Comprehensive Stock Comparison
Compare Amgen Inc. (AMGN) vs Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) vs Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Stock
Analyze side-by-side fundamentals, valuation, growth, and profitability to decide which stock is the better buy.
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Quick Verdict
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | LLY | 32.0% revenue growth vs JNJ's 4.3% |
| Value | AMGN | Lower P/E (17.3x vs 21.5x), PEG 5.89 vs 38.22 |
| Quality / Margins | LLY | 31.0% net margin vs AMGN's 21.0% |
| Stability / Safety | JNJ | Beta 0.06 vs LLY's 0.65, lower leverage |
| Dividends | JNJ | 2.0% yield, 36-year raise streak, vs LLY's 0.5% |
| Momentum (1Y) | JNJ | +53.7% vs LLY's +15.0% |
| Efficiency (ROA) | LLY | 16.0% ROA vs AMGN's 8.5%, ROIC 33.7% vs 20.7% |
Who Each Stock Is For
Income & stability
Growth exposure
Long-term compounding (10Y)
Sleep-well-at-night portfolio
Valuation efficiency (growth/$)
Defensive / Recession hedge
Business Model
What each company does and how it makes money
Amgen is a global biotechnology company that discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets innovative human therapeutics for serious illnesses. It generates revenue primarily from sales of its branded biologic medicines — with key products including Enbrel, Prolia, Otezla, and Repatha — across therapeutic areas like oncology, inflammation, bone health, and cardiovascular disease. The company's moat lies in its deep expertise in complex biologics manufacturing, extensive patent protection for its innovative therapies, and a robust pipeline of novel drug candidates.
Eli Lilly is a global pharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, and markets innovative medicines for serious diseases like diabetes, cancer, and autoimmune disorders. It generates revenue primarily from drug sales — with diabetes treatments like Trulicity and Mounjaro contributing over 50% of revenue — and from oncology and immunology products. The company's competitive advantage lies in its deep research and development capabilities, particularly in diabetes and obesity treatments where it has established a strong patent-protected portfolio.
Johnson & Johnson is a global healthcare company focused on innovative medicines and medical technology. It generates revenue primarily from its Innovative Medicine segment — prescription drugs for complex diseases like cancer and autoimmune disorders — and its MedTech segment — medical devices including orthopedics, surgery tools, and contact lenses. The company's competitive advantage lies in its massive R&D scale, deep scientific expertise, and diversified portfolio of patented pharmaceuticals and medical devices.
Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Financial Metrics Comparison
Side-by-side fundamentals across 3 stocks. BestLagging
Financial Scorecard
LLY leads in 3 of 6 categories (Financial Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). JNJ leads in 2 (Risk & Volatility, Analyst Outlook).
Financial Metrics (TTM)
JNJ is the larger business by revenue, generating $92.1B annually — 2.5x AMGN's $36.7B. LLY is the more profitable business, keeping 31.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AMGN's 21.0%. On growth, LLY holds the edge at +53.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | AMGNAmgen Inc. | LLYEli Lilly and Com… | JNJJohnson & Johnson |
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $36.7B | $59.4B | $92.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $15.6B | $28.6B | $31.4B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $7.7B | $18.4B | $25.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $8.1B | $9.0B | $19.1B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +70.5% | +83.0% | +68.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +28.0% | +45.0% | +26.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +21.0% | +31.0% | +27.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +22.0% | +15.2% | +20.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +8.6% | +53.9% | +6.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +111.2% | +4.8% | +91.0% |
Valuation Metrics
At 27.3x trailing earnings, AMGN trades at a 70% valuation discount to LLY's 89.9x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), AMGN offers better value at 9.27x vs JNJ's 38.22x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | AMGNAmgen Inc. | LLYEli Lilly and Com… | JNJJohnson & Johnson |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $209.2B | $941.7B | $598.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $254.7B | $972.1B | $611.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 27.28x | 89.85x | 42.91x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 17.33x | 30.86x | 21.48x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 9.27x | 14.62x | 38.22x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 12.56x | 50.45x | 20.73x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 5.69x | 20.91x | 6.74x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 24.30x | 66.65x | 8.44x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 25.83x | 2273.08x | 30.17x |
Profitability & Efficiency
AMGN delivers a 89.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $89 in annual profit, vs $32 for JNJ. JNJ carries lower financial leverage with a 0.51x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AMGN's 6.31x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AMGN scores 7/9 vs JNJ's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | AMGNAmgen Inc. | LLYEli Lilly and Com… | JNJJohnson & Johnson |
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +89.1% | +77.2% | +31.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +8.5% | +16.0% | +13.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +20.7% | +33.7% | +20.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +22.3% | +40.2% | +17.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 6.31x | 2.36x | 0.51x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $45.5B | $30.4B | $12.5B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $9.1B | $3.3B | $24.1B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $54.6B | $33.6B | $36.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 4.24x | 26.09x | 48.23x |
Total Returns (with DRIP)
A $10,000 investment in LLY five years ago would be worth $52,120 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $17,079 for JNJ. Over the past 12 months, JNJ leads with a +53.7% total return vs LLY's +15.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LLY at 50.9% vs JNJ's 19.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | AMGNAmgen Inc. | LLYEli Lilly and Com… | JNJJohnson & Johnson |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +19.2% | -2.4% | +20.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +29.1% | +15.0% | +53.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +79.4% | +243.3% | +71.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +89.7% | +421.2% | +70.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +221.6% | +1411.6% | +175.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +21.5% | +50.9% | +19.8% |
Risk & Volatility
JNJ is the less volatile stock with a 0.06 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LLY's 0.65 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. JNJ currently trades 99.8% from its 52-week high vs LLY's 92.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | AMGNAmgen Inc. | LLYEli Lilly and Com… | JNJJohnson & Johnson |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.45x | 0.65x | 0.06x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $390.09 | $1133.95 | $248.93 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $261.43 | $623.78 | $141.50 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +99.5% | +92.8% | +99.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 62.5 | 46.9 | 66.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.3M | 2.6M | 7.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: AMGN as "Buy", LLY as "Buy", JNJ as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 15.4% upside for LLY (target: $1214) vs -10.6% for AMGN (target: $347). For income investors, JNJ offers the higher dividend yield at 1.96% vs LLY's 0.49%.
