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Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN)
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$117.37
→
Intrinsic$178.14
+52%
$93.25$178.14$339.31
Market implies 13% growth for 5 years
DCF analysis suggests WYNN could have 52% upside at 20% growth — verify assumptions match your view.
At $117, the market prices in 13% annual cash flow growth — a moderate expectation aligned with historical trends (20%).
Range: Bear $93 → Bull $339. Current price implies expectations below the base case, but well above the bear case.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 16% | 18% | 20% | 22% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $236 | $263 | $292 | $323 |
| 10% | $140 | $158 | $178 | $199 |
| 12% | $86 | $100 | $115 | $131 |
| 14% | $53 | $63 | $75 | $87 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($339) offers 189% upside at 24% growth, 9% discount
- 34% margin of safety vs. base case estimate
- Market-implied growth (13%) ≤ historical CAGR (20%)
Bear Case
- Bear case ($93) implies 21% downside at 16% growth, 12% discount
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5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection
Year 1$1.20B
Year 2$1.45B
Year 3$1.73B
Year 4$2.08B
Year 5$2.50B
Terminal$36.75B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate20.0%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate10.0%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$1.00BTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.