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YPFYPF Sociedad Anónima
$38.66$15.2B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
YPF logo

YPF Sociedad Anónima

YPF
NYSE · Integrated Oil & Gas
$38.66
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$15.22B
P/E7.6x
52W High$57.87
Volume1.57M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Inflation Accounting Masks Margin Recovery and Leverage

YPF's reported 2026Q2 results show a striking operating recovery, with gross margin expanding to 45.1% from 25.3% two quarters earlier and operating income climbing to $2.5 trillion ARS versus $651.5 billion in 2025Q4 — a 283% increase against 116% gross profit growth that suggests positive operating leverage in the…

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

YPF price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

6/12 Beats

EPS beat 6 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-26% Peers

P/E is 26% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 41 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 59% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 29
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Reported gross margin widened to 45.1% in 2026Q2 from 28.9% in 2025Q4 with net income of $1.7 trillion ARS on revenue of $9.2 trillion ARS, though the 18.3% net margin may indicate inflation-accounting effects rather than purely operational improvement given the abrupt unit-scale break after 2025Q2.

Analyst Consensus+46.6% target
Buy(15 analysts)
7 Buy6 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Geopolitical and energy bet

The company's transformation is tied to Argentina's normalization and energy security, making it a strategic asset with a $15.6 billion market cap.

Insider buying confidence

A director's open-market purchase of shares at $54.44 per share signals strong insider confidence in YPF's future performance.

Bullish analyst thesis

A bullish investment thesis on YPF highlights its potential upside, as discussed in Danny Green's Substack article.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
YPF+6.53%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
YPF+5.86%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
YPF+277.54%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+68.76%
5-Year Return
YPF+790.78%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+56.80%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
7.6x
Forward P/EExpansion
0.0x
EV/EBITDA75th %ile
3.4x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
7.6x
0.0x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
3.4x
2.1x
75th· Fair
Price/FCF
N/A
28.1x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$83.04+114.8%
Base (Fair)$129.71+235.5%
Bull$214.50+454.8%
$83.04 Bear$129.71 Base$214.50 Bull
Current Market Price: $38.66
Trades at a 70.2% discount to Base DCF ($129.71)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$26530.08B+48.3% YoY
Net income FY25
-$1198.53B-157.7% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
-$171.22B-35994.8% YoY
Operating margin FY25
8.9%-1.5 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)6.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y60.1%
ROE (TTM)17.1%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate6/12 (55%)
Revenue Beat Rate8/12 (73%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 29, 2026
$3.00+56.3%
vs $1.92
$6.4B+14.1%
vs $5.6B
Q3 2026
Aug 4, 2026
$3.07+35.8%
vs $2.26
$6.1B+2.3%
vs $6.0B
Q2 2026
May 7, 2026
$1.03+24.1%
vs $0.83
$3.5B-30.0%
vs $5.0B
Q1 2026
Feb 26, 2026
-$1.67-316.9%
vs $0.77
$4.5B+4.1%
vs $4.4B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·5d ago
YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) Loses 14.4% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why a Trend Reversal May be Around the Corner

The heavy selling pressure might have exhausted for YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) as it is technically in oversold territory now. In addition to this technical measure, strong agreement among Wall Street analysts in revising earnings estimates higher indicates that the stock is ripe for a trend reversal.

Reuters·5d ago
YPF CEO says contracts for Argentina LNG are being signed in Europe, Asia

YPF CEO says contracts for Argentina LNG are being signed in Europe, Asia

Zacks Investment Research·6d ago
3 Reasons Why Growth Investors Shouldn't Overlook YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF)

YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) is well positioned to outperform the market, as it exhibits above-average growth in financials.

Zacks Investment Research·6d ago
Best Value Stocks to Buy for November 2nd

PBR, YPF and STNG made it to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) value stocks list on November 2, 2026.

Filtered for YPF Sociedad AnónimaMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark YPF against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
YPF logoYPFYPF Sociedad AnónimaCurrent
$38.66$15.22B7.6048.25%9.52%17.11%—
PBR logoPBRPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
$18.53$119.41B4.67-3.62%24.52%30.54%6.91%
EC logoECEcopetrol S.A.
$15.55$31.97B8.27-16.39%10.11%11.73%10.56%
CVX logoCVXChevron Corporation
$212.61$423.43B15.47-4.64%11.95%13.89%3.23%
XOM logoXOMExxon Mobil Corporation
$165.87$687.53B16.90-4.52%10.46%15.24%2.41%
COP logoCOPConocoPhillips
$136.27$166.02B14.107.67%17.06%17.75%2.34%

Compare YPF vs Peers

YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs PBR

Most directly comparable listed peer for YPF.

Scale Benchmark

vs XOM

Larger-name benchmark to compare YPF against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs PBR, EC, CVX, XOM

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YPF Frequently Asked Questions

YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is YPF Sociedad Anónima's revenue?

YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) reported $32.48T in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $26.53T in fiscal year 2025. That is 482177% more than the $5.50B of fiscal year 1998.

How fast is YPF Sociedad Anónima growing?

YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) grew revenue by 182.9% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is YPF profitable?

Yes. YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) earned $3.09T in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 9.5% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is YPF's return on equity?

YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) had a return on equity (ROE) of 17.1% over the trailing twelve months. That is above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is YPF Sociedad Anónima's free cash flow?

YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) had negative free cash flow of $171.22B in fiscal year 2025.

What if you invested $1,000 in YPF back in 1998?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 28+ years of data

See returns →