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WSOWatsco, Inc.
$325.37$13.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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WSO logo

Watsco, Inc.

WSO
NYSE · Industrial Distribution
$325.37
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$13.4B
P/E26.6x
52W High$459.00
Volume443.28K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Margin Resilience Amid Persistent Revenue Contraction

Watsco's defensive HVAC distribution model is demonstrating margin resilience, with gross margin expanding to 27.5% in Q2 2026 from 27.1% a year earlier despite a 5.0% revenue decline. The company's capital-light structure (CapEx averaging 0.5% of revenue) and...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

WSO price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

3/12 Beats

EPS beat 3 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-12% Peers

P/E is 12% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 23 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 77% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 29
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue contracted 5.0% year-over-year in Q2 2026, yet gross margin improved to 27.5% and operating margin rebounded to 11.3% from 6.1% in Q4 2025, reflecting cost discipline and pricing power.

Analyst Consensus+24.5% target
Hold(27 analysts)
8 Buy17 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Diverse geographic footprint

Watsco operates over 670 locations across the US, Canada, Mexico, and the Caribbean, providing a broad market reach and resilience against regional economic fluctuations.

Industry leadership

As the largest distributor of HVAC/R equipment, Watsco holds a dominant position in the industry, supported by a 60-year legacy and wide moat.

Strong institutional backing

The Nahmad Family and Founder Entities hold 25% of Watsco, indicating significant insider confidence and long-term commitment to the company's growth.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
WSO-3.56%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
WSO-14.56%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
WSO-0.10%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+76.07%
5-Year Return
WSO+35.52%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+72.06%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
26.6x
Forward P/E
26.9x
EV/EBITDA60th %ile
18.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.0%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
26.6x
29.0x
20th· Low
EV/EBITDA
18.3x
17.4x
60th· Fair
Price/FCF
25.0x
23.9x
60th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$47.91-85.3%
Base (Fair)$128.21-58.9%
Bull$155.88-52.1%
$47.91 Bear$128.21 Base$155.88 Bull
Current Market Price: $325.37
Trades at a 153.8% premium to Base DCF ($128.21)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$7.24B-5.0% YoY
Net income
$497M-7.3% YoY
Free cash flow
$535M-28.0% YoY
Operating margin
9.6%-0.7 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)16.6%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)15.8%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate3/12 (25%)
Revenue Beat Rate3/12 (25%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 29, 2026
$4.00-9.3%
vs $4.41
$2.1B-1.8%
vs $2.1B
Q2 2026
Apr 28, 2026
$1.87+8.1%
vs $1.73
$1.5B+3.1%
vs $1.5B
Q1 2026
Feb 17, 2026
$1.68-10.6%
vs $1.88
$1.6B-2.4%
vs $1.6B
Q4 2025
Oct 29, 2025
$3.98-10.4%
vs $4.44
$2.1B-4.5%
vs $2.2B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·Sep 15, 2026
Will Watsco's Granite Group Deal Strengthen Its Plumbing Market Reach?

Watsco, Inc. WSO has entered into an agreement to acquire The Granite Group, a distributor of plumbing and HVAC products. The Granite Group generates approximately $500 million in sales across seven Northeast states.

GlobeNewsWire·Sep 14, 2026
Watsco to Acquire The Granite Group, Distributor of Plumbing and HVAC Products; Revenues of $500 Million Throughout the Northeast

MIAMI, Sept. 14, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Watsco, Inc. (NYSE: WSO) announced today that it has entered into an agreement to acquire The Granite Group, a diversified distributor of plumbing and HVAC products with approximately $500 million in sales throughout seven Northeast States.

Defense World·Sep 12, 2026
Amundi Acquires 2,558 Shares of Watsco, Inc. $WSO

Amundi increased its stake in shares of Watsco, Inc. (NYSE: WSO) by 5.4% during the undefined quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 50,125 shares of the construction company's stock after buying an additional 2,558 shares during the period.

GlobeNewsWire·Sep 11, 2026
Watsco to Present at the 14th Annual Morgan Stanley Laguna Conference on September 16, 2026 at 4:05 p.m. PDT

MIAMI, Sept. 11, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Watsco, Inc. (NYSE: WSO) announced today that Barry S. Logan, Executive Vice President, and Rick Gomez, Vice President, are scheduled to present at the 14th Annual Morgan Stanley Laguna Conference being held at the Ritz Carlton, Laguna Niguel on Wednesday, September 16, 2025 at 4:05 p.m. (PDT). Internet users can listen to a live webcast of the presentation at the Investor Relations section of Watsco's website at http://www.watsco.com.

Filtered for Watsco, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark WSO against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Watsco, Inc. (WSO)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
WSO logoWSOWatsco, Inc.Current
$325.37$13.4B26.56-4.98%6.87%15.81%3.84%
GWW logoGWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.
$1270.67$59.99B35.894.51%9.92%44.11%—
MSM logoMSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.
$124.10$6.93B34.76-1.35%5.9%16.51%—
FAST logoFASTFastenal Company
$50.99$58.51B46.788.67%15.46%34.03%—
IBP logoIBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.
$202.79$5.46B20.881%8.46%37.2%—
BLDR logoBLDRBuilders FirstSource, Inc.
$59.16$6.36B15.21-7.38%0.71%2.46%—

Compare WSO vs Peers

Watsco, Inc. (WSO) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs GWW

Most directly comparable listed peer for WSO.

Scale Benchmark

vs HD

Larger-name benchmark to compare WSO against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs GWW, MSM, FAST, IBP

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

WSO SEC Filings & Documents

Watsco, Inc. (WSO) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 4, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Apr 29, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

4
FY 2026

Feb 27, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 28, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 23, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 8, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 7, 2025·SEC

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WSO Frequently Asked Questions

Watsco, Inc. (WSO) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Watsco, Inc.'s revenue?

Watsco, Inc. (WSO) reported $7.28B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 1612% increase from $425.4M in 1996.

How fast is Watsco, Inc. growing?

Watsco, Inc. (WSO) saw revenue decline by 5.0% over the past year.

Is WSO profitable?

Yes, Watsco, Inc. (WSO) is profitable, generating $475.7M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (6.9% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does WSO pay dividends?

Yes, Watsco, Inc. (WSO) pays a dividend with a yield of 3.84%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is WSO's return on equity?

Watsco, Inc. (WSO) has a return on equity (ROE) of 15.8%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is Watsco, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Watsco, Inc. (WSO) generated $698.0M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in WSO back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →