Comprehensive Stock Comparison

Compare Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) vs ConocoPhillips (COP) Stock

Analyze side-by-side fundamentals, valuation, growth, and profitability to decide which stock is the better buy.

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Quick Verdict

CategoryWinnerWhy
GrowthCOP9.3% revenue growth vs CTRA's -49.6%
ValueCTRALower P/E (14.6x vs 23.0x)
Quality / MarginsCTRA62.4% net margin vs COP's 13.3%
Stability / SafetyCTRABeta 0.63 vs COP's 0.99, lower leverage
DividendsCOP2.9% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs CTRA's 2.9%
Momentum (1Y)COP+17.7% vs CTRA's +16.6%
Efficiency (ROA)CTRA7.7% ROA vs COP's 6.5%, ROIC 11.4% vs 10.7%
Bottom line: CTRA leads in 4 of 7 categories, making it the stronger pick for investors who prioritize valuation and capital efficiency and profitability and margin quality. ConocoPhillips is the better choice for growth and revenue expansion and dividend income and shareholder returns. As direct sector peers, they can serve as alternatives in the same portfolio allocation.

Who Each Stock Is For

Income & stability

Growth exposure

Long-term compounding (10Y)

Sleep-well-at-night portfolio

Defensive / Recession hedge

Business Model

What each company does and how it makes money

CTRACoterra Energy Inc.
Energy

Coterra Energy is an independent oil and gas producer focused on developing natural gas and crude oil reserves across premier U.S. shale basins. It generates revenue primarily from selling natural gas (roughly 60% of production) and crude oil/liquids (roughly 40%), with its largest operations in the Marcellus Shale and Permian Basin. The company's competitive advantage lies in its low-cost, high-quality asset portfolio across multiple basins — particularly its core Marcellus position — which provides operational flexibility and resilience across commodity price cycles.

COPConocoPhillips
Energy

ConocoPhillips is a global independent exploration and production company that finds, produces, and sells crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. It generates revenue primarily from selling hydrocarbons produced from its diverse portfolio — including unconventional shale plays in North America, conventional assets worldwide, and oil sands in Canada — with no refining or marketing operations. The company's competitive advantage lies in its low-cost position, large-scale resource base, and operational expertise across multiple geographies and resource types.

Revenue Breakdown by Segment

How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units

CTRACoterra Energy Inc.
FY 2024
Oil and Condensate
100.0%$3.0B
COPConocoPhillips
FY 2024
Crude oil product line
71.3%$39.0B
Natural Gas Product Line
11.8%$6.4B
Other Products
11.7%$6.4B
Natural Gas Liquids
5.3%$2.9B

Financial Metrics Comparison

Side-by-side fundamentals across 2 stocks. BestLagging

Financial Scorecard

CTRA 3COP 2
Financial MetricsCTRA5/6 metrics
Valuation MetricsCTRA5/6 metrics
Profitability & EfficiencyCTRA6/9 metrics
Total ReturnsCOP4/6 metrics
Risk & VolatilityTie1/2 metrics
Analyst OutlookCOP1/1 metrics

CTRA leads in 3 of 6 categories (Financial Metrics, Valuation Metrics). COP leads in 2 (Total Returns, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.

Financial Metrics (TTM)

COP is the larger business by revenue, generating $59.7B annually — 21.7x CTRA's $2.8B. CTRA is the more profitable business, keeping 62.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to COP's 13.3%.

MetricCTRACoterra Energy In…COPConocoPhillips
RevenueTrailing 12 months$2.8B$59.7B
EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax$4.8B$23.2B
Net IncomeAfter-tax profit$1.7B$7.9B
Free Cash FlowCash after capex$2.2B$16.8B
Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue+60.4%+35.2%
Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue+89.1%+19.8%
Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue+62.4%+13.3%
FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue+81.0%+28.1%
Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year-2.9%-0.3%
EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year+20.0%-38.4%
CTRA leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.

Valuation Metrics

At 13.6x trailing earnings, CTRA trades at a 24% valuation discount to COP's 17.9x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, CTRA's 4.8x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than COP's 6.7x.

MetricCTRACoterra Energy In…COPConocoPhillips
Market CapShares × price$23.2B$139.0B
Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash$23.3B$156.0B
Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS13.60x17.90x
Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est.14.65x23.03x
PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate0.39x
EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple4.84x6.71x
Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue8.44x2.33x
Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share1.36x2.11x
Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF5.77x8.29x
CTRA leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.

Profitability & Efficiency

COP delivers a 12.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $12 in annual profit, vs $10 for CTRA. CTRA carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to COP's 0.36x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), COP scores 7/9 vs CTRA's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.

MetricCTRACoterra Energy In…COPConocoPhillips
ROE (TTM)Return on equity+10.0%+12.3%
ROA (TTM)Return on assets+7.7%+6.5%
ROICReturn on invested capital+11.4%+10.7%
ROCEReturn on capital employed+11.9%+10.7%
Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–967
Debt / EquityFinancial leverage0.01x0.36x
Net DebtTotal debt minus cash$136M$16.9B
Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets$114M$6.5B
Total DebtShort + long-term debt$250M$23.4B
Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense9.24x11.99x
CTRA leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.

Total Returns (with DRIP)

A $10,000 investment in COP five years ago would be worth $24,904 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $19,613 for CTRA. Over the past 12 months, COP leads with a +17.7% total return vs CTRA's +16.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CTRA at 10.3% vs COP's 6.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.

MetricCTRACoterra Energy In…COPConocoPhillips
YTD ReturnYear-to-date+15.0%+18.2%
1-Year ReturnPast 12 months+16.6%+17.7%
3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends+34.1%+20.0%
5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends+96.1%+149.0%
10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends+90.4%+306.3%
CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return+10.3%+6.3%
COP leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.

