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COPConocoPhillips
$136.27$166.0B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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COP logo

ConocoPhillips

COP
NYSE · Oil & Gas Producers
$136.27
At close - USD
Market Cap$166.02B
P/E21.5x
52W High$154.28
Volume7.51M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings Surge Masks Data Anomalies

ConocoPhillips' Q2 2026 results show a dramatic revenue and EPS surge (29.4% YoY revenue growth, 107.1% EPS growth), but the zero COGS and SG&A volatility suggest data anomalies that warrant caution.

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

COP price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

10/12 Beats

EPS beat 10 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

In Line

P/E is in line with peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 82 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 82% of market)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Feb 5
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue surged 29.4% YoY to $18.1B in Q2 2026 with EPS up 107.1%, but gross margin of 100% is a data artifact (COGS reported as zero), and margins have ranged from 19.6% to 30.6% over the past year, indicating volatile, commodity-driven profitability.

Analyst Consensus+15.2% target
Buy(52 analysts)
39 Buy10 Hold3 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Positive Analyst Sentiment

Many analysts have issued 'Buy' or 'Overweight' ratings for ConocoPhillips (COP), with median price targets suggesting potential upside from current levels, ranging from $131.36 to $140.00, and the highest projections reaching up to $183.00.

Strong Financial Health

ConocoPhillips maintains a strong market capitalization and a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating financial stability and a lower risk profile.

Growth in LNG and Projects

The company's expanding LNG portfolio and progress on large-scale liquefaction projects like those in Qatar, Port Arthur, and Willow are expected to drive substantial free cash flow and revenue expansion through 2029.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Geopolitical Tensions

Ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, could negatively impact oil prices and demand, posing risks to ConocoPhillips' profitability, especially given its unhedged position.

Shift to Renewable Energy

The growing trend towards renewable energy may lead to a structural shift away from fossil fuels, potentially affecting long-term demand for oil producers like ConocoPhillips.

Margin Pressure

ConocoPhillips has seen its net profit margins slip from 16.3% to 13.2% over the last year, with recent quarters not showing a clear improvement.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
COP+43.53%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
COP+63.00%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
COP+22.96%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.61%
5-Year Return
COP+103.73%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+57.67%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
14.1x
Forward P/EExpansion
11.9x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
6.4x
FCF YieldCash Flow
6.7%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
14.1x
12.7x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
6.4x
5.9x
80th· High
Price/FCF
14.9x
14.6x
60th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$154.46+13.3%
Base (Fair)$267.89+96.6%
Bull$444.39+226.1%
$154.46 Bear$267.89 Base$444.39 Bull
Current Market Price: $136.27
Trades at a 49.1% discount to Base DCF ($267.89)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$58.71B+7.5% YoY
Net income FY25
$7.99B-13.3% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$16.77B+109.5% YoY
Operating margin FY25
19.6%-3.8 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)10.4%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (FY25)12.4%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Nov 5, 2026
$3.27+7.2%
vs $3.05
$20.1B+7.9%
vs $18.6B
Q3 2026
Aug 6, 2026
$3.24+11.7%
vs $2.90
$19.5B+3.9%
vs $18.8B
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$1.89+9.9%
vs $1.72
$16.1B+2.8%
vs $15.6B
Q1 2026
Feb 5, 2026
$1.02-4.7%
vs $1.07
$14.2B+1.7%
vs $13.9B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
MarketBeat·18h ago
What ConocoPhillips (COP) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

ConocoPhillips NYSE: COP reported third-quarter adjusted earnings of $3.27 per share and $7.2 billion in cash from operations, while raising its quarterly dividend by 11% and outlining plans for lower capital spending in 2027.

24/7 Wall Street·1d ago
ConocoPhillips Just Raised Its Dividend 11%. Is It a Better Buy Than Murphy Oil?

Two oil producers just posted strong quarters, but only one turned its cash flow into a payout that can survive a price slump. For income investors, the gap between a bigger yield and a safer check may surprise you.

Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
COP Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Cash Flow Growth and Lower Spending

ConocoPhillips targets $7B in free cash flow improvement by 2029, with lower capital spending, growing production and higher shareholder returns driving its outlook.

The Motley Fool·1d ago
Is ConocoPhillips a Buy After Its Latest Earnings Report?

ConocoPhillips delivered strong third-quarter results, generating gushing cash flows to support healthy cash returns to shareholders. The oil producer raised its dividend by 11% and reaffirmed its plan to deliver $7 billion in additional free cash flow by 2029.

Filtered for ConocoPhillipsMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark COP against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for ConocoPhillips (COP)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
COP logoCOPConocoPhillipsCurrent
$136.27$166.02B21.467.51%13.6%12.36%2.34%
EOG logoEOGEOG Resources, Inc.
$147.13$78.37B16.15-3.47%25.71%22.38%2.72%
DVN logoDVNDevon Energy Corporation
$42.21$29.56B10.057.83%16.67%14.9%2.33%
APA logoAPAAPA Corporation
$44.63$15.78B11.19-8.39%18.99%22.97%2.25%
FANG logoFANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.
$178.96$50.34B31.2336.31%11.67%4.97%2.23%
OXY logoOXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation
$56.38$56.08B35.02-20.32%28.79%25.7%2.83%

Compare COP vs Peers

ConocoPhillips (COP) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs EOG

Most directly comparable listed peer for COP.

Scale Benchmark

vs XOM

Larger-name benchmark to compare COP against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs EOG, DVN, APA, FANG

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

COP SEC Filings & Documents

ConocoPhillips (COP) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 11, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 23, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 17, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 18, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 6, 2025·SEC

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COP Frequently Asked Questions

ConocoPhillips (COP) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is ConocoPhillips's revenue?

ConocoPhillips (COP) reported $62.42B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $58.71B in fiscal year 2025. That is 271% more than the $15.81B of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is ConocoPhillips growing?

ConocoPhillips (COP) grew revenue by 7.5% in fiscal year 2025, compared with the prior fiscal year.

Is COP profitable?

Yes. ConocoPhillips (COP) earned $9.28B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 14.9% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does COP pay dividends?

Yes. ConocoPhillips (COP) pays a dividend that yields 2.34% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is COP's return on equity?

ConocoPhillips (COP) had a return on equity (ROE) of 12.4% in fiscal year 2025. That is in line with the market's typical 10-15%.

What is ConocoPhillips's free cash flow?

ConocoPhillips (COP) generated $19.59B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in COP back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →