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TMETencent Music Entertainment Group
$8.28$12.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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TME logo

Tencent Music Entertainment Group

TME
NYSE · Internet Services
$8.28
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$12.73B
P/E8.0x
52W High$25.04
Volume8.1M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Subscription Pivot Drives Margin Expansion Amidst Segment Headwinds

Tencent Music's strategic pivot to online music subscriptions is driving a structural transformation, evidenced by revenue growth accelerating from -3.4% in 2024Q1 to 5.8% in 2026Q2 and gross margins expanding to 44.2%. This shift is generating robust cash flo...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

TME price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

4/12 Beats

EPS beat 4 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-80% Peers

P/E is 80% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 14 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 86% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 11
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has accelerated to 5.8% in 2026Q2, supported by a structural shift to subscriptions that has expanded gross margins to 44.2% and operating margins to 34.0%, demonstrating exceptional operating leverage.

Analyst Consensus+52.1% target
Hold(24 analysts)
10 Buy13 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong revenue growth

Tencent Music Entertainment Group is projected to have a revenue growth of 13.5%, indicating robust business expansion.

Bullish analyst sentiment

Analysts have a blended target price of $68 and a Strong Buy Score of 80%, reflecting positive outlook.

Innovative technology platform

Tencent leverages its internet-based platform to enrich user lives and drive digital upgrades, supporting long-term growth.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
TME-50.95%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
TME-63.95%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
TME+44.54%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+74.67%
5-Year Return
TME+22.00%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+76.18%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
8.0x
Forward P/EExpansion
1.4x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
7.2x
FCF YieldCash Flow
11.6%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
8.0x
2.9x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
7.2x
1.7x
100th· High
Price/FCF
8.6x
2.3x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$11.64+40.6%
Base (Fair)$16.42+111.6%
Bull$24.37+194.3%
$11.64 Bear$16.42 Base$24.37 Bull
Current Market Price: $8.28
Trades at a 49.6% discount to Base DCF ($16.42)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$32.9B+15.8% YoY
Net income
$11.06B+66.4% YoY
Free cash flow
$9.86B+6.7% YoY
Operating margin
29.6%-1.1 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)10.4%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)14.5%
Piotroski Score8 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate4/12 (33%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 11, 2026
$0.25+4.2%
vs $0.24
$1.3B+1.1%
vs $1.3B
Q2 2026
May 12, 2026
$0.21+0.0%
vs $0.21
$168M-85.3%
vs $1.1B
Q2 2026
Mar 17, 2026
$0.17-24.2%
vs $0.23
$179M-85.1%
vs $1.2B
Q4 2025
Nov 12, 2025
$0.22+4.8%
vs $0.21
$1.2B+0.2%
vs $1.2B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Seeking Alpha·Sep 16, 2026
Tencent Music: The Market Is Pricing In Too Much Weakness

Tencent Music is rated 'Buy' due to its discounted valuation and resilient membership-driven profitability, despite muted user growth. TME's investment thesis centers on recurring membership economics, prudent cost control, and the integration of Ximalaya to enhance product offerings. Forward P/E is approximately 8.8x, with a fair value estimate of $11.80/ADS, reflecting both regulatory risks and execution uncertainty.

The Motley Fool·Sep 16, 2026
Tencent Music's 2026 Outlook: $400 Million Share Repurchase Program Reflects Financial Discipline

The subscription-focused pivot has significantly improved operational profitability and long-term financial health. Regulatory oversight and intense competition from short-form video platforms remain persistent threats.

GuruFocus·Sep 13, 2026
Ivonescimab Monotherapy Demonstrates a Statistically Significant & Clinically Meaningful Benefit Compared to Pembrolizumab Monotherapy in PD-L1-Positive Advanced NSCLC in Akeso's HARMONi-2 Study Condu

Summit Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: SMMT) today noted that its partner Akeso Inc. [url="]announced[/url] that updated data, including overall survival (OS), from

PRNewsWire·Sep 10, 2026
Tencent Music Entertainment Group Announces Closing of US$1,000 Million Notes Offering

SHENZHEN, China, Sept. 10, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Tencent Music Entertainment Group ("TME," or the "Company") (NYSE: TME and HKEX: 1698), the leading all-in-one music and audio entertainment platform in China, today announced the closing of its public offering of US$1,000 million aggregate principal amount of senior unsecured notes consisting of US$500 million of 5.050% notes due 2031 and US$500 million of 5.650% notes due 2036.

Filtered for Tencent Music Entertainment GroupMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark TME against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
TME logoTMETencent Music Entertainment GroupCurrent
$8.28$12.73B8.0115.85%33.6%14.47%2.24%
SPOT logoSPOTSpotify Technology S.A.
$501.30$103.06B41.599.65%18.43%41.05%—
IDCC logoIDCCInterDigital, Inc.
$333.76$8.63B28.28-3.97%38.32%26.82%—
AAPL logoAAPLApple Inc.
$339.75$4.99T45.546.43%27.62%137.18%—
AMZN logoAMZNAmazon.com, Inc.
$254.98$2.74T35.5612.38%17.44%30.5%—
GOOGL logoGOOGLAlphabet Inc.
$351.16$4.25T32.4815.13%54.77%50.84%—

Compare TME vs Peers

Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs SPOT

Most directly comparable listed peer for TME.

Scale Benchmark

vs AAPL

Larger-name benchmark to compare TME against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs SPOT, IDCC, AAPL, AMZN

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TME Frequently Asked Questions

Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Tencent Music Entertainment Group's revenue?

Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) reported $32.99B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 656% increase from $4.36B in 2016.

How fast is Tencent Music Entertainment Group growing?

Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) grew revenue by 15.8% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is TME profitable?

Yes, Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) is profitable, generating $8.60B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (33.6% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does TME pay dividends?

Yes, Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) pays a dividend with a yield of 2.24%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is TME's return on equity?

Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) has a return on equity (ROE) of 14.5%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is Tencent Music Entertainment Group's free cash flow?

Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) generated $8.88B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in TME back in 2016?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 10+ years of data

See returns →