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TMETencent Music Entertainment Group
$16.60
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

TME is a market laggard (RS 24/99, Top 76%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

+50%
Q4'24
$1.26
+202%
Q1'25
$2.78
+44%
Q2'25
$1.56
+38%
Q3'25
$1.38
Earnings Growing

Price Structure

Broken Structure
Price
$16.60
50 DMA
$18.49
100 DMA
$21.18
150 DMA
$21.21
200 DMA
$19.65
Alignment Score: 1/4

TME Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

RS Rating 24/99 is in Bottom 24% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
24 (Top 76%)>80 (Top 20%)
Pattern
No base formingVCP or constructive base
Trend
Weak DowntrendAbove 200 DMA
Breakout Status
-26.9% below entry ($22.70)Price above breakout entry

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on TME, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
24/99
Top 76% (Need 80+)
Trend
Weak Downtrend
Below 200 DMA
RSI (14)
44
NEUTRAL
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 1/9
Volume
14.1M
+137% vs avg
From Entry
-26.9%
$22.70

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+38%
Growing
EPS 3Y CAGR
+33%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+21%
Accelerating
F-Score
7/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
10%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
81/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Breakout Failed

Breakout failed — now -26.9% from entry.

Setup invalid. Wait for new base to form before considering re-entry.

Entry Price$22.70Breakout price
Current Loss-26.9%Below entry
Stop Was$20.88Should have exited

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 20 DMA$17.57+5.9%
  • 50 DMA$18.49+11.4%
  • 200 DMA$19.65+18.4%
Current$16.60

Support

  • 52W Low$10.27-38.1%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TME stock a buy now?

TME is a market laggard (RS 24/99, Top 76%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for TME?

TME's breakout at $22.70 has failed (now -26.9% below entry). The setup is no longer valid — wait for a new base pattern to form.

What is TME's RS Rating?

TME has an RS Rating of 24/99, meaning it's in the Top 76% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.