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YPFYPF Sociedad Anónima
$33.82
Analysis updated: Jan 14, 2026

Investment Thesis

YPF is a market laggard (RS 51/99, Top 49%) with declining fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

+82%
Q4'24
$-772.50
-103%
Q1'25
$-43.14
-100%
Q2'25
$0.13
-120%
Q3'25
$-731.24
Earnings Declining

Price Structure

Broken Structure
Price
$33.82
50 DMA
$36.07
100 DMA
$31.85
150 DMA
$32.32
200 DMA
$32.54
Alignment Score: 1/4

YPF Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

RS Rating 51/99 is in Bottom 51% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
51 (Top 49%)>80 (Top 20%)
EPS Growth
-120%>25% Qtr YoY
Pattern
No base formingVCP or constructive base
Entry Point
Broke out 15mo ago, now +36%Wait for pullback or new base

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on YPF, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
51/99
Top 49% (Need 80+)
Trend
Weak Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
43
NEUTRAL
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 1/9
Volume
1.1M
-26% vs avg
From Entry
+35.9%
$24.88

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
-120%
Declining
EPS 3Y CAGR
N/A
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+34%
Accelerating
F-Score
4/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
25%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
10/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Lost Momentum

Broke out 1 year ago at $24.88 — +36% from entry but below EMA support.

Lost momentum. Wait for price to reclaim $35.08 (21 EMA) or form a new base.

Breakout Date2024-10-11460 days ago
Entry Was$24.88Breakout price
Gain Since+36%From entry
Reclaim$35.0821 EMA support

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 20 DMA$35.19+4.1%
  • 50 DMA$36.07+6.7%
  • 52W High$45.94+35.8%
Current$33.82

Support

  • 200 DMA$32.54-3.8%
  • 52W Low$22.82-32.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is YPF stock a buy now?

YPF is a market laggard (RS 51/99, Top 49%) with declining fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for YPF?

YPF broke out at $24.88 15 month(s) ago and is now +36% extended. Wait for a pullback to the 21 EMA or a new base pattern.

What is YPF's RS Rating?

YPF has an RS Rating of 51/99, meaning it's in the Top 49% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.