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TPBTurning Point Brands, Inc.
$118.01
Financials
WATCHLIST
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

TPB broke out 5 month(s) ago at $82.56, now +43% extended. Wait for pullback or new base. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

Already broke out - entry point missed

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

-75%
Q4'24
$0.13
+25%
Q1'25
$0.79
+16%
Q2'25
$0.79
+66%
Q3'25
$1.13
Earnings Growing

Price Structure

Aligned Uptrend
Price
$118.01
50 DMA
$103.91
100 DMA
$99.44
150 DMA
$93.63
200 DMA
$86.80
Alignment Score: 4/4✓ Confirmed Uptrend

TPB Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA

Why Not BUY Yet?

Pattern Stage
AT_PIVOTAt pivot or near breakout
Entry Point
Broke out 5mo ago, now +43%Wait for pullback or new base

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on TPB, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
81/99
Top 19% ✓
Trend
Aligned Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
69
BULLISH
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 4/9
Volume
396K
+17% vs avg
From Entry
+42.9%
$82.56

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+66%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
-5%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+31%
Accelerating
F-Score
8/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
23%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
52/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Extended

Broke out 5 months ago at $82.56 — now +43% extended.

Wait for deep pullback to $110.77 - $108.33 (10-21 EMA) or new base formation.

Breakout Date2025-07-30170 days ago
Entry Was$82.56Breakout price
Gain Since+43%From entry
Wait For$110.77 - $108.33 (10-21 EMA)Deep pullback zone

If/Then Playbook

IF: Deep pullback to 50 DMA or 21 EMA
THEN: Consider adding if holds support (original entry was $82.56)
IF: New base forms after 3-6 week consolidation
THEN: Re-evaluate for fresh entry point
IF: Price drops >25% from highs
THEN: Watch for Stage 3 top formation
IF: Next earnings shows >25% EPS growth
THEN: Upgrade conviction level
IF: RS Rating drops below 75
THEN: Remove from priority watch

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 52W High$118.61+0.5%
  • Pivot$118.61+0.5%
Current$118.01

Support

  • 20 DMA$108.45-8.1%
  • 50 DMA$103.91-12.0%
  • 200 DMA$86.80-26.4%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TPB stock a buy now?

TPB broke out 5 month(s) ago at $82.56, now +43% extended. Wait for pullback or new base. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

What is the buy point for TPB?

TPB broke out at $82.56 5 month(s) ago and is now +43% extended. Wait for a pullback to the 21 EMA or a new base pattern.

What is TPB's RS Rating?

TPB has an RS Rating of 81/99, meaning it's in the Top 19% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.