AAP Price Chart
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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
AAPAdvance Auto Parts, Inc.
$42.99
Financials
AVOID
Investment Thesis
AAP is a market laggard (RS 25/99, Top 75%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.
Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass
Key Takeaways
- Earnings strong
- RS 25 - market laggard
- No base pattern
- Wait & watch
Earnings Momentum
Earnings Declining
Price Structure
Broken StructurePrice
$42.99
→
50 DMA
$46.69
→
100 DMA
$52.49
→
150 DMA
$53.47
✓→
200 DMA
$49.43
Alignment Score: 1/4
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED
RS Rating 25/99 is in Bottom 25% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)
Why Not BUY Yet?
RS Rating
25 (Top 75%)→>80 (Top 20%)
Pattern
No base forming→VCP or constructive base
Trend
Weak Downtrend→Above 200 DMA
Breakout Status
-18.4% below entry ($52.71)→Price above breakout entry
What Would Change Our Mind?
To turn bullish on AAP, we need:
- RS Rating: >80 (Top 20%)(currently 25 (Top 75%))
- Pattern: VCP or constructive base(currently No base forming)
- Trend: Above 200 DMA(currently Weak Downtrend)
- Breakout Status: Price above breakout entry(currently -18.4% below entry ($52.71))
- Breakout Recovery: Price recovers above $52.71(currently -18.4% below entry)
Twin Engines Dashboard
Technical Health
RS Rating
25/99
Top 75% (Need 80+)
Trend
Weak Downtrend
Below 200 DMA
RSI (14)
51
NEUTRAL
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 2/9
Volume
2.0M
+21% vs avg
From Entry
-18.4%
$52.71
Fundamental Horsepower
EPS Qtr YoY
+83%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
N/A
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
-7%
DECLINING
F-Score
4/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
-14%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
3/99
Percentile
Trade Plan
Breakout FailedEntry Price$52.71Breakout price
Current Loss-18.4%Below entry
Stop Was$48.49Should have exited
If/Then Playbook
IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround
Key Price Levels
Resistance
- 50 DMA$46.69+8.6%
- 200 DMA$49.43+15.0%
- 52W High$70.00+62.8%
Current$42.99
Support
- 20 DMA$41.64-3.1%
- 52W Low$28.89-32.8%
More AAP Analysis
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AAP stock a buy now?
AAP is a market laggard (RS 25/99, Top 75%) with strong fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.
What is the buy point for AAP?
AAP's breakout at $52.71 has failed (now -18.4% below entry). The setup is no longer valid — wait for a new base pattern to form.
What is AAP's RS Rating?
AAP has an RS Rating of 25/99, meaning it's in the Top 75% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.
Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.