Risk & Volatility

CTRA is the less volatile stock with a 0.63 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than COP's 0.99 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. COP currently trades 99.7% from its 52-week high vs CTRA's 93.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.

MetricCTRACoterra Energy In…COPConocoPhillips
Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 5000.63x0.99x
52-Week HighHighest price in past year$32.67$113.80
52-Week LowLowest price in past year$22.33$79.88
% of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak+93.6%+99.7%
RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–10053.662.7
Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded9.3M7.0M
Evenly matched — CTRA and COP each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.

Analyst Outlook

Wall Street rates CTRA as "Buy" and COP as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 5.9% upside for CTRA (target: $32) vs 2.9% for COP (target: $117). For income investors, COP offers the higher dividend yield at 2.94% vs CTRA's 2.93%.

MetricCTRACoterra Energy In…COPConocoPhillips
Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sellBuyBuy
Price TargetConsensus 12-month target$32.40$116.79
# AnalystsCovering analysts5552
Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price+2.9%+2.9%
Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises11
Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS$0.90$3.34
Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap+0.6%+3.6%
COP leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.

Historical Charts

Charts are rendered on first load. Hover for details.

Chart 1Total Return — 5 Years (Rebased to 100)

StockMar 20Feb 26Change
Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA)100191.13+91.1%
ConocoPhillips (COP)100206.76+106.8%

ConocoPhillips (COP) returned +149% over 5 years vs Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA)'s +96%. A $10,000 investment in COP 5 years ago would be worth $24,904 today (including dividends reinvested).

Chart 2Revenue Growth — 10 Years

Stock20162025Change
Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA)$1.2B$2.8B+130.3%
ConocoPhillips (COP)$23.9B$59.7B+149.8%

Coterra Energy Inc.'s revenue grew from $1.2B (2016) to $2.8B (2025) — a 9.7% CAGR. ConocoPhillips's revenue grew from $23.9B (2016) to $59.7B (2025) — a 10.7% CAGR.

Chart 3Net Margin Trend — 10 Years

Stock20162025Change
Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA)-34.9%62.4%+278.8%
ConocoPhillips (COP)-15.1%13.3%+187.8%

Coterra Energy Inc.'s net margin went from -35% (2016) to 62% (2025). ConocoPhillips's net margin went from -15% (2016) to 13% (2025).

Chart 4P/E Ratio History — 9 Years

Stock20172025Change
Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA)13011.7-91.0%
ConocoPhillips (COP)11.714.8+26.5%

Coterra Energy Inc. has traded in a 5x–130x P/E range over 9 years; current trailing P/E is ~14x. ConocoPhillips has traded in a 8x–15x P/E range over 7 years; current trailing P/E is ~18x.

Chart 5EPS Growth — 10 Years

Stock20162025Change
Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA)-0.912.25+347.3%
ConocoPhillips (COP)-2.96.34+318.6%

Coterra Energy Inc.'s EPS grew from $-0.91 (2016) to $2.25 (2025). ConocoPhillips's EPS grew from $-2.90 (2016) to $6.34 (2025).

Chart 6Free Cash Flow — 5 Years

2021
$939M
$12B
2022
$4B
$18B
2023
$2B
$9B
2024
$1B
$8B
2025
$4B
$17B
Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA)ConocoPhillips (COP)

Coterra Energy Inc. generated $4B FCF in 2025 (+328% vs 2021). ConocoPhillips generated $17B FCF in 2025 (+44% vs 2021).

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CTRA vs COP: Frequently Asked Questions

9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily

01

Is CTRA or COP a better buy right now?

Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) offers the better valuation at 13.6x trailing P/E (14.6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) a "Buy" — based on 55 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

02

Which has the better valuation — CTRA or COP?

On trailing P/E, Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) is the cheapest at 13.6x versus ConocoPhillips at 17.9x. On forward P/E, Coterra Energy Inc. is actually cheaper at 14.6x.

03

Which is the better long-term investment — CTRA or COP?

Over the past 5 years, ConocoPhillips (COP) delivered a total return of +149.0%, compared to +96.1% for Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA). A $10,000 investment in COP five years ago would be worth approximately $25K today (assuming dividends reinvested). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: COP returned +306.3% versus CTRA's +90.4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

04

Which is safer — CTRA or COP?

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) is the lower-risk stock at 0.63β versus ConocoPhillips's 0.99β — meaning COP is approximately 56% more volatile than CTRA relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 36% for ConocoPhillips — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

05

Which has better profit margins — CTRA or COP?

Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) is the more profitable company, earning 62.4% net margin versus 13.3% for ConocoPhillips — meaning it keeps 62.4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CTRA leads at 89.1% versus 19.8% for COP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CTRA leads at 60.4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

06

Is CTRA or COP more undervalued right now?

On forward earnings alone, Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) trades at 14.6x forward P/E versus 23.0x for ConocoPhillips — 8.4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CTRA: 5.9% to $32.40.

07

Which pays a better dividend — CTRA or COP?

All stocks in this comparison pay dividends. ConocoPhillips (COP) offers the highest yield at 2.9%, versus 2.9% for Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA).

08

Is CTRA or COP better for a retirement portfolio?

For long-horizon retirement investors, Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.63), 2.9% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CTRA: +90.4%, COP: +306.3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

09

What are the main differences between CTRA and COP?

Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.

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Better Than Both

Find stocks that beat CTRA and COP on the metrics you choose

Revenue Growth>
%
(CTRA: -294.7% · COP: -0.3%)
Net Margin>
%
(CTRA: 62.4% · COP: 13.3%)
P/E Ratio<
x
(CTRA: 13.6x · COP: 17.9x)