (Fair)$257.35-70.0%
Bull$251.52-72.7%
$128.15 Bear$257.35 Base$251.52 Bull
Current Market Price: $919.84
Trades at a 257.4% premium to Base DCF ($257.35)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$12.2B+34.1% YoY
Net income
$3.18B+116.7% YoY
Free cash flow
$3.67B+349.1% YoY
Operating margin
33.6%+12.8 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)80%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)371.5%
Piotroski Score8 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 28, 2026
$5.71+12.0%
vs $5.10
$3.6B+3.7%
vs $3.5B
Q2 2026
Apr 28, 2026
$4.10+16.8%
vs $3.51
$3.1B+5.1%
vs $3.0B
Q1 2026
Jan 27, 2026
$3.11+11.9%
vs $2.78
$2.8B+3.6%
vs $2.7B
Q4 2025
Oct 28, 2025
$2.61+8.8%
vs $2.40
$2.6B+3.2%
vs $2.5B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Defense World·Sep 16, 2026
Seagate Technology (NASDAQ:STX) Shares Down 4.2% After Insider Selling

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (NASDAQ: STX - Get Free Report)'s stock price dropped 4.2% during trading on Tuesday following insider selling activity. The company traded as low as $758.35 and last traded at $771.81. Approximately 4,001,124 shares were traded during trading, a decline of 8% from the average daily volume of 4,336,620 shares. The stock had

24/7 Wall Street·Sep 15, 2026
Western Digital Falls 4% Despite Its AI Storage Pitch; Seagate Drops 5%, Micron Holds Steady

Western Digital (NASDAQ:WDC | WDC Price Prediction) stock is sliding in Tuesday afternoon trading, even as the company leans harder into its AI storage pitch. Western Digital shares are down 4% to $411.

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 14, 2026
Can Seagate Extend the Growth Momentum in Its Edge IoT Business?

STX's Edge IoT revenues jump 20% year over year in fiscal Q4, but seasonality, SSD displacement and competition could test momentum.

Defense World·Sep 8, 2026
Public Employees Retirement System of Ohio Takes $1.36 Million Position in Seagate Technology Holdings PLC $STX

Public Employees Retirement System of Ohio purchased a new stake in shares of Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (NASDAQ: STX) during the undefined quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The firm purchased 1,411 shares of the data storage provider's stock, valued at approximately

Filtered for Seagate Technology Holdings plcMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark STX against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
STX logoSTXSeagate Technology Holdings plcCurrent
$919.84$206.25B66.1834.06%26.11%371.53%0.3%
WDC logoWDCWestern Digital Corporation
$464.60$160.14B18.7335.7%72.95%118.65%—
NTAP logoNTAPNetApp, Inc.
$192.91$38.21B30.335.37%19.19%113.67%—
PSTG logoPSTGEverpure, Inc
$86.22$28.49B183.45—5.89%17.22%—
SNX logoSNXTD Synnex Corp
$283.25$22.66B28.476.94%1.63%13.12%—
HPE logoHPEHewlett Packard Enterprise Company
$61.04$80.83B-1368.6114.06%6.57%10.85%—

Compare STX vs Peers

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs WDC

Most directly comparable listed peer for STX.

Scale Benchmark

vs GOOGL

Larger-name benchmark to compare STX against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs WDC, NTAP, PSTG, SNX

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

STX SEC Filings & Documents

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 28, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 12, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 28, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Aug 1, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Apr 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jan 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 31, 2025·SEC

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STX Frequently Asked Questions

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Seagate Technology Holdings plc's revenue?

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) reported $12.20B in revenue for fiscal year 2026. This represents a 104% increase from $5.97B in 2001.

How fast is Seagate Technology Holdings plc growing?

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) grew revenue by 34.1% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is STX profitable?

Yes, Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) is profitable, generating $3.18B in net income for fiscal year 2026 (26.1% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does STX pay dividends?

Yes, Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) pays a dividend with a yield of 0.30%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is STX's return on equity?

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) has a return on equity (ROE) of 371.5%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is Seagate Technology Holdings plc's free cash flow?

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) generated $3.33B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2026. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in STX back in 2001?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 25+ years of data

See returns →