| Metric | AMGNAmgen Inc. | LLYEli Lilly and Com… | JNJJohnson & Johnson |
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $347.00 | $1214.28 | $229.33 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 37 | 44 | 39 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.5% | +2.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 14 | 10 | 36 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $5.18 | $4.87 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.3% | +0.4% |
Historical Charts
Charts are rendered on first load. Hover for details.
Chart 1Total Return — 5 Years (Rebased to 100)
| Stock | Mar 20 | Feb 26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amgen Inc. (AMGN) | 100 | 162.43 | +62.4% |
| Eli Lilly and Compa… (LLY) | 100 | 786.01 | +686.0% |
| Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) | 100 | 164.8 | +64.8% |
Eli Lilly and Compa… (LLY) returned +421% over 5 years vs Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)'s +71%. A $10,000 investment in LLY 5 years ago would be worth $52,120 today (including dividends reinvested).
Chart 2Revenue Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2016 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amgen Inc. (AMGN) | $23.0B | $36.8B | +59.8% |
| Eli Lilly and Compa… (LLY) | $21.2B | $45.0B | +112.2% |
| Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) | $71.9B | $88.8B | +23.6% |
Amgen Inc.'s revenue grew from $23.0B (2016) to $36.8B (2025) — a 5.4% CAGR.
Chart 3Net Margin Trend — 10 Years
| Stock | 2016 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amgen Inc. (AMGN) | 33.6% | 21.0% | -37.5% |
| Eli Lilly and Compa… (LLY) | 12.9% | 23.5% | +82.3% |
| Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) | 23.0% | 15.8% | -31.2% |
Amgen Inc.'s net margin went from 34% (2016) to 21% (2025).
Chart 4P/E Ratio History — 9 Years
| Stock | 2017 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amgen Inc. (AMGN) | 64.6 | 23 | -64.4% |
| Eli Lilly and Compa… (LLY) | 37 | 65.9 | +78.1% |
| Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) | 297.3 | 25 | -91.6% |
Amgen Inc. has traded in a 15x–65x P/E range over 9 years; current trailing P/E is ~27x. Eli Lilly and Company has traded in a 15x–101x P/E range over 7 years; current trailing P/E is ~90x.
Chart 5EPS Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2016 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amgen Inc. (AMGN) | 10.24 | 14.23 | +39.0% |
| Eli Lilly and Compa… (LLY) | 2.49 | 11.71 | +370.3% |
| Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) | 5.93 | 5.79 | -2.4% |
Amgen Inc.'s EPS grew from $10.24 (2016) to $14.23 (2025) — a 4% CAGR.
Chart 6Free Cash Flow — 5 Years
Amgen Inc. generated $8B FCF in 2025 (-3% vs 2021). Eli Lilly and Company generated $414M FCF in 2024 (-92% vs 2021).
AMGN vs LLY vs JNJ: Key Questions Answered
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AMGN or LLY or JNJ a better buy right now?
Amgen Inc. (AMGN) offers the better valuation at 27.3x trailing P/E (17.3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Amgen Inc. (AMGN) a "Buy" — based on 37 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AMGN or LLY or JNJ?
On trailing P/E, Amgen Inc. (AMGN) is the cheapest at 27.3x versus Eli Lilly and Company at 89.9x. On forward P/E, Amgen Inc. is actually cheaper at 17.3x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Eli Lilly and Company wins at 5.02x versus Johnson & Johnson's 38.22x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AMGN or LLY or JNJ?
Over the past 5 years, Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) delivered a total return of +421.2%, compared to +70.8% for Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). A $10,000 investment in LLY five years ago would be worth approximately $52K today (assuming dividends reinvested). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LLY returned +1412% versus JNJ's +175.7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AMGN or LLY or JNJ?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is the lower-risk stock at 0.06β versus Eli Lilly and Company's 0.65β — meaning LLY is approximately 1071% more volatile than JNJ relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 51% versus 6% for Amgen Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which has better profit margins — AMGN or LLY or JNJ?
Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) is the more profitable company, earning 23.5% net margin versus 15.8% for Johnson & Johnson — meaning it keeps 23.5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AMGN leads at 40.5% versus 24.9% for JNJ. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AMGN leads at 82.5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is AMGN or LLY or JNJ more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential. By this metric, Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 5.02x versus Johnson & Johnson's 38.22x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Amgen Inc. (AMGN) trades at 17.3x forward P/E versus 30.9x for Eli Lilly and Company — 13.5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for LLY: 15.4% to $1214.28.
07Which pays a better dividend — AMGN or LLY or JNJ?
In this comparison, JNJ (2.0% yield), LLY (0.5% yield) pay a dividend. AMGN does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is AMGN or LLY or JNJ better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.06), 2.0% yield, +175.7% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (JNJ: +175.7%, AMGN: +221.6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between AMGN and LLY and JNJ?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both. JNJ pays a dividend while AMGN, LLY do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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