Comprehensive Stock Comparison
Compare Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) vs Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) Stock
Analyze side-by-side fundamentals, valuation, growth, and profitability to decide which stock is the better buy.
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Quick Verdict
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | BTE | 24.4% revenue growth vs CNQ's -12.7% |
| Value | CNQ | Lower P/E (15.3x vs 35.8x) |
| Quality / Margins | CNQ | 15.5% net margin vs BTE's 5.6% |
| Stability / Safety | CNQ | Beta 0.79 vs BTE's 1.63, lower leverage |
| Dividends | CNQ | 3.5% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs BTE's 1.7% |
| Momentum (1Y) | BTE | +72.8% vs CNQ's +60.8% |
| Efficiency (ROA) | CNQ | 7.8% ROA vs BTE's 2.8%, ROIC 23.0% vs 9.1% |
Who Each Stock Is For
Income & stability
Growth exposure
Long-term compounding (10Y)
Sleep-well-at-night portfolio
Defensive / Recession hedge
Business Model
What each company does and how it makes money
Baytex Energy is an oil and gas exploration and production company focused on developing crude oil and natural gas reserves in Western Canada and the Eagle Ford shale in Texas. It generates revenue primarily from crude oil sales — about 80% of total revenue — with the remainder from natural gas and natural gas liquids. The company's competitive advantage lies in its concentrated, high-quality asset base in low-decline basins — particularly its Eagle Ford position — which provides stable production and attractive economics.
Canadian Natural Resources is a major integrated oil and gas producer with operations across Western Canada, the North Sea, and Offshore Africa. It generates revenue primarily from crude oil production—including synthetic crude oil, light/medium crude, and bitumen—with natural gas and natural gas liquids as secondary streams. The company's competitive advantage lies in its massive, long-life reserves—particularly its oil sands assets—which provide decades of low-decline production and operational scale.
Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
Financial Metrics Comparison
Side-by-side fundamentals across 2 stocks. BestLagging
Financial Scorecard
CNQ leads in 4 of 6 categories (Financial Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). BTE leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
Financial Metrics (TTM)
CNQ is the larger business by revenue, generating $43.0B annually — 11.2x BTE's $3.8B. CNQ is the more profitable business, keeping 15.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to BTE's 5.6%. On growth, BTE holds the edge at +9.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | BTEBaytex Energy Cor… | CNQCanadian Natural … |
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.8B | $43.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.9B | $21.2B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $215M | $6.7B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $420M | $8.1B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +27.0% | +31.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +16.1% | +28.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +5.6% | +15.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +11.0% | +18.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +9.0% | -8.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -82.6% | -72.6% |
Valuation Metrics
At 17.5x trailing earnings, BTE trades at a 17% valuation discount to CNQ's 21.0x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, BTE's 2.9x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CNQ's 6.2x.
| Metric | BTEBaytex Energy Cor… | CNQCanadian Natural … |
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.0B | $91.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.6B | $105.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 17.52x | 21.02x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 35.75x | 15.33x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 4.51x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 2.92x | 6.21x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.96x | 3.50x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.01x | 3.25x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 6.80x | 15.41x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CNQ delivers a 16.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $16 in annual profit, vs $5 for BTE. CNQ carries lower financial leverage with a 0.51x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BTE's 0.55x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BTE scores 6/9 vs CNQ's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | BTEBaytex Energy Cor… | CNQCanadian Natural … |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +5.1% | +16.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.8% | +7.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +9.1% | +23.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +10.9% | +23.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.55x | 0.51x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.3B | $20.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $17M | $131M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.3B | $20.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.81x | 10.83x |
Total Returns (with DRIP)
A $10,000 investment in BTE five years ago would be worth $39,639 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $35,679 for CNQ. Over the past 12 months, BTE leads with a +72.8% total return vs CNQ's +60.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CNQ at 19.6% vs BTE's 1.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | BTEBaytex Energy Cor… | CNQCanadian Natural … |
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +16.4% | +27.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +72.8% | +60.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +3.5% | +71.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +296.4% | +256.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +75.6% | +420.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +1.1% | +19.6% |
Risk & Volatility
CNQ is the less volatile stock with a 0.79 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BTE's 1.63 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | BTEBaytex Energy Cor… | CNQCanadian Natural … |
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.63x | 0.79x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $3.85 | $44.02 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.36 | $24.65 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +99.6% | +99.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 60.5 | 76.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 15.2M | 7.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates BTE as "Buy" and CNQ as "Buy". For income investors, CNQ offers the higher dividend yield at 3.45% vs BTE's 1.71%.
| Metric | BTEBaytex Energy Cor… | CNQCanadian Natural … |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $35.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 16 | 37 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.7% | +3.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.09 | $2.07 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.5% | +2.1% |
Historical Charts
Charts are rendered on first load. Hover for details.
