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NVDANVIDIA Corporation
$185.81
Financials
WATCHLIST
Analysis updated: Jan 15, 2026

Investment Thesis

NVDA has elite growth earnings but broke out 3 month(s) ago at $186.58. Now -0% below entry - wait for new base. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

Elite earnings but entry missed - wait for setup

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

+82%
Q4'25
$0.89
+27%
Q1'26
$0.76
+61%
Q2'26
$1.08
+67%
Q3'26
$1.30
Earnings Accelerating

Price Structure

Aligned Uptrend
Price
$185.81
50 DMA
$185.60
100 DMA
$183.48
150 DMA
$177.55
200 DMA
$162.92
Alignment Score: 4/4✓ Confirmed Uptrend

NVDA Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
69 (Top 31%)>80 (Top 20%)
Pattern
No base formingVCP or constructive base
Breakout Status
-0.4% from entry ($186.58)Breakout confirmation (hold above entry)

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on NVDA, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
69/99
Top 31% (Need 80+)
Trend
Aligned Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
50
NEUTRAL
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 6/9
Volume
159.8M
-12% vs avg
From Entry
-0.4%
$186.58

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+67%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
+98%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+62%
STRONG
F-Score
8/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
1%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
74/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Struggling

Broke out 3 months ago at $186.58 — -0% below entry.

Breakout underperforming. Wait for price to reclaim entry or form a new base.

Breakout Date2025-09-30107 days ago
Entry Was$186.58Breakout price
Loss Since-0%From entry
Wait For$186.58Reclaim entry or new base

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >85
THEN: Upgrade to PRIORITY WATCHLIST
IF: Deep pullback to 50 DMA or 10/21 EMA
THEN: Consider adding (original entry was $186.58)
IF: New VCP base forms after consolidation
THEN: Re-evaluate for fresh breakout entry
IF: RS Rating drops below 60
THEN: Remove from watchlist - momentum failing
IF: Next earnings confirms >40% EPS growth
THEN: Maintain high priority status

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 52W High$212.19+14.2%
Current$185.81

Support

  • 50 DMA$185.60-0.1%
  • 20 DMA$184.38-0.8%
  • 200 DMA$162.92-12.3%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is NVDA stock a buy now?

NVDA has elite growth earnings but broke out 3 month(s) ago at $186.58. Now -0% below entry - wait for new base. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

What is the buy point for NVDA?

NVDA broke out at $186.58 3 month(s) ago but is now -0% below entry. Wait for new base pattern.

What is NVDA's RS Rating?

NVDA has an RS Rating of 69/99, meaning it's in the Top 31% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.