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YPFYPF Sociedad Anónima
$53.35$20.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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YPF logo

YPF Sociedad Anónima

YPF
NYSE · Integrated Oil & Gas
$53.35
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$20.67B
P/E-26.4x
52W High$57.86
Volume2.34M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Hyperinflationary Growth Masks Structural Earnings Dissipation

YPF's reported revenue surge to $9.2T in Q2 2026, underpinned by IAS 29 hyperinflation adjustments, masks a deteriorating profitability profile where a 45.1% gross margin collapses to an 18.3% net margin, suggesting massive non-operating headwinds like FX loss...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsHealthy
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

YPF price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

3/12 Beats

EPS beat 3 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-219% Peers

P/E is 219% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 87 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 87% of market)

04

Healthy Uptrend

Uptrend

Price > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 4
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

While Q2 2026 reported revenue reached $9.2T, the subsequent gross margin of 45.1% collapsing to an 18.3% net margin suggests powerful non-operating headwinds are structurally eroding profitability.

Analyst Consensus+6.2% target
Buy(15 analysts)
7 Buy6 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Geopolitical and energy bet

The company's transformation is tied to Argentina's normalization and energy security, making it a strategic asset with a $15.6 billion market cap.

Insider buying confidence

A director's open-market purchase of shares at $54.44 per share signals strong insider confidence in YPF's future performance.

Bullish analyst thesis

A bullish investment thesis on YPF highlights its potential upside, as discussed in Danny Green's Substack article.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
YPF+47.01%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
YPF+98.18%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
YPF+314.53%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+85.04%
5-Year Return
YPF+1044.85%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+79.66%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
-26.4x
Forward P/E
0.0x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
6.6x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-26.4x
0.0x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
6.6x
2.1x
100th· High
Price/FCF
N/A
1.0x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$49.13-7.9%
Base (Fair)$81.56+48.4%
Bull$131.34+146.2%
$49.13 Bear$81.56 Base$131.34 Bull
Current Market Price: $53.35
Trades at a 34.6% discount to Base DCF ($81.56)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$26530.08B+48.3% YoY
Net income
-$1198.53B-157.7% YoY
Free cash flow
-$171.22B-35994.8% YoY
Operating margin
8.9%-1.5 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)6.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)-8.5%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate3/12 (25%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 4, 2026
$3.07+35.8%
vs $2.26
$6.1B+2.3%
vs $6.0B
Q2 2026
May 8, 2026
$145.34+5.3%
vs $138.00
$6955.2B+0.9%
vs $6895.4B
Q2 2026
May 7, 2026
$1.03+24.1%
vs $0.83
$3.5B-30.0%
vs $5.0B
Q1 2026
Feb 26, 2026
-$1.67-316.9%
vs $0.77
$4.5B+4.1%
vs $4.4B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Schaeffers Research·Sep 11, 2026
3 Stocks Call Traders Are Targeting Today

YPF SA (NYSE:YPF) is seeing a surge in bullish options activity today.

The Motley Fool·Sep 3, 2026
Stanley Druckenmiller Invested Tens of Millions Into These Risky Stocks. Should You?

International stocks can be great for diversification, but they can also be risky for reasons most investors aren't familiar with. Stanley Druckenmiller's investments in Argentine companies carry significant risks stemming from the country's politics.

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 1, 2026
Eni Builds Uruguay Offshore Presence Through New Exploration Deals

E deepens its Uruguay offshore push with exploration deals for OFF-5 and OFF-6 blocks, while backing a planned 2027 well in OFF-6.

Defense World·Aug 27, 2026
Bank of America Corp DE Has $5.73 Million Stock Position in YPF Sociedad Anónima $YPF

Bank of America Corp DE trimmed its holdings in shares of YPF Sociedad Anónima (NYSE: YPF) by 42.7% during the first quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the SEC. The firm owned 124,019 shares of the oil and gas exploration company's stock after selling 92,403 shares

Filtered for YPF Sociedad AnónimaMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark YPF against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
YPF logoYPFYPF Sociedad AnónimaCurrent
$53.35$20.67B-26.4048.25%-4.52%-8.48%—
PBR logoPBRPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
$20.76$133.79B6.78-3.62%24.52%30.54%—
EC logoECEcopetrol S.A.
$16.91$34.76B13.25-16.39%10.11%11.73%—
CVX logoCVXChevron Corporation
$202.43$403.16B30.53-4.64%9.87%10.66%—
XOM logoXOMExxon Mobil Corporation
$158.69$657.76B23.69-4.52%9.07%12.34%—
COP logoCOPConocoPhillips
$125.27$152.62B19.737.51%14.87%14.32%—

Compare YPF vs Peers

YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs PBR

Most directly comparable listed peer for YPF.

Scale Benchmark

vs XOM

Larger-name benchmark to compare YPF against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs PBR, EC, CVX, XOM

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YPF Frequently Asked Questions

YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is YPF Sociedad Anónima's revenue?

YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) reported $29.35T in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 533350% increase from $5.50B in 1998.

How fast is YPF Sociedad Anónima growing?

YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) grew revenue by 48.3% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is YPF profitable?

Yes, YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) is profitable, generating $1.04T in net income for fiscal year 2025 (-4.5% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is YPF's return on equity?

YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) has a return on equity (ROE) of -8.5%. Negative ROE indicates the company is unprofitable.

What is YPF Sociedad Anónima's free cash flow?

YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) generated $1.54T in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in YPF back in 1998?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 28+ years of data

See returns →