Chart 1Total Return — 5 Years (Rebased to 100)
| Stock | Feb 20 | Feb 26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) | 100 | 337 | +237.0% |
| Canadian Natural Re… (CNQ) | 100 | 282.95 | +182.9% |
Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) returned +296% over 5 years vs Canadian Natural Re… (CNQ)'s +257%. A $10,000 investment in BTE 5 years ago would be worth $39,639 today (including dividends reinvested).
Chart 2Revenue Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2015 | 2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) | $1.1B | $4.2B | +272.5% |
| Canadian Natural Re… (CNQ) | $13.2B | $35.7B | +170.8% |
Baytex Energy Corp.'s revenue grew from $1.1B (2015) to $4.2B (2024) — a 15.7% CAGR. Canadian Natural Resources Limited's revenue grew from $13.2B (2015) to $35.7B (2024) — a 11.7% CAGR.
Chart 3Net Margin Trend — 10 Years
| Stock | 2015 | 2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) | -100.3% | 5.6% | +105.6% |
| Canadian Natural Re… (CNQ) | -4.8% | 17.1% | +454.0% |
Baytex Energy Corp.'s net margin went from -100% (2015) to 6% (2024). Canadian Natural Resources Limited's net margin went from -5% (2015) to 17% (2024).
Chart 4P/E Ratio History — 7 Years
| Stock | 2017 | 2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) | 8.1 | 8.6 | +6.2% |
| Canadian Natural Re… (CNQ) | 17.5 | 10.8 | -38.3% |
Baytex Energy Corp. has traded in a 1x–9x P/E range over 4 years; current trailing P/E is ~18x. Canadian Natural Resources Limited has traded in a 6x–18x P/E range over 7 years; current trailing P/E is ~21x.
Chart 5EPS Growth — 10 Years
| Stock | 2015 | 2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) | -5.72 | 0.3 | +105.2% |
| Canadian Natural Re… (CNQ) | -0.29 | 2.85 | +1082.8% |
Baytex Energy Corp.'s EPS grew from $-5.72 (2015) to $0.30 (2024). Canadian Natural Resources Limited's EPS grew from $-0.29 (2015) to $2.85 (2024).
Chart 6Free Cash Flow — 5 Years
Baytex Energy Corp. generated $594M FCF in 2024 (+50% vs 2021). Canadian Natural Resources Limited generated $8B FCF in 2024 (+3% vs 2021).
BTE vs CNQ: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BTE or CNQ a better buy right now?
Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) offers the better valuation at 17.5x trailing P/E (35.8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) a "Buy" — based on 16 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — BTE or CNQ?
On trailing P/E, Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) is the cheapest at 17.5x versus Canadian Natural Resources Limited at 21.0x. On forward P/E, Canadian Natural Resources Limited is actually cheaper at 15.3x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — BTE or CNQ?
Over the past 5 years, Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) delivered a total return of +296.4%, compared to +256.8% for Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ). A $10,000 investment in BTE five years ago would be worth approximately $40K today (assuming dividends reinvested). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CNQ returned +420.6% versus BTE's +75.6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — BTE or CNQ?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) is the lower-risk stock at 0.79β versus Baytex Energy Corp.'s 1.63β — meaning BTE is approximately 105% more volatile than CNQ relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 51% versus 55% for Baytex Energy Corp. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which has better profit margins — BTE or CNQ?
Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) is the more profitable company, earning 17.1% net margin versus 5.6% for Baytex Energy Corp. — meaning it keeps 17.1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CNQ leads at 47.1% versus 18.3% for BTE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CNQ leads at 49.3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is BTE or CNQ more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) trades at 15.3x forward P/E versus 35.8x for Baytex Energy Corp. — 20.4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
07Which pays a better dividend — BTE or CNQ?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends. Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) offers the highest yield at 3.5%, versus 1.7% for Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE).
08Is BTE or CNQ better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.79), 3.5% yield, +420.6% 10Y return). Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) carries a higher beta of 1.63 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CNQ: +420.6%, BTE: +75.6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between BTE and CNQ?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both. In terms of investment character: BTE is a small-cap deep-value stock; CNQ is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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